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Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
RT @SethAbramson: 2/ This live thread is free. If, as you follow along over the next 2+ hours, you feel moved to use the Venmo tip jar in m… — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
RT @SethAbramson: (📢) LIVE THREAD: I’m live-tweeting Donald Trump’s announcement of his 2024 presidential campaign tonight at Mar-a-Lago. I… — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
MID-THREAD BREAKING NEWS/ Trump has now filed paperwork to run for President of the United States in 2024. It is official. Anyone who thought Trump was going to pull a bait-and-switch tonight must now accept that this thing is happening. And it is happening in just 10 minutes. — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
50/ No American has ever posed an existential threat to democracy the way Trump does. It’s *equally* true that no US politician has ever posed as much of a threat to the continued existence of *his own political party* as Trump. And if the GOP ends, America changes for *decades*. — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
49/ This is also a man who has fomented violence, who is facing indictment, and who despite being the nominal leader of his political party is *opposed* by many of its elites—some of them *openly* opposing him, now. We have never seen a situation like this. Or even close to this. — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
48/ I also want to take a step back and underscore the sheer absurdity of tonight: Trump is a known criminal, a seditionist, a would-be authoritarian who aims to destroy our democracy. He has sold out our country many times. And now he’s announcing a POTUS run like it’s...normal? — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
47/ I would expect Trump to be defiant tonight, as ever. He may even be angry—given how many powerful Republicans stayed away from Mar-a-Lago—and that is one reason it is harder than usual to think he’ll stay on script and limit himself to just 30 minutes. But we’ll see, I guess. — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
46/ Trump almost certainly looks out at all the election-denying GOP midterm candidates out there—almost all of whom just lost their bids for office—and sees people who *still have a following*. He may not want to sidle up to losers, but he will *use* these people as instruments. — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
45/ Side note: CNN having both Woodward *and* Bernstein on-air right now underscores that tonight *is* a politically important—and historic—night, whether we want it to be or not. Only once (twice?) before has a former President of the United States sought a non-consecutive term. — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
45/ Side note: CNN having both Woodward *and* Bernstein on-air right now underscores that tonight *is* a politically important—and historic—night, whether we want it to be or not. Only once (twice?) before has a former President of the United States sought a non-consequent term. — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
44/ Madison Cawthorn being there seems insignificant—Cawthorn lost his GOP primary and will be leaving Congress—but it underscores that Trump’s 2024 presidential campaign will be a bus to jump on for *all* the GOP’s disgraced insurrectionists. Think you won’t see Kari Lake again? — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
43/ Roger Stone being there suggests Trump will be up to the same borderline-illegal dirty tricks he’s used in all elections—even midterms—with which he’s been involved. Just as Trump paid folks to attend his 2015 launch, one wonders if tonight’s Trump Tower protesters were paid. — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
42/ While many powerful Republicans are staying away from Mar-a-Lago tonight—RNC chair Ronna McDaniel we expected, as she’s already declared the RNC will be neutral in this election cycle; Matt Gaetz coming up with silly excuses to stay away is more surprising—some will be there. — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
41/ Trump has even flexed some political muscle this week. He organized the first-ever leadership challenge to Mitch McConnell (in the person of Sen. Rick Scott of FL) and convinced some House Freedom Caucus members (like Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene of GA) to back Kevin McCarthy. — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
RT @SethAbramson: (📢) LIVE THREAD: I’m live-tweeting Donald Trump’s announcement of his 2024 presidential campaign tonight at Mar-a-Lago. I… — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
40/ In short, Democrats universally consider President Biden a vulnerable incumbent, and if you don’t think that Donald Trump is far and away the gravest threat to a Biden reelection—and to democracy—in all of American politics, you are (I wish it were otherwise) sorely mistaken. — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
39/ 7⃣ The early polls show him with a big lead to burn 8⃣ He has more experience running for POTUS than any of his competitors (this is his fourth time) 9⃣ No matter how much media promises to turn over a new leaf, it’ll give Trump *tons* of earned media no other candidate gets — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
38/ 4⃣ He has far better political chops than any of his would-be competitors (wait and see how unimpressive DeSantis is when you put him on a national stage) 5⃣ He is a *former President of the United States* 6⃣ He has more money than any candidate in history (none of it his) — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
37/ It’s the opinion of this Trump biographer that Trump can’t be defeated in a GOP primary, for *many* reasons: 1⃣ The GOP-primary-voting hard-right base loves him 2⃣ The anti-Trump vote will again be split among many candidates 3⃣ Trump will threaten (early) to bolt the party — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
36/ Remember that Trump doesn’t care *who* loves him—only that he be loved. The base of the GOP—the MAGA base; the folks who always vote in GOP primaries—are the 12% farthest-right fringe of all Americans, and their view of QAnon is so much more favorable than you’d ever imagine. — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
35/ Why? you might wonder. My best guess—as a Trump biographer—is this: it’s a threat. He’s flexing his muscles as a conman, provocateur, stochastic terrorist, and would-be authoritarian—underscoring for the staid GOP elites that he can rally crazies in a way DeSantis never will. — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
34/ As the Daily Beast reports, Trump was last seen on Truth Social spreading—I’m not kidding—“Demon God conspiracy theories” about the Democratic Party and U.S. elections, which is another way of saying that he is openly courting violent QAnon terrorists. https://t.co/hAe7UDpAdo — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
33/ You may not know it, but Trump has been going full apesh*t on his fake social media website Truth Social over the last 48 hours. (Truth Social is just a propaganda tool; it is not a social media website.) He has been attacking *everyone*, spreading the Big Lie, and... worse. — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
32/ So, do we have any idea what to expect from Donald Trump tonight? As a matter of fact, we do. And does what we know on this score make tonight seem even scarier than it would otherwise be—almost like, well, a sort of second Halloween? Yes, unfortunately it does. — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
31/ So while you’ll certainly hear me often complain about how media covers Trump, if you think anyone should be ignoring what Trump does *tonight* I’m trying to assure you—as both a journalist and someone with years of experience as a journalism professor—that you are incorrect. — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
RT @SethAbramson: 2/ This live thread is free. If, as you follow along over the next 2+ hours, you feel moved to use the Venmo tip jar in m… — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
RT @SethAbramson: (📢) LIVE THREAD: I’m live-tweeting Donald Trump’s announcement of his 2024 presidential campaign tonight at Mar-a-Lago. I… — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
30/ Indeed, for all that many progressives appear ready to buy the idea being peddled by some in major media and many Republican elites that the GOP is going to “turn the page” on Trump, does that supposed “commitment” even survive *tonight*? How does the GOP respond to tonight? — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
29/ Will Trump threaten or (as he did pre-January 6) encourage political violence in ways that dramatically increase the odds the 2024 election cycle—which, don’t kid yourself, starts tonight—will be filled with far-right domestic terrorism against political and/or soft targets? — PolitiTweet.org
Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
28/ And before you say, “Who cares about a GOP civil war? Not me!”, look at it this way: a GOP civil war could *topple* a slim House GOP majority in ways we have never seen before or imagined in U.S. politics. It is not clear such a narrow majority can be held amidst a civil war. — PolitiTweet.org