David Gauke

David Gauke @DavidGauke

A few comments along the lines of 'London was first in, so now first out' or 'London is further along the curve'. This may be true but doesn't answer the question why London is coming out now, especially if only a small minority have been infected. /3 — PolitiTweet.org

David Gauke @DavidGauke

Grateful for the many responses to this with a range of explanations. I'll attempt to summarise but there was a very good piece by @hannahdev in yesterday's Guardian running through the arguments. /2 https://t.co/NAEj0cGoPp — PolitiTweet.org

David Gauke @DavidGauke

RT @JasonFarrellSky: @DavidGauke Youth, moving out, more working from home, being the initial hotspot and therefore taking it more seriousl… — PolitiTweet.org

David Gauke @DavidGauke

RT @Samfr: On the other hand https://t.co/ew6duzkj6M — PolitiTweet.org

David Gauke @DavidGauke

RT @Samfr: The difference in community transmission between London and other parts of the country is really quite odd. Of all the possible… — PolitiTweet.org

David Gauke @DavidGauke

@jburnmurdoch @hannahdev Interesting to see how Londoners’ behaviour changed more than others. But is it possible that you get different answers depending on whether you look at this relatively or absolutely? Eg Londoners might have decreased use of public transport by more but still use it more? — PolitiTweet.org

David Gauke @DavidGauke

RT @jburnmurdoch: @hannahdev @DavidGauke NB that matters in two separate ways: 1) If that data reflects reality, it follows that community… — PolitiTweet.org

David Gauke @DavidGauke

RT @jburnmurdoch: @hannahdev @DavidGauke Suspect this is part of it: the most detailed location monitoring info I've seen shows that people… — PolitiTweet.org

David Gauke @DavidGauke

@AdamJKucharski @ewanbirney If that’s right, it begs the question: why is transmission in care homes and hospitals higher in some regions than others (given broadly similar levels of community transmission)? (Btw apologies for troubling you with so many questions and many thanks for your responses.) — PolitiTweet.org

David Gauke @DavidGauke

@FlorenMacD That’s true. But for quite a while, London was harder hit than the rest of the country. — PolitiTweet.org

David Gauke @DavidGauke

RT @AdamJKucharski: @DavidGauke @ewanbirney Yes, I think that could be a likely explanation for the data we're currently seeing (noting the… — PolitiTweet.org

David Gauke @DavidGauke

RT @hannahdev: @DavidGauke Some thoughts here from scientists I spoke to yesterday on regional issue.. although one of them also told me it… — PolitiTweet.org

David Gauke @DavidGauke

@StephenGrey @AdamJKucharski @ewanbirney Accepting your point about the testing data not necessarily being a reliable guide, doesn’t the data on hospital admissions and deaths show a very different profile in London than elsewhere? — PolitiTweet.org

David Gauke @DavidGauke

@AdamJKucharski @ewanbirney Do you think community transmission across the UK might be broadly similar and low but that there’s a significant geographical difference in particular settings, like care homes? — PolitiTweet.org

David Gauke @DavidGauke

RT @AdamJKucharski: @DavidGauke @ewanbirney It may have some effect, but I think events/locations are probably more important in general –… — PolitiTweet.org

David Gauke @DavidGauke

@AdamJKucharski @ewanbirney Do you think there’s anything in the ‘superspreader’ idea, that some people have lots of social contact, likely to get virus early & to spread it to many & once they’re immune (assuming they are) harder for virus to transmit (even if only relatively small % of population immune)? — PolitiTweet.org

David Gauke @DavidGauke

RT @AdamJKucharski: @ewanbirney @DavidGauke There's not a clear behavioural explanation– Google mobility has been similar in most UK cities… — PolitiTweet.org

David Gauke @DavidGauke

RT @AdamJKucharski: @ewanbirney @DavidGauke Agree with Ewan that immunity unlikely making much difference – if 10% are immune, it would onl… — PolitiTweet.org

David Gauke @DavidGauke

RT @ewanbirney: @DavidGauke It's a good question David and I think has people scratching heads around. I could throw out speculations (a)… — PolitiTweet.org

David Gauke @DavidGauke

@CharlesTannock That’s a very fair point that lots have left London (staying with relatives, second homes etc). On public transport, true that there’s been a big reduction in London. But I’d be surprised if use of public transport is lower in London than elsewhere. — PolitiTweet.org

David Gauke @DavidGauke

@PlasFron Not saying there are no care homes. Happy to be corrected but I think there are proportionally fewer care home residents in London than elsewhere. — PolitiTweet.org

David Gauke @DavidGauke

@cyclist_rob Certainly London was further advanced when the lockdown happened. But that meant more Londoners were already infected. At one level, you’d think it’d be harder to get control of CV than where there were fewer cases. — PolitiTweet.org

David Gauke @DavidGauke

I’m surprised there’s not more discussion as to why London - the most densely populated part of the UK - now has the lowest levels of infection. More cautious behaviour? Fewer care homes? Some degree of herd immunity (even though likely <20% have had it). Genuinely curious. — PolitiTweet.org

David Gauke @DavidGauke

RT @Andrew_Adonis: There’s nothing right-wing or Tory about wanting schools to reopen safely Education is the greatest force for social p… — PolitiTweet.org

David Gauke @DavidGauke

This is interesting. — PolitiTweet.org

David Gauke @DavidGauke

RT @TomTugendhat: This is a fascinating look at the statistics - a phrase I never thought I would use - by ⁦@TomChivers⁩ https://t.co/YuyQ… — PolitiTweet.org

David Gauke @DavidGauke

@ProfTimBale @philipjcowley Evidence of a rye sense of humour. — PolitiTweet.org

David Gauke @DavidGauke

RT @patrick_kidd: @DavidGauke On the contrary, David, the rustier you are the better value the game is. You get 120 strokes for your money… — PolitiTweet.org

David Gauke @DavidGauke

RT @PaulGoodmanCH: From @MrRBourne on @ConHome: A view so radical that some simply won’t see it. The driver of our problems isn’t lockdown.… — PolitiTweet.org

David Gauke @DavidGauke

I fear national morale is about to take a hit as thousands of golfers realise how rusty they’ve become. — PolitiTweet.org