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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

And as I mentioned earlier today, 2020 polls were way off in Wisconsin (underestimated GOP strength by ~7 points) but fairly on target in Arizona. So apply any discounts as you see fit. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 18, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

The gender gap on abortion in Arizona https://t.co/P6lFcjDOJW — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 18, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

In Fox’s Wisconsin poll, the favorables largely tell the story. Barnes is 48/35, Johnson is 45/51 (with 44% holding a “strongly” unfavorable view of the incumbent). And in what’s shaping up to be contest of who’s less extreme, this says Barnes has the edge. https://t.co/g7OU4fJzju — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 18, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

According to the new @FoxNews poll, Blake Masters’ association with Trump is a bigger liability than Mark Kelly’s association with Biden. https://t.co/1jDoi0ZmUu — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 18, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

New @FoxNews Senate polls ARIZONA Kelly (D) 50% Masters (R) 42% WISCONSIN Barnes (D) 50% Johnson (R) 46% — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 18, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Mitch McConnell cites "candidate quality" and casts a bit of doubt on Republican prospects of capturing the Senate. He didn't name names but it's not hard to decipher. A bit of déjà vu from 2010 and 2012 for the longtime Senate GOP leader? Our reporting on @HallieJackson @MSNBC: https://t.co/H4Nel1vEvN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 18, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

New: McConnell downplays expectations for GOP Senate control, predicting an "extremely close" fight that could break either way. "Senate races are just different — they're statewide, candidate quality has a lot to do with the outcome." w/ @frankthorp: https://t.co/6ex9vUCOYb — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 18, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

RT @JansingReports: Coming up at 1pm ET with @ChrisJansing on @MSNBC: @calnbc @JaxAlemany @AWeissmann_ @FrankFigliuzzi1 @Tom_Winter @shan… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 18, 2022 Retweet
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Obvious note of caution: Ohio polls were massively off in 2020 and overestimated Sherrod Brown’s margins in 2018. It says something if national GOP feels the need to pour cash there but lean R still sounds right. — PolitiTweet.org

Michael McDonald @ElectProject

Interesting development that Republicans are panicking over Vance and the Ohio Senate election. Given how the state… https://t.co/EQRmjztyLs

Posted Aug. 18, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

RT @KFILE: Legitimately, it’s because Dr. Oz is pretending to be an everyman. https://t.co/bJ5u4FZy2Y — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 18, 2022 Retweet Deleted after 15 days
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

@KFILE was only half-kidding when i tweeted this https://t.co/C4fnhpckau — PolitiTweet.org

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Paul Manafort will be out of jail in time to chair the 2024 nominee’s presidential campaign.

Posted Aug. 18, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Pretty much 👇. Trump regularly bragged about how rich he was; hardly a pretense of being a regular working man. His bond with Republican voters has always been more about shared cultural grievances and resentments than about relating to their economic experiences. — PolitiTweet.org

Benjy Sarlin @BenjySarlin

Kevin Williamson had a prescient take on this in 2012, arguing Romney made a mistake presenting himself as a regula… https://t.co/wUVwiZOgGQ

Posted Aug. 18, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

RT @NBCNews: Treasury Sec. Yellen emphasized in an internal memo that new resources for the IRS will be aimed at wealthy tax avoiders, afte… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 18, 2022 Retweet
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Ex-Trump Org. CFO Weisselberg pleads guilty to multiple counts of tax fraud https://t.co/VveFhKKLvs — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 18, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

He is endorsed by Rep. Elise Stefanik, the No. 3 House Republican — PolitiTweet.org

The Buffalo News @TheBuffaloNews

Republican congressional candidate Carl Paladino said on a radio show last week that U.S. Attorney General Merrick… https://t.co/2ZBzMR5ad5

Posted Aug. 18, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Salman Rushdie book sales surge after stabbing attack https://t.co/qAKkTAo9W8 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 18, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

RT @JessicaTaylor: NEW at @CookPolitical this AM: GOP fears a repeat of 2010/12 when weak candidates cost them winnable races Ratings ch… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 18, 2022 Retweet
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

This was a huge problem in 2020 and the uncertainty still lingers. Notable, however, that the error rates tended to vary across the country: Some state polls were *way* off and pro-Dem, like OH/WI and a bit less so MI/FL. Others like AZ/GA were reasonably on target. — PolitiTweet.org

Jonathan Chait @jonathanchait

To me, the most likely explanation for all these polls that show extremely favorable results for Democrats is that… https://t.co/FzLxebBAQA

Posted Aug. 18, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

@faizanj sort of annoyed I didn’t think of this earlier, well played — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 18, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

What passes for a Finnish scandal 👇 — PolitiTweet.org

Visegrád 24 @visegrad24

Finland’s Prime Minister @MarinSanna is in the headlines after a video of her partying was leaked today. She has… https://t.co/NGTXLPdms2

Posted Aug. 18, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

.@DrOz and @JohnFetterman are having a chat on Twitter https://t.co/yXkcxTzHND — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 18, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

“are Ds doing enough to help Rs break free of Trump” is shaping up to be one of the weird political subplots of the coming years. @jbarro’s take: — PolitiTweet.org

Josh Barro @jbarro

I have a rant about the "team normal" Republicans who whine that Democrats are screwing up their plans to get Ron D… https://t.co/1yj0uiqdcD

Posted Aug. 18, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

@BudgetBen haha I know I mean it says something about ppl reading my tweet — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 18, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

@BudgetBen feel like it’s some reflection on me that this is the prevailing critique in my mentions — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 18, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

So apparently that crudité video was posted in April and recently got resurfaced, going so viral that google searches for term spiked. ⁦@akarl_smith⁩ on Oz’s response: https://t.co/GeOyKEzTNZ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 17, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

“Let’s talk crudité.” Oz appears on Newsmax to discuss that now-viral video. On getting the grocery store name wrong, Oz quips: “I’ve gotten my kids’ names wrong as well. I don’t think that’s a measure of someone’s ability to lead the commonwealth.” https://t.co/Z8FqxlLOLI — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 17, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

.@RogerWaters of Pink Floyd performing last night in DC https://t.co/Uao2IOEFH4 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 17, 2022
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

RT @Petereporter: Former Vice President Mike Pence, asked at Politics & Eggs breakfast in Manchester, NH. if he's willing to testify before… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 17, 2022 Retweet
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

RT @therecount: Rep. Liz Cheney (R-WY), conceding defeat: “2 years ago, I won this primary with 73% of the vote. I could easily have done… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 17, 2022 Retweet
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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

FINAL: The 10 House Republicans who voted to impeach Trump Gonzalez — RETIRING Katko — RETIRING Kinzinger — RETIRING Upton — RETIRING Cheney — LOST PRIMARY Herrera Beutler — LOST PRIMARY Meijer — LOST PRIMARY Rice — LOST PRIMARY Newhouse — WON PRIMARY Valadao — WON PRIMARY — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 17, 2022