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Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
27/ As video goes viral of the election “protest” happening outside Trump Tower now—in which Trump cultists are chanting “Death or Trump” and stamping on DeSantis posters—will Trump launch a GOP civil war, attacking current leaders like DeSantis, Youngkin and McConnell? Probably. — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
MID-THREAD BREAKING NEWS/ CNN reports that the 2024 Trump presidential campaign has told it that Trump’s speech tonight will run only 30 minutes. I will believe it when I see/hear it. CNN also reports that Roger Stone and Madison Cawthorn are in the room tonight at Mar-a-Lago. — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
26/ Will he threaten (for what would not be the first time) to join the Patriot Party—or simply mount an independent POTUS bid—if the GOP denies him the nomination? He may, and certainly if he does so the entire GOP primary process could be effectively shut down before it starts. — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
25/ Will he discuss Ukraine—even more a potential (medium- or long-term) WW3-origin-point tonight, after a senior U.S. intelligence official reported to the AP that “Russian missiles” just hit NATO ally Poland and killed 2—in an irresponsible way? Yes. A dangerous way? We’ll see. — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
24/ Will Trump repeat the Big Lie, despite it costing Republicans the “red wave” they expected? Almost certainly. But if not, it will make him *more*—not less—dangerous (as it would show he’s capable of becoming more politically savvy after a massive, if indirect, election loss). — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
23/ Just as Trump’s June 2015 announcement speech—after which (the same day, even!) I wrote for HuffPost that Trump was “dangerous”—set the tone for the next five years of Trumpism, this speech will necessarily hold indications of what the *next* five years of Trumpism look like. — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
22/ So while this feed will *not* be covering Trump rallies generally—and indeed will be watching closely, starting tonight, to see if major media has learned *anything at all* about how to responsibly cover a Trump presidential campaign since 2015—*tonight* is *very* newsworthy. — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
21/ Anyone who loves democracy wants Trump to be done with politics. But he’s not. And no midterm election result, opining by cable pundits, or wishcasting by progressives like you and me will change that. Trump is in our lives until his death of natural causes, plain and simple. — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
RT @SethAbramson: (📢) LIVE THREAD: I’m live-tweeting Donald Trump’s announcement of his 2024 presidential campaign tonight at Mar-a-Lago. I… — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
20/ All this is to say that *nothing* Trump will do or say tonight will scare this longtime Trump biographer *more* than the fact that many of those who read this feed have already weighed in on Trump’s speech to say that they don’t need to know about it because Trump is *done*. — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
19/ And if you’ve read NYT bestseller Proof of Conspiracy (Macmillan 2019), you know that there’s indisputable proof that Saudi Arabia and the UAE meddled in the 2016 election for Trump. So when this happened days before tonight’s big speech, it was scary: https://t.co/Ow5AvpvYML — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
18/ Just so, Putin’s “chef”—his chief organizer of trolls and hackers—has now admitted that Russia was meddling in the 2022 midterms. No one doubts that Vladimir Putin is willing to meddle in U.S. elections for *Trump* in a way he would almost no one else. https://t.co/yoBi5uJKut — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
17/ We have no idea what the state of America—or the world—will be in 2024. Further chaos could erupt in Ukraine that Putin positions Trump to “white knight”; we’re already learning that Putin withheld announcing his Kherson retreat until after the midterms to avoid aiding Biden. — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
16/ The midterm elections certainly *did* show that America is willing to vote for democracy and women’s rights. But let’s not get carried away: the GOP will have the House majority by 1 to 5 votes, and the Senate will have *at best* just 51 Democrats. Biden wasn’t on the ballot. — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
15/ In other words, Trump’s 2024 campaign is both serious and dangerous. If you are counting on the GOP to stop him, stop hoping—he will instantly threaten to bolt the party (thereby destroying it) if he is not handed its nomination. See this PROOF report: https://t.co/vqKUdBHDy3 — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
14/ 6⃣ Any legal challenges to this election theft would of course go to the most far-right Supreme Court since the U.S. Civil War, which is 5-4 hard-right partisan with a potential sixth vote from strong conservative Chief Justice John Roberts. And SCOTUS decisions are final. — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
13/ 5⃣ If he comes up just short, Electoral College-wise, he relies on the 1 to 3 GOP-led state legislatures he’d need (not Michigan, which is now Democratic, but Wisconsin is all in) to simply *hand* him the 2024 election in their state under the color of false claims of fraud. — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
12/ 4⃣ Trump continues to be the national/state-by-state leader against Biden—which, whether we like it or not, he currently is, per the sort of independent, nonpartisan polling firms that got the midterms *right*—such that he can even afford to lose some states he now leads in. — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
11/ 3⃣ The new GOP majority in the House instead spends two years spreading disinformation, misinformation, slander, libel, rumor, innuendo and calumny about Biden, driving up his negatives, weakening his 2024 campaign, and doing free oppo research for Trump—with subpoena power. — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
RT @SethAbramson: 2/ This live thread is free. If, as you follow along over the next 2+ hours, you feel moved to use the Venmo tip jar in m… — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
RT @SethAbramson: (📢) LIVE THREAD: I’m live-tweeting Donald Trump’s announcement of his 2024 presidential campaign tonight at Mar-a-Lago. I… — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
10/ 2⃣ The likely new Speaker of the House, Kevin McCarthy—who Trump just formally backed a few days ago—ensures that the new GOP House does absolutely nothing over the next two years to improve the U.S. economy (as that would aid Biden’s approval ratings/chances of reelection). — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
9/ Trump is counting on six things: 1⃣ Biden runs in 2024 because anyone arrogant enough to think they should be leader of the free world isn’t going to pass up a *second* of the time they feel they’re owed in that role—*especially* not if their competition is a punk like Trump. — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
8/ Even Trump’s approval ratings, a midterm election in which neither Trump nor Biden were on the ballot, and the bluster of GOP elites about being done with Trump—and we’ve often heard that before—are meaningless. Trump has a plan to win in 2024 that *doesn’t require your vote*. — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
7/ So you may hate Trump, be sick of him, feel nauseated by him, be convinced by media reports saying his political career is over—all the data to the contrary (see below) notwithstanding—but none of that has anything to do with whether he can win in 2024. https://t.co/WUxIKvR6CU — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
6/ PROOF has written a lot on Moore v. Harper, most notably in the report below. It’s a SCOTUS case whose published opinion arrives in 2023. If the far-right wing of the Court does as expected, it will authorize state legislatures to overturn voters’ will. https://t.co/uUBeOhFsdi — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
5/ This is another way of saying that the significance of a 2024 Trump run has little to do with the possibility he’ll win the popular vote—he almost certainly can’t. The question in play in 2024 is whether he can narrowly win the Electoral College via the aid of Moore v. Harper. — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
4/ Many forget that Donald Trump ran for President of the United States in 2000. His failed campaign lasted 4.5 months and he won 2 Reform Party primaries. The 2024 campaign will be Trump's fourth. He’s never won a national popular vote—or even come close. https://t.co/P2mK0aLx0C — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
3/ Trump is never on time or succinct. This speech is scheduled for 9PM ET, and maybe everything will go as planned—CNN reports that his speech is intended and expected to be “straight-forward”—but it is also possible he’ll be 30 minutes late and ramble for 90 minutes. Be warned. — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
2/ This live thread is free. If, as you follow along over the next 2+ hours, you feel moved to use the Venmo tip jar in my bio (see image below for its location) I really appreciate it. If the button isn't visible to you, you can donate via PayPal instead: https://t.co/WvAPIqGmIs https://t.co/S6ejGc7Yj4 — PolitiTweet.org
