Alex Roarty

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

@MarkHuelsman A Holmgren endorsement move the needle, yes. though if Wis Dems really wanted to change the whole damn game, they'd get mike mccarthy to endorse ... Trump — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

sure it helps in Wisconsin, on the face of it at least. But what if it coaxes a Biden endorsements out of Aaron Rodgers? Game theory, people. Game theory. — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

didn't foresee the late celebrity endorsement push coming from ... Trump https://t.co/MjypVPjNZr — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

RT @williamjordann: My guess is if/when someone hooks up COVID case incidence to precinct-level data -- there will be something to look at… — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

Important caveat: There are some legit methodological concerns about the poll pointed out by @TylerDinucci and @DavidNir https://t.co/LlIjnM1IRI — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

RT @DavidNir: @Alex_Roarty Would just note poll has a sample of just 261 and was in field for 13 days https://t.co/4aW40gP1Ek — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

@TylerDinucci @Bencjacobs 250 is light, but I don't know, there's a lot of other factors that go into what makes a good survey and Trump's numbers in a lot of deep red states have shown a steep drop, no? — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

It makes sense demographically why his overall level of support has dropped the furthest in places like West Virginia, Kentucky, Montana -- his decline vis a vis '16 is concentrated (perhaps entirely so) among white voters, and those are very white states — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

Trump received more than 62% of Kentucky's vote in '16, so we're continuing a trend of the president's most alarming polls coming in some of his safest states — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

RT @PatriciaMazzei: On the ever nail-biting state of play in Florida, with @katieglueck reporting from Tampa on the rare day the two presid… — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

RT @ec_schneider: SCOOP - Thousands of pre-approved Biden campaign ads are still blocked by Facebook, part of its pre-election blackout, pe… — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

RT @AlxThomp: Scoop: Warren wants to be Joe Biden's Treasury secretary and will make her case for it if he wins next week, according to thr… — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

RT @ErikWemple: Intercept EIC Betsy Reed sent me this statement regarding the departure of @ggreenwald, saying there's a "fundamental disag… — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

RT @kateirby: Due to the state’s long experience administering mail-in ballots, ability to count them early and requirement that they be re… — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

RT @alweaver22: Also -- a hilarious thing that happened during Rick Perry interview. After sitting down, I asked him what he's been doing o… — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

RT @ggreenwald: My Resignation From The Intercept The same trends of repression, censorship and ideological homogeneity plaguing the natio… — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

RT @davecatanese: “We’re going to know what the result is that same night, whether it’s by midnight or 1 or 2 in the morning." -- @Aman… — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

RT @MurphinDC: Story coming in seconds. Supreme Court won't intervene in North Carolina state board decision to allow ballots to be receive… — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

RT @AdamWollner: Looking through the RCP archives, there is exactly one poll that wasn't from Rasmussen or Emerson that showed Trump with a… — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

RT @dcbubblepod: New BtB! In our special pre-election episode, @KLR_Editor, @Alex_Roarty, @davecatanese and @AdamWollner talk about the sta… — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

@daveweigel guy just snapped when every time he'd talk in the Oval Office, Trump would tell him "not my tempo" — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

RT @mawilner: Exclusive: The CDC has officially pushed back a Nov. 1 deadline for states to be ready to receive and distribute coronavirus… — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

... and winning it pretty easy. In this century, average difference in margin in prez races between PA and MI is under 2.5 points. '08 was an exception -- the margin was nearly 6 that year -- but otherwise the state have stayed relatively close — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

there's a lot of focus on Pennsylvania being an anomaly this cycle, i.e. not swinging toward Biden to the same degree other upper Midwest states have. And some data to back that up! But it's hard to imagine that, if Biden wins MI by nearly 10 points, he's not also winning Pa ... — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

Not a lot of great polls for Trump today, to put it mildly https://t.co/7YHascHQDU — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

RT @MULawPoll: In new Marquette Law School Poll, Joe Biden is the choice for president of 48% of likely WI voters, Donald Trump is the choi… — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

an early afternoon polling bo-nanza — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

Part of what this good @davecatanese story -- https://t.co/XsZUqkFZUn -- made me realize is the state's Democrats never really mobilized pre-Trump (apologies to Michelle Nunn). Meant there was more for party to tap into compared to a place like North Carolina — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

big siren for the GOP here — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

@BryanLowry3 embiid for harden? — PolitiTweet.org