Walter Shapiro

Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro

What's telling about this ad is that it starts with the most powerful aspect of her stump speech -- her personal life story (filled with setbacks and recoveries) that is so much more real than most candidates' stories of a life of upward, unfailing achievement. — PolitiTweet.org

Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro

@lefoudubaron @JillDLawrence Thank you for the clarification. I was frankly worried about your judgment. — PolitiTweet.org

Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro

@lefoudubaron @JillDLawrence She's a dear friend and a terrific columnist. — PolitiTweet.org

Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro

Totally agree about her candidate skills. And don't forget her stamina in posing for the endless two- or three-hour lines for "selfies" after an event. The reason, by the way, that I put "selfies" in quotes is that a staffer generally takes the pictures. — PolitiTweet.org

Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro

Totally agree. A big part is the non-ideological life story that she tells that is strikingly different than the normal politicisn’s story of ever upward achievenment. — PolitiTweet.org

Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro

I think it is whole package with Warren although I think it is her persona and her intellect more than ideology. And I think impeachment up until now has been a small component. — PolitiTweet.org

Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro

My quick reading is that it keeps Beto, Klobuchar and Booker on the debate stage. Probably Castro is the most vulnerable for many reasons. And it gives Bennet and Bullock the tiniest glimmer of a chance. — PolitiTweet.org

Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro

Smart @JillDLawrence column stressing the risks of a slavish fidelity to Medicare for All for Elizabeth Warren. Significant, though, that Warren has not yet released a full health-care plan with transition dates and final details about private insurance. https://t.co/S00IhqOMPe — PolitiTweet.org

Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro

@BobbyHill4Pete @sandtats @TorgerWendy @DJJudd @brianstelter That looks like a shot from the 2008 McCain bus. I was referring to the one in NH and SC in 2000. — PolitiTweet.org

Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro

@DemFromCT What I love about this analysis is that Enten estimates there is a 15 percent chance that someone not in the current top five wins Iowa. Also a 45% chance that someone other than Biden or Warren wins Iowa. — PolitiTweet.org

Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro

@david_darmofal @DemFromCT That's why I constantly ask about organization and campaign talent whenever I'm in Iowa, NH or SC. The answers for Klobuchar (Iowa) and Booker (NH and SC) are why I refuse to count them out. — PolitiTweet.org

Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro

@david_darmofal @DemFromCT Sanders' speech at the Steak Fry this afternoon was even flatter than his poll numbers. It sounded like outtakes from 2016 with no fresh material -- and the audience at the Steak Fry seemed bored and listless. — PolitiTweet.org

Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro

Thank you for this poll chart. Key finding: In December 2003, Kerry and Edwards had 14% support between the two of them. Two months later, they lapped the Iowa field with 70% backing (Kerry 38% and Edwards 32%). — PolitiTweet.org

Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro

@DemFromCT @david_darmofal Having seen Booker do a press conference in Iowa this afternoon, my hunch is that in about two weeks he will declare that (voila) he does have the money to continue. He certainly sounds like he wants to. But I could be wrong. — PolitiTweet.org

Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro

@DemFromCT @david_darmofal I think even the tiers are a media creation. Obviously, there are a top four or five. But I can see how another candidate could break through like Klobuchar or Booker in Iowa. I will admit that I may be over-influenced by covering late-breaking candidates like Gary Hart in 1984. — PolitiTweet.org

Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro

@david_darmofal That's why I look for the "could change my mind" number in every good Iowa and NH poll. That number is often hidden or downplayed because it isn't in the interests of the media organization that paid for the poll to hype how fluid the race remains. — PolitiTweet.org

Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro

Three most numbers in the Register's Iowa poll: A). Only 20% of likely caucus-goers say their minds are made up; and B). Bill de Blasio ends with 12% favorable and 54% unfavorable numbers. Those numbers, by the way, are worse than Marianne Williamson's. https://t.co/cdlla25a9x — PolitiTweet.org

Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro

RT @RachelSB: Best "unknown" call ID call ever! Selzer & Co. just called me to answer some poll questions. On the day we are releasing a… — PolitiTweet.org

Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro

@DemFromCT @AlecMacGillis That helium high is the biggest threat facing America. — PolitiTweet.org

Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro

Dominant early mood at the Steak Fry: If only Bill de Blasio we’re here. Seriously, the event is just a wonderful Iowa Shuck and it’s just started. — PolitiTweet.org

Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro

@dkahanerules @SherylNYT @nytimes @SalenaZito I know. My point was that this pre-election piece did a great job of capturing the cross pressures on Ukrainian American voters. — PolitiTweet.org

Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro

Here is an eerily prophetic NYT piece by Sheryl Gay Stolberg from August 2016 about how Trump is making Ukrainian Americans rethink their traditional allegiance to the GOP. By the way, these voters tend to be in the Rust Belt around cities like Detroit. https://t.co/bzT96ROlXm — PolitiTweet.org

Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro

@seriously211 I know. But I find it chilling that Facebook thinks, as a marketing strategy, that I want them to use Facial Recognition technology to troll for pictures of me. — PolitiTweet.org

Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro

@SenatorZero @seriously211 Facebook, to its credit, doesn't think I've changed a bit. — PolitiTweet.org

Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro

@seriously211 What I was trying to convey is that I didn't post this picture. Facebook identified me in it, which is why it was so unsettling. — PolitiTweet.org

Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro

Scariest thing from Facebook this week: "Photo Review shows you photos you might be in, which are found using face recognition technology." The photo is indeed me from Jim Cylburn's Fish Fry in 2007. But it is so unsettling that Facebook is scanning everything looking for me. — PolitiTweet.org

Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro

But what about Hillary’s emails? No, I am not being serious. Just imaging the White House response. — PolitiTweet.org

Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro

What's wonderful about these 1972 commercials is that a lot of them feature Carroll O'Connor just after "Archie Bunker" started. — PolitiTweet.org

Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro

Instead we get, "Our cause fell a little bit short. But we inspired millions and our ideas will shape the future." — PolitiTweet.org

Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro

The questioner all of Iowa is asking this morning: Where will de Blasio’s supporters go? And we are talking about both of them. — PolitiTweet.org