Sahil Kapur

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

As for the 14th Amendment option, it's based on this language in the Constitution, which some legal scholars cite to argue that the debt limit is unconstitutional. https://t.co/6B2gfOvxD8 — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Debt limit scenarios —Democrats cave and use the filibuster-proof process —Republicans cave and don't filibuster —Democrats nuke the filibuster and do it alone —Mint the coin / 14A / executive action —Breach the limit, default — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

RT @JulieNBCNews: >Democrats are seeking insight from the parliamentarian on changing the registry date from 1972 to 2010 for the legalizat… — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

That's presuming the McConnell/Republican position also holds — that they will filibuster and not let Democrats extend debt limit via the regular process. Something's got to give. — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

🚨 Senate Democrats are categorically ruling out using the filibuster-proof process to lift the debt limit. If this holds, they will soon be faced with a decision: pierce the filibuster with 50+1 votes or risk debt default. — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

And to @baseballot’s point, Hill Dems are more cohesive and liberal than early Obama era—when they had huge majorities, when “conservative Democrat” was a descriptor and not a slur, when progressive demands were at times to the right of what today’s median Democrat can support. — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Democrats can be 95% in array and 5% in disarray but that 5% makes the difference in these tiny majorities. — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

A notable piece of this dynamic is that progressives are less worried about House centrists quashing the mega-bill. They believe the House will get there. Their real fear is Senate, specially (perennially) Manchin and (increasingly these days) Sinema. https://t.co/ERjNNMkinn — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Rep. @GerryConnolly on the standoff between liberals and centrists: “We have to understand we're in the situation of mutually assured destruction here. The old 'MAD' — Cold War. You kill my bill, I'll kill yours. And we don't want to kill either one.” https://t.co/ERjNNMkinn — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

“My fear is that if the dual agreement that was reached is broken, and we just pass the infrastructure bill, the leverage that we have here in the Senate to pass the reconciliation bill will be largely gone,” @BernieSanders says. https://t.co/ERjNNMkinn — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

RT @PostRoz: Agencies like the IRS and the State Department are still digging out of huge pandemic backlogs. A government shutdown could ma… — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

RT @kenvogel: When the @AP presented @KristiNoem with this eyebrow-raising fact pattern, she declined an interview request & her office dec… — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

That’s kind of easy to say after Pelosi has made clear it’s going to shrink — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

RT @Redistrict: A few reasons Rs won't gain as many seats from redistricting as initial "sky is falling" predictions on left: - Many state… — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

One dynamic @LACaldwellDC picked up on today: House liberals have more patience for Manchin as he’s from a ruby red state Trump carried by ~40 pts, less patience for Sinema who’s from a blue-trending state that voted for a D president + 2 Dem senators. https://t.co/ERjNNMkinn — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

At a Democratic caucus meeting, Rep. Ro Khanna had some sharp words that were unmistakably directed at Kyrsten Sinema and her reconciliation tactics — and he received applause. We caught up with @RoKhanna and he had more to say. https://t.co/ERjNNMkinn https://t.co/LDOinXDE92 — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

NEW: House liberals dig in on halting the infrastructure bill until the social safety net bill has passed. Frustration grows with Sinema and Manchin — especially Sinema. Some Democrats fear "mutually assured destruction." w/ @LACaldwellDC @GarrettHaake: https://t.co/ERjNNMkinn — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

.@RepJayapal on infrastructure/mega-bill puzzle: "I don't think the Speaker has switched her stance... She also is a great vote counter, and she knows that we don't have the votes for the bipartisan bill without the reconciliation bill. So I've been talking to her very regularly" — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

So what exactly is McConnell offering Schumer here on the debt limit process? Republicans are willing to consent to bypassing the motion to proceed on Sec. 304 to revise the budget resolution, per GOP aide. It’s not much; essentially another nudge for Dems to use reconciliation. — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

.@BernieSanders: “I strongly urge my House colleagues to vote against the bipartisan infrastructure bill until Congress passes a strong reconciliation bill.” https://t.co/U1rIOEAJCO — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

McConnell says, however, that Republicans will consent to moving quickly on the Senate floor if Democrats amend the budget resolution and use reconciliation. Schumer says no. "The Republican leader has offered virtually nothing," he says. "Doesn't change a darn thing." — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

SCHUMER asks for unanimous consent to hold a Senate vote to suspend the debt limit at a 51-vote threshold, i.e. no filibuster and Democrats can do it themselves. McCONNELL objects. No vote. The Republican filibuster holds. — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Moments after Schumer calls it a “nonstarter” to raise the debt limit in reconciliation, McConnell reiterates that Senate Republicans want Democrats to lift it “on their own” and have said so for months. — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

.@SenSchumer’s bottom line: Democrats will extend the debt limit by themselves with 50 votes but not in the reconciliation process. They’ll do it through the regular process once Republicans drop their filibuster. — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

^ that’s Schumer after the Democratic caucus meeting. He says he will make his unanimous consent to extend it with Dem votes only. “If Republicans continue to stand in the way, they will force the country in default for the first time in history.” — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

🚨 SCHUMER on debt limit: “Going through reconciliation is risky for the country and is a nonstarter.” — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

.@SpeakerPelosi writes a new letter to colleagues: "It would be a dereliction of duty for us to build the infrastructure of America without doing so in a manner that addresses the climate crisis significantly... To do so, we must pass the Build Back Better Act." https://t.co/BGf2nnl8BX — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

JAYAPAL: "We articulated this position more than three months ago, and today it is still unchanged: progressives will vote for both bills, but a majority of our members will only vote for the infrastructure bill after the President’s visionary Build Back Better Act passes." https://t.co/47AKyXubhs — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

RT @GarrettHaake: Spoke to @Sen_JoeManchin on his way to votes. I asked if he'd have a $ number for Biden today, as requested. He told me t… — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

that'll do it — PolitiTweet.org