Sahil Kapur

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

WaPo-ABC poll Biden approval: 42% 👍, 53% 👎 Democrats say 58-31% pick someone other than Biden Republicans say 49-44% pick someone other than Trump Head to head: Trump 48%, Biden 45% Overall, not much enthusiasm for either of them winning in 2024 https://t.co/nqamgzZ5Y5 https://t.co/eeERlZl4wL — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

RT @Yamiche: “Welcome to the Seinfeld Congress. It’s a show about nothing.” https://t.co/o5GaLVN7kd by @scottwongDC, @sahilkapur, and @fran… — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

RT @AP: BREAKING: China is protesting the U.S. downing of a Chinese balloon, saying the action violates international norms and it reserves… — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

@Karoli Obama won Iowa again in 2012. It’s been one of the most campaign-rich states for generations; didn’t suddenly pick up after ‘08. It turned red over education polarization, which (yes) was fueled by the culture wars — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

.@SecDef statement on the balloon: https://t.co/uzdAZQbT2h — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

RT @NBCNews: NEW: The U.S. has downed the Chinese surveillance balloon off the Carolina coast on Saturday and will attempt to recover its d… — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

@gummy_worm16 @Karoli Pre-2016, non-college white voters used to split more evenly between the parties. Now they vote overwhelmingly R, hence IA is redder. Meanwhile college-educated white voters have trended Dem, hence CO is blue and AZ/GA went red to purple. — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

@Karoli No, you misread the tweet. It says it turned red because of a realignment — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

One upshot of Iowa’s longevity atop the calendar is it had long been a swing state, from 1972 inception of caucuses until 2016, when a realignment swung it safe GOP. SC is nobody’s idea of a swing state and there’s less post-primary benefit for Dems to spend a ton of time there. — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

South Carolina before Nevada is an interesting choice by the DNC. SC serves a vital constituency in the party but it’s a red state that Dems always lose in the general. Nevada also serves a vital constituency and it’s a swing state where Dems have 2 senators and 3/4 House seats. — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

RT @charliebilello: Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate in the US... 1970s: 8.9% 1980s: 12.7% 1990s: 8.1% 2000s: 6.3% 2010s: 4.1% 2020s: 3.9% ---… — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

RT @aseitzwald: Here's the new 2024 Democratic presidential primary: - South Carolina on Feb. 3 - Nevada (and maybe NH) on Feb. 6 - (Ge… — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

RT @aseitzwald: NEWS: The DNC just officially approved by voice vote the revamped primary calendar for 2024, which moves SC and NV to the f… — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Big news here: Iowa and New Hampshire are over. Democrats are making SOUTH CAROLINA the first primary voting state, then NEVADA. https://t.co/6ukvvpjYBR — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

RT @kenvogel: NEW: KEVIN McCARTHY's closest confidant & biggest fundraiser is a lobbyist who spearheaded his speaker campaign, sneaking int… — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Sen. @JonTester hasn’t said whether he’s running for re-election… but it’s hard to look at this and think he’s ready to hang it up. https://t.co/yFJnk3a4da — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

George Santos appears to owe more than $3,400 in traffic and parking tickets in two states, ⁦per @CBSNews⁩. https://t.co/Krhvp4SeMt — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Kyrie Irving asks Nets for trade ahead of deadline, per ⁦@wojespn⁩ https://t.co/NjHcixOofI — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Wrote about this in 2015, but one reason Trump took over the GOP with relative ease is the party's agenda was being crafted for elites and stopped appealing to the base. R donors care more about low top tax rates than Social Security; base is the opposite. https://t.co/taFJDQVkbJ — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

RT @haleytalbotnbc: Republican Rep. Victoria Spartz says she will retire from politics after 2024 w/ ⁦@sahilkapur⁩ https://t.co/MGsTUplCFz — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

@MarcGoldwein @econwonk @TheChrisTowner and that’s why it might work: Rs spin it as a cut, Ds dismiss it as a fig leaf — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

@MarcGoldwein @econwonk @TheChrisTowner ~$500b unspent and $157b "unobligated" per GAO. https://t.co/wiU84IrDYI — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Mike Pence calls for Social Security "reforms," including private accounts for younger Americans. "I think the day could come when we could replace the New Deal with a better deal," he says. Per video obtained by @tomlobianco: https://t.co/kMohk739l8 — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Rep. Victoria Spartz (R-Indiana), who was considering a Senate run, now says she’ll retire and not run for office at all in 2024. https://t.co/rNcHRlMulR — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

And that, ironically, is the point. The ability to play word games is what makes this idea viable in context. Republicans can tout it as a “cut”; Democrats can dismiss it as a fig leaf. — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

This policy won't come close to balancing the budget. But that's clearly not going to happen, even in the House, with a GOP majority jittery about the big pots of money—Medicare, Social Security, Pentagon. This could all come down to face-saving measures. https://t.co/wiU84Ir69a — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

House Republicans are finally identifying something they want to include in a debt ceiling bill: recapturing pandemic relief money that's been approved but not spent. It's a revealing window into what the conference will & won't do—and points to a potential safe zone for endgame. https://t.co/88MmWBKkjT — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

The U.S added 517,000 jobs in January, much better than 187,000 expected The unemployment rate fell to 3.4% versus the estimate of 3.6%. https://t.co/UUBYDEcjm9 — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Senior Republicans on rescinding unspent covid cash in debt limit bill COLE: “I would hope we look at that” KELLY: “cuts that don’t hurt people” SCHWEIKERT: “low-hanging fruit” GOP aides point to ~$500 billion. Per GAO, $157 billion is “unobligated.” https://t.co/wiU84Ir69a — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

NEW —> House Republicans float one spending cut in a debt ceiling bill: unspent Covid money There’s no detailed plan yet, but this is the most specificity we’ve heard so far from senior GOP lawmakers. A glimpse into the party’s mindset. https://t.co/wiU84Ir69a — PolitiTweet.org