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Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@mattamsn @DemFromCT Depends where the leaks are coming from. The nominee's team has in prior years in both parties leaked names to show how inclusive they're being. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@mattizcoop Problem was the upsurge in deportations while she was secretary of HHS. Logic at the time was that you have to first safeguard the border to make immigration reform possible. But that won't play well in 2020 since legislation never passed. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@HickmanPolls @BobShrum Having seen Gephardt's 2004 Iowa campaign, color me dubious that he could have shifted 118,000 votes in Ohio. But maybe @BobShrum is right. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@HickmanPolls Too bad there was no obvious pairing for Hillary from MI, WI or PA. But Bob Graham could have definitely delivered the few thousand votes that Gore needed. While Edwards was blah for Kerry in 2004, I can't find a better pick who would have tipped Ohio. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@theMitziLinn Ran out of characters. Thought she was obvious. But it was less her background and more her blithering ignorance. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
Reason for VP vetting: Avoiding buzz saw of scandal jeopardizing entire ticket like Eagleton 1972 (electro-shock treatments); Ferraro 1984 (dicey real-estate deals by her husband); 1988 Dan Quayle (how he got into the National Guard during Vietnam). Agnew, of course, worse. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@ruralfabulous @SteveKornacki Probably no one. This election will be a referendum on Trump and the Biden VP will matter about as much as Pence. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@Cody73095610 @nminow @CrystalFinds Game, set and match. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@SteveKornacki Yes, I will definitely give you Mondale carrying MN in 1980. I'm dubious about TN in 1996 since Clinton carried MO and KY in 1996 so it wasn't like he was wiped out in the region. So we're left with LBJ, Muskie and Mondale in 1980. But you can't convince people about VP's. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@betsyrossII @PShelmandine @CharlesPPierce What winning Democrat do you want? Gore merely accentuated Clinton's assets (a young Southern moderate) in 1992. Mondale in 1976 was a good VP but not charismatic, LBJ may have delivered Texas in 1960. Alben Barkley brought nothing to Truman in 1948. And FDR's VPs didn't matter. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
To avoid typing the three letters LBJ, I think there is a case that maybe, just maybe, Humphrey carried Maine in 1968 because of Muskie. Nixon carried Maine in 1960, so it was not a safe state for a Democrat. — PolitiTweet.org
Karen Tumulty @ktumulty
When was the last time a running mate helped win a state that a nominee couldn't win on his own? JFK and LBJ? The g… https://t.co/nOyIKNW1KP
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@roberns @balatroinvictus Parallel is 1992 when Gore was not designed to deliver a state or a constituency. It was Clinton doubling down on his own appeal as a Southern young moderate. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@tomwatson @CharlesPPierce @PShelmandine It was 28 years ago. Also, Gore was not picked to deliver a state or a constituency. It was Clinton doubling down on his political identity as a young Southern moderate. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@roberns @balatroinvictus At the moment, it looks pretty encouraging. And, seriously, this election will be a referendum on Trump. And sometimes healing the country (and here I'm referring to Biden) is more important than excitement. Personally, after Trump and the virus, I'm excited out. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@balatroinvictus @roberns That may be why Biden has repeatedly promised to make a black woman his first Supreme Court pick. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@mneuner @PShelmandine @CharlesPPierce Trump may provide all the energy the Democrats need. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@roberns Why? I follow Nixon's dictum: "A vice president can't help you, he [she] can only hurt you." Klobuchar, who is a good campaigner, won't hurt. Other than that, I think people's expectations on the political effects of a VP are way of whack. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@PShelmandine @CharlesPPierce Name the last Democratic VP pick who added major energy? Not Kaine (2016), Biden (2008), Edwards (2004) or Lieberman (2000). — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@SendStephen In the piece, I point out that Biden reaffirmed this commitment to appoint a black woman as his first Supreme Court pick in the final debate with Bernie. A debate in which he announced his intention to have a woman running mate. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@denosral @joshtpm Three points: Evidence suggests that VPs don't matter much electorally. Also, Klobuchar was hurt more than any of her Senate rivals in Iowa by being stuck in DC for two weeks for impeachment. And, in 2008, what did Biden bring electorally to the ticket? — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@joshtpm Afraid we're doomed to disagree on this one. Klobuchar is competent, a surprisingly good campaigner and has a rapport with Biden. I have yet to be persuaded by the evidence that Kamala Harris, who ran an uninspiring and erratic campaign, would increase black turnout. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@CharlesPPierce Read the piece. My argument is that Biden is looking for someone who can govern -- and the idea that a VP can transform the election is over-rated. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
And I stand by that prediction today, although it is easy to be wrong in an election with one voter (Joe Biden). — PolitiTweet.org
The New Republic @newrepublic
Though it remains a toss-up, @MrWalterShapiro predicted last month that Joe Biden will pick Amy Klobuchar as his ru… https://t.co/J085NQK1gi
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@WallyReed10 @FiveThirtyEight Appreciate your loyalty over the years. I should probably mention that I am covering the 2020 campaign for @newrepublic and I write a regular column for @rollcall. So my work is pretty easy to find beyond Twitter. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
On January 25, based on @FiveThirtyEight, Trump's average approval ratings was 43%. Today it's 43%. It's like absolutely nothing has happened in the last four months. Other than we're four months closer to the election and Trump is flailing in the waves. https://t.co/81SfQRogua — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
Sometimes in politics, VP “short lists” are very long. Especially in May. — PolitiTweet.org
Ed O'Keefe @edokeefe
FLAG: @RepValDemings confirms she's on @JoeBiden's VP short-list: "I am on the shortlist and I'm honored to be on t… https://t.co/uxOOCKW4pU
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@paulgoldberger I forgot that Abe Stark was a sign and a clothier before he was Brooklyn borough president. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@MikeElk Not that obscure. But I'm very high on "Mr. Roberts." — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@rafiazakaria No, all I know is that this is Hillary's imagined life if she didn't marry Bill. And I want to keep it that way until I finish Hillary Mantel and Scott Turow. — PolitiTweet.org
Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro
@rafiazakaria Please, please don't. I am a major Curtis Sittenfeld fan and I want to read the book. Therefore, I'm trying to avoid all spoilers or hints about its story line. — PolitiTweet.org
