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Ed O'Keefe @edokeefe
READ THE FULL @CBSNewsPoll HERE: GOP seat lead shrinks as Biden approval ticks up https://t.co/itpVMcvkvj — PolitiTweet.org
Ed O'Keefe @edokeefe
BUT WHY DOES GOP MAINTAIN AN EDGE? They still have a big lead among voters who prioritize inflation and the economy. Plus, a year of voter frustration over those issues won’t go away overnight, as evidenced by more voters thinking Republicans will prioritize inflation. https://t.co/G1bjcxgW6n — PolitiTweet.org
Ed O'Keefe @edokeefe
IRA IS OKAY: The Inflation Reduction Act gets slight majority approval from voters, but split views of whether it’ll help them personally. Similarly, a slim majority backs canceling student loan debt. https://t.co/H0PC35Ib0n — PolitiTweet.org
Ed O'Keefe @edokeefe
Look at how Democratic voters’ views overall have improved since last month: https://t.co/7EDaevw8sQ — PolitiTweet.org
Ed O'Keefe @edokeefe
Why improving views of economy helps boost Dem base: - Much of Biden’s gains come from Dems - up 8 since July on them strongly approving of him. - Starts to reverse losses we’ve tracked among Biden’s own party over the last year. - Young people like student loan debt forgiveness — PolitiTweet.org
Ed O'Keefe @edokeefe
BIDEN’S APPROVAL RATING… and specifically his job ratings on handling issues like the economy, inflation, and gas prices, have all risen. His overall job approval number is the highest it’s been among registered voters since February. https://t.co/sciFmZZWFn — PolitiTweet.org
Ed O'Keefe @edokeefe
GAS PASS? Majority of voters say gas prices in their area going down. Fewer Americans view the economy negatively than a month ago, but things are still seen as bad. Fears of recession loom, but more voters now see the economy as at least holding steady than did so in June. https://t.co/iM8aDBgYlV — PolitiTweet.org
Ed O'Keefe @edokeefe
More white women with college degrees who were undecided have moved toward the Democrats, for now. The issue of abortion is a motivator — most say their vote this year will be to support abortion rights. — PolitiTweet.org
Ed O'Keefe @edokeefe
In last 2 elections, White women with college degrees were critical to D’s winning coalition, voting for them by double-digit margins. And then this year amid economic pessimism, Dems slipped with this group. Now, Dems rebounding: their lead with them up 7 points since July. https://t.co/wSXaYbkp2z — PolitiTweet.org
Ed O'Keefe @edokeefe
THIS IS REALLY NOTABLE: Abortion rights might help Dem candidates with people on the fence: third-party and undecided voters for whom Roe’s overturn is a factor say it makes them want to support D’s over R’s by 4 to 1. (Likely means more abortion-themed TV ads soon.) — PolitiTweet.org
Ed O'Keefe @edokeefe
Motivation around abortion is one-sided: R’s tend to say their vote isn’t about abortion, but most D’s say Roe’s overturn boosted their support for their party’s candidates. — PolitiTweet.org
Ed O'Keefe @edokeefe
Notable: By more than 2 to 1, likely voters say their vote for Congress will be to support abortion rights rather than to oppose them. https://t.co/FJo28S4KkU — PolitiTweet.org
Ed O'Keefe @edokeefe
More Democrats (77%) say abortion is “very important” than describe any other issue that way — it’s neck-and-neck with gun policy and ahead of the economy and inflation. https://t.co/ekNWy3IlnH — PolitiTweet.org
Ed O'Keefe @edokeefe
ABORTION: Why is it a big factor? Widespread perception among women that if R’s gain power, they’ll make restricting abortion a priority (65%), even more so than inflation (56%). — PolitiTweet.org
Ed O'Keefe @edokeefe
Via @cbsnewspoll: Most independents, like most Democrats, see the Mar-a-lago search as an attempt to protect national security. They differ from Republicans, who see a political attack on Trump. https://t.co/DRweKCZiIM — PolitiTweet.org
