Tom Bevan

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

So good: Eli Manning goes undercover as a College Football walk-on 🥸 https://t.co/MkzV78nuEl via @YouTube — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

RT @CBSNews: On Pres. Biden telling @60Minutes he intends to run again in 2024 but hasn't officially decided, Democratic Illinois Sen. Tamm… — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

RT @RalstonReports: "The lack of overall enthusiasm was striking. None of these voters seemed energized to vote, and nearly all of them wer… — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

RT @databyler: So I looked deep into the @WinWithJMC primary turnout data and kinda stress tested it multiple ways And basically no matte… — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

Interesting "very favorable" ratings from new Dallas MN poll of Texas voters. For Indies, Republicans, Latinos, and White voters: Cornyn << Cruz << Trump https://t.co/IlIcGANV8F — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

Not only is Center Street PAC a partisan group trying to use polling to influence narratives and manipulate averages, but they're also on record endorsing candidates, including Tim Ryan and ...you guessed it... Mark Kelly. https://t.co/a7h21AT1YB https://t.co/3A1Sbom1hB — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

RT @JasonSobelTAN: The U.S. team is a massive favorite at this week's Presidents Cup. So, how do we bet it without taking those odds? Here… — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

The Kelly +15 is an online poll, and the Kelly +20 is by a PAC run by the ant-Trumper Joe Walsh which you don't even grade. But fine, if you want to use those polls to justify being the only outfit to rate this race "likely Dem," be my guest. https://t.co/HpOoV4BmUY — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

@chadmbol You obviously don't know much about polling. Ever heard of the phrase "margin of error?" Look it up. — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

RT @ZaidJilani: The Pennsylvania Senate race has suddenly veered away from dunking tweets and into public policy, a rare event in the histo… — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

Last three polls in Arizona Senate race are Kelly +2, +2 and +6. Arizona Senate race ratings: Cook = Toss Up RCP = Toss Up Inside Elections = Toss Up Sabato = Lean D 538 = https://t.co/Tn4npaPJHB — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

Slotkin up 18 points in MI-7. https://t.co/UqeoGiJCdG — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

New Dallas Morning-News poll of TX Gov: Abbott (R) +9 https://t.co/M3cvSPyLpJ — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

The most shocking number in this poll is that Lori Lightfoot has a 44% approval rating - especially since crime is overwhelmingly the most important issue to voters. https://t.co/EKPw7GPkxw — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

👀👀 https://t.co/cidmqZC14u — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

Scott Pelley: Sir, with the Federal Reserve rapidly raising interest rates, what can you do to prevent a recession? Biden: Continue to grow the economy. And we're growing the economy. It's growing in-- in a way that it hasn't in years and years. https://t.co/V3zhqkoyvk https://t.co/KPBL0jZ0xG — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

Trafalgar AZ Gov: Lake (R) +4 https://t.co/hMZ6Ts190N — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

Trafalgar AZ Sen: Kelly (D) +2 https://t.co/223b2KUMsg — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

Meanwhile, Biden's favorable rating went from 40-46 last month to 42-47, a net gain of 1 point. This is margin of error stuff, hardly earth-shattering or indicative of some big shift in the electorate's views. — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

One final gripe: the framing of this piece is that Donald Trump's declining favorable ratings are helping propel Democrats. And here's the actual data: Trump's unfavorable rating is unchanged from last month, and his favorable rating ticked down ever-so-slightly from 36 to 34%. https://t.co/hYM6NSxG4G — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

More NBC News poll: GOP leads on 7 issues: Border Security +36 Crime +23 Economy +19 Immigration +17 Cost of Living +14 Protecting Constitutional Rights +9 Getting things done +6 Dems lead on 5: Abortion +22 Hcare +20 Education +11 Protecting Democracy +7 Uniting Country +4 — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

In fact, it's been essentially unchanged since August 2021, well before the Dobbs decision or any related news about Donald Trump. So a more honest, accurate headline would read something like: Despite Dem anger over abortion ruling, midterm landscape remains largely unchanged. — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

But you have to read past the headline to get to the part that matters: The poll offers no data supporting the idea that there is a "surge" for Dems in the generic congressional ballot. It's basically unchanged from last month and within the margin of error...... https://t.co/DYcpYVsXgp — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

The headline and first paragraph imply that Democrats are surging and/or have momentum because of a mix of issues and Donald Trump. https://t.co/HT8pecJjH0 — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

**going back nearly 3 decades** — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

New NBC News poll: For first time ever, more people now have a "very negative" view of the FBI than have a "very positive" view. Highest previous "very negative" rating was 12%, going nearly 4 decades. https://t.co/h8EJ8ATGHU — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

That's not what "random" means. https://t.co/1SmwcYZU0W — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

The "RUSSIA DID IT!!!" file is getting a bit full. https://t.co/1DKIONrdJW — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

MSNBC: "DeSantis is recklessly playing w/human lives to create chaos in our immigration system" DeSantis' stunt is responsible for 0 deaths. Biden's policies, OTOH, are responsible for hundreds of immigrant deaths. Who is being reckless w/human lives? https://t.co/gTU0ys7V8G — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

New Mason-Dixon poll in Minnesota Gov: Walz (D)* +7 https://t.co/GitZgiPJBR — PolitiTweet.org