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Jason Furman NARA @CEAChair44
14. In contrast, evidence is consistent with declining labor demand for less-skilled men. Possibly related to trends of tech & globalization — PolitiTweet.org
Jason Furman NARA @CEAChair44
13. Other public support has fallen over time for men out of labor force & 36% of these men are in poverty. https://t.co/Xd9hWNyfvo — PolitiTweet.org
Jason Furman NARA @CEAChair44
12. Counterfactuals suggest disability insurance accounts for at most 0.3-0.5 pp of 7.5 pp prime-male LFPR decline. https://t.co/cMxLccr04J — PolitiTweet.org
Jason Furman NARA @CEAChair44
11. Since 1967 disability insurance receipt for prime-age men has risen 2 pp v. 7.5 pp LFPR decline & not all is causal to LFPR decline. — PolitiTweet.org
Jason Furman NARA @CEAChair44
10. Less than 1/4 of prime-age men out of workforce have a working spouse & that figure has decreased in last 50 yrs https://t.co/guNzKW2AHq — PolitiTweet.org
Jason Furman NARA @CEAChair44
9. Main candidates for supply explanations for falling LFP explain little/nothing of the decline. — PolitiTweet.org
Jason Furman NARA @CEAChair44
8. Combination of both declining employment & wages suggests demand as cause, not supply. https://t.co/EPR5SArpQm — PolitiTweet.org
Jason Furman NARA @CEAChair44
RT @RenewingAmerica: Jason Furman @CEAChair discusses U.S. labor force participation trends and #economic outlook @ 12:30pm (Eastern) via h… — PolitiTweet.org
Jason Furman NARA @CEAChair44
7. Three sets of possible explanations: supply, demand & institutions. Latter two most consistent with data, though more research needed. — PolitiTweet.org
Jason Furman NARA @CEAChair44
6. LFP basically same for more/less educated in 1964 at ~97%; today HS degree or less is 83% while college+ is 94%. https://t.co/4fhaigGr0w — PolitiTweet.org
Jason Furman NARA @CEAChair44
5. Since '90 US has had 2nd largest prime-men ptx decline in OECD. Currently ranks 3rd lowest out of 34 on this stat https://t.co/qyHSFrFgnK — PolitiTweet.org
Jason Furman NARA @CEAChair44
4. Long-run ptx drop for prime-age/most productive workers affects econ growth, individ. econ prospects & well-being https://t.co/PmjMtWZHnr — PolitiTweet.org
Jason Furman NARA @CEAChair44
Incarceration part of the story: https://t.co/din30laqNw https://t.co/MK8LTYIsy8 — PolitiTweet.org
Joe Atikian @joe_atikian
@CEAChair Because of Incarceration? Veteran's issues? Trading places??? Can you link to a doc on your view please? https://t.co/JCnxz7xPQ4
Jason Furman NARA @CEAChair44
None. Less than 1/4 prime age non-participators married to a working women, less now than before. https://t.co/sXo3m7y2ge — PolitiTweet.org
Jason Furman NARA @CEAChair44
3. Prime-age male labor force ptx peaked in 1954 at 98%. Began declining notably in 1965 at 0.16 pp/yr. Today is 88% https://t.co/14ydH0tlZ0 — PolitiTweet.org
Jason Furman NARA @CEAChair44
2. New CEA report on trend of declining prime-age male participation (ptx), possible explanations & policy solutions https://t.co/din30ls1F4 — PolitiTweet.org
Jason Furman NARA @CEAChair44
1. CEA's 47 page report on most important underappreciated trend, 60-yr fall in prime-age male labor force participation, in only 22 tweets. — PolitiTweet.org
Jason Furman NARA @CEAChair44
RT @biggsag: By 2030, blogging will be the only U.S. job not requiring occupational licensing... https://t.co/kgtgsTiX43 — PolitiTweet.org
Jason Furman NARA @CEAChair44
RT @SenBobCasey: Thank you for your leadership. My bill would help military spouses take their careers with them when they move. https://t.… — PolitiTweet.org
Jason Furman NARA @CEAChair44
Since the release of WH best practices on licensing last year, 11 States have proposed reforms & 4 have passed bills https://t.co/0Jz1hm1hEb — PolitiTweet.org
Jason Furman NARA @CEAChair44
Licensing poses especially large challenges for military spouses, who move often, and immigrants trained outside US. https://t.co/KGbdzmXgUO — PolitiTweet.org
Jason Furman NARA @CEAChair44
@erikbryn CEA blog analyzes the new data (https://t.co/fdDctO6Ldf) & full 2015 WH report using other data/research: https://t.co/aCvWklVsqM — PolitiTweet.org
Jason Furman NARA @CEAChair44
@erikbryn BLS data is so new that there are no papers on it yet, but their summary & data here: https://t.co/IUd2Pmhoxa — PolitiTweet.org
Jason Furman NARA @CEAChair44
Whether a job is licensed & training required vary greatly across States, decreasing mobility for licensed workers. https://t.co/4BezW6DMOp — PolitiTweet.org
Jason Furman NARA @CEAChair44
Unlicensed workers earn 7% less than licensed in same occupation, even when controlling for education & demographics https://t.co/Te1YgWYLj8 — PolitiTweet.org
Jason Furman NARA @CEAChair44
Licensing is also becoming increasingly common in lower-income jobs like healthcare support & personal care. https://t.co/HNvBK9cMXB — PolitiTweet.org
Jason Furman NARA @CEAChair44
Nearly 1/4 of workers require a license for their job, up from 5% in 1950s, creating barriers for qualified workers. https://t.co/j61DQkFd4g — PolitiTweet.org
Jason Furman NARA @CEAChair44
New data from @BLS_gov provides most detailed picture of occupational licensing yet. Eight key facts in CEA's blog: https://t.co/fdDctO6Ldf — PolitiTweet.org
Jason Furman NARA @CEAChair44
First-ever funding for occupational licensing reform: $7.5M from @USDOL. Op-ed from Jeff Zients and me in @CNNMoney: https://t.co/4NRXFHXjzp — PolitiTweet.org
Jason Furman NARA @CEAChair44
RT @CEAJay: See CEA's new report on renewables: https://t.co/JcwOzuXGNy https://t.co/kMEEBbK08c — PolitiTweet.org