Sahil Kapur

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

GOP hopeful Baugh says he hasn't watched 1/6 hearings, calling them "a bit of a sham show" & says voters don't care. Does he believe Biden is legit president? "I do," he tells me. But he hedges and doesn't say if he'd have voted to certify PA/AZ electors. https://t.co/zBS9lESFU6 — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

A big question in swing districts like OC: "Is there going to be a path back for these right-of-center, moderate, wealthy, suburban voters given how much the current Republican agenda has done to alienate them? I’m skeptical there is that path back." https://t.co/zBS9lESFU6 — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Expanding the state and local tax (SALT) deduction, which Republicans capped at $10,000 in the 2017 tax law, is a rare issue that @katieporteroc and @ScottBaughCA47 agree on. — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

RT @JeremyBWhite: Clear #CA47 contrast on social issues: Republican ⁦@ScottBaughCA47⁩ tells NBC he’d vote against same-sex marriage/abortio… — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Sharp contrast here: Porter voted to codify legal abortion and same-sex marriage; she says “Orange County values” those freedoms. Baugh says he’d vote NO on those bills, voicing openness to federal abortion limits and calling marriage between man & woman. https://t.co/zBS9lEB4vw — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Porter’s solution to inflation: pass drug pricing bill, manufacturing via chips, go after corporate price gouging. She says Rs have no plan only “epithets.” Baugh’s solution: “quit spending so much money,” balance budget, overhaul Medicare & Soc Security. https://t.co/zBS9lEB4vw — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

“Orange County is so often a bellwether for national politics.” This district reflects cross-currents shaping the 2022 election. Biden’s low approval and rising costs a problem for Dems in power. Culturally GOP is out of sync—will ex-Rs who fled return? https://t.co/zBS9lEB4vw — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

New —> As Manchin pushes for speedy passage of new deal, Sinema stays quiet https://t.co/Hl9ypyPNf5 — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

From Newport Beach: In a key swing district, @KatiePorterOC clashes with GOP opponent over @ScottBaughCA47 over in… https://t.co/Q5WKClZgGc — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

RT @BrendanNyhan: Kids: Study political science https://t.co/OARk74aUAX — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

RT @LeoShane: Ahead of Monday's #PACTAct revote, here's a look at GOP objections to the bill. The budget accounting issues aren't new (as s… — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

RIP Bill Russell — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Last December, Joe Manchin went on the Sunday shows and killed the Build Back Better Act. Today Manchin's back on the Sunday circuit to defend the medium-size deal he struck with Chuck Schumer, swatting away GOP criticisms and calling for passage this week. He appears committed. — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Manchin rejects GOP argument that taxes will deter investment. "Last 3 years have been massive, record profits. Massive, record profits. And with that being said, it's been the lowest investment of capital expenditure we've ever had. So it's not the taxes that are driving this." — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Joe Manchin defends the 15% corporate minimum tax on @MeetThePress: "That's not a tax increase. It's closing a loophole." "You would at least think that they would be paying at least 15%. Most businesses and all corporations that I know pay 21%," he says. — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

No doubt Republicans feel angry and betrayed that Democrats are doing reconciliation. They never, however, promised not to as a quid pro quo for passing other items. GOP made a judgment call about Manchin and—for now, it seems—judged wrong. Not the first time he’s been misread. — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

RT @NBCUAcademy: How do we restore trust in journalism? We had an excellent #AAJA22 @aaja panel on this important topic with: - @NBCNews… — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

RT @scottwongDC: NEW w/⁦@sahilkapur⁩: With MANCHIN’s SURPRISE, Democrats finally feel they have robust agenda to run on this fall “We need… — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Sinema has been a challenging negotiator for Democratic leaders but she isn’t seen as a flip-flopper. Thus far she has been against closing carried interest ($14b, non-essential to the bill) and in favor of 15% corporate minimum ($313b, essential to the bill). — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Democrats have 49 Senate votes and a majority in the House to raise the corporate tax rate from 21% to 25% (worth about $400b in revenue); @SenatorSinema is the only objection. But she has been willing to do the 15% corporate minimum tax instead. — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

RT @JeffWeinerOS: New: A GOP FL House candidate had himself removed from voter rolls over his false belief the 2020 election was "stolen."… — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

“Overall, the plan would affect about 150 companies annually and raise about $313 billion over a decade, according to a report this week from [JCT]. Nearly half of the revenue would come from manufacturers, the committee said” https://t.co/s9vf9n9Q51 — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Interesting op-ed placement here from a Democratic Senate candidate in red Missouri — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

We'll find out in a few months if the strategy succeeds but this has been John Fetterman's theory of the case: focus on an economic populist message that plays in Trump country. In the primary he broke with his party on Title 42 and mask mandates. https://t.co/2rp28Pk1RL — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

These are wild numbers for a Democrat in a year like this. Time will tell if they hold. For context: In Pennsylvania 2020, Donald Trump beat Joe Biden 72-27% with white non-college men and 61-39% with white non-college women (per NBC's exit polls). — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

If this deal passes, Biden will have inked wins on: Drug pricing Climate/ACA $$ Higher taxes on corporations $1.9T Covid rescue plan $1.2T infrastructure law New gun law Chips/China bill KBJ on SCOTUS 73+ lower court judges VAWA re-up Postal reform This is not a trivial agenda. — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

New —> With Manchin's surprise, Democrats finally feel they have robust agenda to run on Reconciliation deal gives Democrats some ammo where they’re weakest: rising costs. “We needed a boost… I think we were down in the dumps.” w/ ⁦@scottwongDC⁩: https://t.co/Co9SxJ2Hzd — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

That shift mirrors the trend in national public opinion on guns. It also reflects a realignment in which the Democratic Party is becoming less rural (losing non-college white voters in droves) and more suburban (doing better with college grads since the rise of Trump). — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Hard to overstate the magnitude of the Democratic shift on guns. Last time they controlled the House, in the Obama era, they refused to touch this issue. Didn't even pursue even modest items like background checks. Today, nearly every House Dem voted for Assault Weapons Ban bill. — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

🚨 The House just passed an assault weapons ban. https://t.co/NzcZhIBcGI — PolitiTweet.org