Sahil Kapur

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

“mister SPEAKAH” House members who aren’t from New England are having a lot of fun during proxy votes right now — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

One big question mark tonight is @RepGolden. He’s the only Democrat in chamber to vote against the $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan. He hasn’t said how he’ll vote on BBBA but he’s been critical of some parts (i.e. SALT). Pelosi can afford maximum 3 defections to pass the bill. — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

"Despite its flaws, the Build Back Better Act has a lot of positive elements," says Rep. Stephanie Murphy. "There is a lot of good in this bill, and as a pragmatic Democrat who wants to deliver for my constituents, I am never one to let the perfect become the enemy of the good." https://t.co/s7lPIs95Hh — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

.@RepStephMurphy is a YES on the Build Back Better Act. A good sign for the bill’s prospects—she voted against all parts of it in the Ways & Means Committee and withheld her vote for a CBO cost estimate. — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Good point here. Democrats had considered using the magical asterisk known as dynamic scoring — assume growth from the bill and count that as savings — but appear to have abandoned that. Partly a result of shrinking the spending level from $3.5T to ~$1.7T. — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

House moves closer to major vote on Biden's Build Back Better legislation https://t.co/DuTjNLYv74 — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Another wrinkle: House's paid leave provision is estimated to cost ~$205 billion, per CBO. If Manchin strips that out in the Senate—as he has indicated he will—and nothing else changes then this bill scores as a deficit reducer by CBO & Treasury standard. — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Meanwhile: Trump just released a statement endorsing Paul Gosar for re-election, praising him as "a loyal supporter of our America First agenda." This comes after the House voted to censure and throw Gosar off committees for posting anime video depicting murder of a Dem lawmaker. — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

The $367 billion in new deficits doesn't account for the $207 billion CBO projects in IRS savings, meaning CBO's effective estimate is $160 billion in new deficits. Treasury estimates IRS enforcement saves $400 billion, which could satisfy Dems on pay-fors — if they trust it. — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

CBO analysis: https://t.co/tLDmmfJ5An "CBO estimates that enacting this legislation would result in a net increase in the deficit totaling $367 billion over the 2022-2031 period, not counting any additional revenue that may be generated by additional funding for tax enforcement" — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

House returning soon... https://t.co/Z9nNyFO9Jk — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

That was quick. House Rules Committee just voted 9-3 to approve the "Rule" sending the Build Back Better Act to the floor. "We're hoping to go, like, soon. Like, soon," Chairman Jim McGovern says before adjourning the committee. — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

House Democratic leaders are hoping to pass the Build Back Better Act TONIGHT. Speaker Pelosi tells members the sequence: Rules Committee approval, one hour of floor debate on Rule, then 20 minutes of BBB floor debate, then a series ending in a vote on final passage of the bill. https://t.co/OxsFSs0NeL — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

RT @MeetThePress: If it's Thursday, it's #TweetThePress! Check out our conversation with @NBCNews national political reporter @sahilkapur,… — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

New England Democrats love their Republican governors — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Yes — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

The White House has been priming Democrats to expect this discrepancy and making the case to lawmakers privately for why to trust Treasury estimates on this policy (i.e. Treasury gives more weight to deterrence on tax cheating than CBO). — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

CBO releases a cost estimate for the Ways & Means portion of the Build Back Better bill https://t.co/5v0qJD1VlO — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

@MeetThePress @NBCNews Great to join you! It was a pleasure to #TweetThePress. See you next time. -30- — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

@MeetThePress @NBCNews There will also be a Senate "vote-a-rama" with unlimited amendments from either party. Republicans will throw politically painful votes at Dems, try to strip out some items, change other provisions, etc. All told, Majority Leader Schumer says he wants it passed by Christmas. — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

@MeetThePress @NBCNews ...which is the process where the arcane Senate budget are applied to make sure everything complies. This is the reconciliation process where a bill can bypass the filibuster, which limits what can be in it. Republicans can challenge anything and the parliamentarian decides. 2/ — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

@MeetThePress @NBCNews One is paid leave, which Sen. Manchin says should not be included in this bill. It's likely to come out in the Senate. Another is "SALT" expansion from $10K to $80K—may have to change. Immigration. And then all sorts of smaller things that can arise in the Byrd bath... 1/ — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

@MeetThePress @NBCNews ...this could happen pretty quickly. CBO has been putting out pieces of information in recent days and said it'll have a full cost estimate later today. If the few centrist Democrats who've demanded that are satisfied with what they see, it'd likely unlock the votes to pass it. — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

@MeetThePress @NBCNews It's a waiting game. Lots of Democrats want this done and over with. Speaker Pelosi has said "hopefully" the House will vote on the bill today but they're waiting on some information from the Senate and cost details from the CBO. Once they get what they need... 1/ — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

@MeetThePress @NBCNews McCarthy hinted there would be retribution if Republicans take control of the House next year. He said Gosar (and M.T.Greene) would get committee assignments but that some Dems may not, citing dissimilar remarks that have riled up the right. More here: https://t.co/DRCTZic98B — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

@MeetThePress @NBCNews Gosar also compared himself to Alexander Hamilton, "the first person attempted to be censured by this House." Rep. Cicilline, moments later: "You are no Alexander Hamilton." Hamilton, I should note, wasn't ultimately censured. The House didn't have the votes. Gosar was censured. — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

@MeetThePress @NBCNews After a publicly outcry he quietly deleted it from his social media pages. But he never apologized. On the floor Wednesday, Gosar said he took it down not because he regrets it but because it was misunderstood. "I do not espouse violence towards anyone. I never have," he said. 1/ — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

@MeetThePress @NBCNews Highly. The specific punishment is he loses his committee assignments on Oversight and National Resources. As far as Democrats are concerned, this is an attempt to make clear that violent rhetoric from members won't go unpunished. Just two Rs voted to censure: Cheney & Kinzinger. — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

RT @MeetThePress: If it’s Thursday, it’s #TweetThePress! Today, we are joined by @NBCNews national political reporter Sahil Kapur, who has… — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

@MeetThePress @NBCNews Hello! Thanks for having me back, I'm excited to #TweetThePress on the latest from Capitol Hill today. — PolitiTweet.org