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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

@HarryRadgen @HotlineJosh Manchin and Tester also won recently. doesn’t mean WV and MT aren’t red. they’re uniquely strong incumbents with a foundation that other candidates can’t replicate — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 12, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

@HotlineJosh fair. Ds would likely need an epic R meltdown to have a shot at Ohio, on the scale of MO 2012 or worse — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 12, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Big haul but (as Amy McGrath can tell you) money doesn't win Senate races. Trump won Ohio by 8 points in 2020 while losing national popular vote by ~7 million. It's a fairly red state where no Dem except Sherrod Brown has won a federal office (or gov) post-2012. Ryan = underdog. — PolitiTweet.org

Josh Kraushaar @HotlineJosh

Don't sleep on the Ohio Senate race: Rep. Tim Ryan just announced he raised $4.1M in the first quarter as the Repub… https://t.co/7oXab9SkXf

Posted April 12, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

White House responding to a Republican House candidate in Florida who's calling for abolishing ATF: — PolitiTweet.org

Mike Gwin @MGwin46

Why do Republicans want to defund federal law enforcement efforts against gun crime? https://t.co/cVH4ya6qWL

Posted April 12, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

A longstanding tendency in conservative spaces to treat unwelcome Trump moves as a product of him being duped by someone. He can't fail, he can only be failed. — PolitiTweet.org

Mo Brooks @MoBrooks

This is happening because Trump’s surrounded himself by staff who are on McConnell’s payroll & hostile to the MAGA… https://t.co/293buZ…

Posted April 12, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Democrats breaking with Biden on Title 42 include centrists like Manchin, Sinema and Tester. They also include Hassan (NH), Warnock (GA), Kelly (AZ) and Cortez Masto (NV) — these four aren't known for clashing with Biden. But all face reelection this fall. https://t.co/Z6QzXJgFLk — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 12, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

The root of these problems is a mismatch between laws and resources. Congress says deport lawbreakers, doesn't provide enough resources to do it. Congress says give asylum seekers a chance to be heard, doesn't provide enough resources to handle the flows. https://t.co/Z6QzXJgFLk — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 12, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

A choose your own adventure-type statement from Manchin. His remarks on spending/bipartisanship could be seen as anti-reconciliation. His calls for cutting the deficit could be construed as supportive of a net-revenue package. Nothing definitive (as is often the case from him). — PolitiTweet.org

Benjy Sarlin @BenjySarlin

Manchin again calls for reducing deficit and "all of above" energy plan, which is what any new reconciliation bill… https://t.co/FPd3Fel6b9

Posted April 12, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Manchin statement on inflation report: “Instead of acting boldly, our elected leaders and the Federal Reserve continue to respond with half-measures and rhetorical failures searching for where to lay the blame.” — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 12, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

BFD. The job market may be strong but if real wages are declining it helps explain the economic discontentment. https://t.co/Wa4Jyn6X8S — PolitiTweet.org

Jason Furman @jasonfurman

Finally what does this mean? Real wages fell 2.8% over the last 12 months. That is a larger decline than any pre-pa… https://t.co/HFQ2rM4fMX

Posted April 12, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Good catch from the Honolulu @CivilBeat: Rep. @KaiKahele, the first-term Democratic congressman from Hawaii, "has rarely spent any time in Washington." He hasn't cast a vote in the House since January, getting his colleagues do it for him instead. https://t.co/Pg86dym3dl — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 12, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

New from Trump: "One person in Pennsylvania who I will not be endorsing is Bill McSwain for Governor." The reason, he says, is McSwain was US attorney during/after 2020 election and didn't help him overturn the result. (Biden won PA by >80,000, no evidence of widespread fraud.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 12, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

A useful money-in-pockets metric: "Real average hourly earnings for all employees decreased 0.8 percent from February to March, seasonally adjusted... Real average hourly earnings decreased 2.7 percent, seasonally adjusted, from March 2021 to March 2022." https://t.co/TB00dpxf3D — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 12, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

