Alex Roarty

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

... it's not a great track record, and it's not all that small a sample size anymore, either — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

National elections since Trump rose to power: - 2016, when he won narrowly but Dems still gained 2 seats in Senate - 2018, traditional midterm wave - 2020, Trump first president since H.W. to lose reelection - 2022, still unclear but below expectation for GOP so far — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

One thing becoming clear is Republicans managed to run up the score in Florida despite an national climate that, at minimum, wasn't as favorable as widely believed. Means the state's shift to the right (relative to rest of country) is even bigger than it appeared 2 hours ago. — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

going to be a topic of conversation moving forward that Trump told his supporters not to vote for O'Dea -- while DeSantis recorded a robo-call for him — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

was skeptical of the split-ticket phenomenon heading in tonight. no longer. — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

RT @anaceballos_: In 2018, Ron DeSantis was elected over Democrat Andrew Gillum by a mere 32,463 votes --- 0.4% advantage. Tonight, DeSant… — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

RT @anaceballos_: Ron DeSantis wins reelection with a commanding lead, ushering in a red state era in Florida The race was called for DeSa… — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

RT @BiancaJoanie: @anaceballos_ Miami-Dade in two years (2020-2022), side by side. https://t.co/Io0fd39yJO — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

NOT NOW USMNT — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

Question now is what happens to Demings, a candidate many Ds described as the lone ray of sunlight in an otherwise bleak year. No obvious path forward for her political career in a state that now looks a deep shade of red https://t.co/hk915s1lRR — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

Demings had a spending edge over Rubio - by the end of summer, she had a ~3-to-1 ad edge over the incumbent. But her edge misses how badly the whole D ticket was outspent, thanks to tens of millions of $ from DeSantis, and no spending from big-$ D outside groups like E-List — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

In '22, there was little suspense to be found: Rubio led in every public poll of the race (save one dubious survey), and other than a post-Dobbs moment in August, appeared to a hold a comfortable lead throughout. — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

The election was a change for Rubio, who now makes history as the first GOP U.S. senator from Florida to win a third term. In '10, he won an insurgent race against Crist. In '16, he reversed course after failed prez run, entered race late amid an uncertain political climate — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

Marco Rubio won reelection Tuesday, comfortably defeating Democratic opponent Val Demings in a race defined by pervasive economic pessimism and the national Democratic Party’s reluctance to compete in a state increasingly seen as a conservative stronghold. https://t.co/hk915s1lRR — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

RT @MaryEllenKlas: Metaphor? No red wave. Red wedding. https://t.co/f7Q8fY5zuU — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

Dems have been bracing for tonight for basically two years. $$$ pulled out across the board -- and not just super PAC spending on the Senate race -- and the whole apparatus, from grassroots to leaders, were demoralized. ... but the actual results are still going to sting them — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

both results very very bad for Dems ... ... but, maybe surprisingly, not much separation between Rubio and DeSantis. Maybe that's a vote-by-mail phenomenon, or maybe Rubio runs better in Miami-Dade than elsewhere. — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

@Nrgill1 revealing that could burn my source — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

people will mock this as spin (and, indeed, it is!) but Republicans had a horrific midterm in '18 and it still took Trump getting low marks on the pandemic/Floyd protests for him to lose a very, very narrow reelection battle — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

In terms of how it's going for Democrats in Florida, I texted a party operative earlier tonight to arrange for an interview -- and they just sent back an image of a very large bottle of gin — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

(except the panhandle in Florida) — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

going to turn into an account that just tweets "buckle up" every ten minutes for the rest of the night — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

RT @ericbradner: .@sfpathe has an incredible guide to the House landscape, with a download on every competitive race -- organized in a way… — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

RT @TimAlberta: Sure I can. Because there’s a ton of evidence—internal polling, field programs, focus groups, decisions on buys and message… — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

RT @JonathanTamari: The vote count in Philly could take longer than expected after a procedural change approved this morning - in response… — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

@ZacMcCrary @Eric_Jotkoff is '22 a usual election in the state? — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

RT @NickRiccardi: The main impediment to that is Republican lawmakers in MI, PA and WI keeping regulations on election offices that slow do… — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

RT @awprokop: In closely watched Senate races from 2014-2020, final polling averages were within one percentage point of the final outcome… — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

RT @anaceballos_: NEW: The distance between the two GOP heavyweights a day after Trump nicknamed DeSantis “Ron DeSanctimonious," fueled spe… — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

@dcg1114 https://t.co/wcAq6IG6Ru — PolitiTweet.org