Ed O'Keefe @edokeefe
NOTABLE: Half of independent voters name Trump as a factor in their vote, and by 4 to 1, they’re voting to oppose him (far worse than Biden’s support-oppose ratio). — PolitiTweet.org
Ed O'Keefe @edokeefe
Trump is a big positive for his *own* partisans - most rank-and-file Republicans want party leaders to stand with him and not criticize him. BUT: Trump is net-negative for independents who prefer Republicans criticize Trump to support him on Mar-a-Lago. — PolitiTweet.org
Ed O'Keefe @edokeefe
WHAT ABOUT THE MAR-A-LAGO DOCUMENT SEARCH? File it under “About Donald Trump.” FBI search hasn’t directly changed many votes because of sharp partisan splits over it, but it could be part of a larger issue holding back Republicans – as Donald Trump stays on voters’ minds. — PolitiTweet.org
Ed O'Keefe @edokeefe
While Republicans continue to lead with people who prioritize the economy, at least 3 things tempering their overall advantage… 1. abortion rights. 2. gas prices. 3. extent to which election is about anything other than a still-shaky economy, such as Trump and GOP nominees. — PolitiTweet.org
Ed O'Keefe @edokeefe
NEW FROM @CBSNewsPoll: New estimate shows House Republicans at 226 seats today, down from 230 estimated in July. 218 seats needed to win control. https://t.co/c0q5ea3QK7 — PolitiTweet.org
Ed O'Keefe @edokeefe
Ahead of end-of-summer polls coming later today and likely through Labor Day, a smart @pkcapitol read quoting veteran political operatives of past midterms who caution it’s hard to turn around political trends in time for November. https://t.co/s7nSChOpel — PolitiTweet.org
Ed O'Keefe @edokeefe
RT @FaceTheNation: Has the political landscape changed heading into the midterm elections? Our CBS News Battleground Tracker poll has some… — PolitiTweet.org
Ed O'Keefe @edokeefe
His mission was to comfort a family living under constant scrutiny: “If I could take away that pressure for five minutes, then I did my job,” he once told the Canadian Press. “That was my role in the White House — to put a smile on the face of the first family.” — PolitiTweet.org
Ed O'Keefe @edokeefe
RIP Roland Mesnier, the longtime White House pastry chef https://t.co/2985qbCW9f — PolitiTweet.org
Ed O'Keefe @edokeefe
RT @DeFede: BREAKING: @CBSMiami has learned @CharlieCrist is expected to announce he has chosen Karla Hernandez-Mats, the president of the… — PolitiTweet.org
Ed O'Keefe @edokeefe
WATCH: Important comments here from @marcorubio on abortion — probably his most expansive on the issue in years. Colleague @DeFede has interviews with Rubio and his Dem challenger @valdemings on his must-watch SoFla show, “Facing South Florida,” Sunday on @CBSMiami… — PolitiTweet.org
Jim DeFede @DeFede
"I do not believe that the dignity and the worth of human life is tied to the circumstances of their conception. Bu… https://t.co/tXg1GOqmN0
Ed O'Keefe @edokeefe
In 2013, @SenatorBennet (D-Colo.) voted against a proposed assault weapons ban. A different one is on the table this year — but does that mean @POTUS wouldn’t support his re-election this year if the senator is still opposed to it? — PolitiTweet.org
Ed O'Keefe @edokeefe
5 House Dems voted against the assault weapons ban in July: Reps. Henry Cuellar and Vicente Gonzalez of Texas, Kurt Schrader of Oregon, Jared Golden of Maine and Ron Kind of Wisconsin. Schrader lost a primary bid and is leaving office. Kind is retiring. — PolitiTweet.org
Ed O'Keefe @edokeefe
(Correction: GUN control.) — PolitiTweet.org
Ed O'Keefe @edokeefe
BIDEN: “This November, we have to ask every candidate: are you for or against banning assault weapons? And if you’re not, we’re not going to vote for you.” (Paging the @dccc and @dscc…) — PolitiTweet.org