RT @PressSec: @POTUS has been briefed on the latest developments regarding the New York City subway shooting. White House senior staff are… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 12, 2022 Retweet
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Interesting nugget in the new inflation breakdown. — PolitiTweet.org

Ben Casselman @bencasselman

Headline inflation accelerated in March, but we all knew that would happen given gas prices. The bigger surprise is… https://t.co/WY3cvPX2Ma

Posted April 12, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

RT @GaryGrumbach: As Pres. Biden visits Iowa today to talk about ways his administration is trying to make the cost of living less expensiv… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 12, 2022 Retweet
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

“But they have largely ignored a much more serious immigration-related political risk. The problem in the months ahead isn’t [US] will allow in too many immigrants; it’s that we’ll admit too few, particularly the kinds of workers who can fill critical labor-market shortages.” — PolitiTweet.org

Catherine Rampell @crampell

Yes, immigration is going to be a serious vulnerability for Dems in the midterms. But not in the way that pollsters… https://t.co/BSlZhYNy0j

Posted April 12, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

“Everything Hurd says now is the same exact shit I peddled as the spokesman for Jon Huntsman’s presidential campaign eleven years ago. Comity! Normalcy! Taking on the hard challenges! Ignoring the extremists! Getting off the crazy train!” ⁦@Timodc⁩: https://t.co/KvZT2lPGVE — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 12, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

RT @johnlegend: @AndrewYang My brother, you have to keep reading. What happened next? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 12, 2022 Retweet
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Biden finalizes restrictions on 'ghost guns,' names new ATF nominee These are two initiatives gun violence prevention advocates have been pushing him to do for months. https://t.co/3JSSenyNwx — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 11, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

With Biden and Modi meeting today, bumping my recent piece with @aseitzwald about why India is treading cautiously on Russia-Ukraine. https://t.co/roYA8RdMzw — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 11, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Congrats and farewell to a stellar reporter and wonderful colleague. Sad to lose @LACaldwellDC and NBC won’t feel the same. At least we still get to see you on the Hill! — PolitiTweet.org

Leigh Ann Caldwell @LACaldwellDC

PERSONAL NEWS!!!!! I'm headed to the Washington Post for a really excited new challenge. I'll be Co-Author of t… https://t.co/4B8cBTy8yk

Posted April 11, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Abby Finkenauer can't appear on Democratic primary ballot, Iowa judge rules "The decision is likely to be appealed to the Iowa Supreme Court. Finkenauer's campaign and an attorney for the challengers did not immediately provide a comment," per @DMRegister https://t.co/ElFvyIZoB3 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 11, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

New: Immigration politics turn sour for Democrats Liberals are unhappy w/ lack of progress Republicans more fired up about the issue Biden faces low approval on immigration Dems split from him on Title 42 Big bill is DOA; even Dream Act lacks a path https://t.co/Z6QzXJgFLk — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 11, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

RT @paraga: Elon has decided not to join our board. I sent a brief note to the company, sharing with you all here. https://t.co/lfrXACavvk — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 11, 2022 Retweet
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

“It’s absolutely clear that what President Trump was doing — what a number of people around him were doing — that they knew it was unlawful. They did it anyway,” ⁦@Liz_Cheney⁩ says. https://t.co/VUYoFdBT5l — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 11, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

STARR COUNTY, Texas (ValleyCentral) — A woman has been charged with murder after authorities say she performed a “self-induced abortion.” https://t.co/skqmkIHuAP — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 10, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Trump endorses Dr. Oz in the Pennsylvania Senate Republican primary, saying in a statement his decision is “all about winning elections.” — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 9, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

RT @BBCYaldaHakim: Johnson: “How are you?” Zelensky: “You know how I am” https://t.co/87NBEiVosQ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 9, 2022 Retweet
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Of course! But (1) Sinema/Manchin weren’t on the ballot in 2020 (2) Democratic Senate candidates underperformed nearly everywhere that cycle — except in Georgia, where the stakes became extra clear. — PolitiTweet.org

ringwiss @ringwiss

@sahilkapur ... and by Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema and every other Democratic senator.

Posted April 9, 2022