Tom Bevan

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

The map in 2018 was more favorable to GOP that year than Dems this year. Of the GOP's 4 pickups, 3 were in states Trump dominated in 2016, and he was at or over 50% approval in all of them. https://t.co/AwTDdfeOey — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

A short🧵on why it's VERY unlikely Biden and Democrats will be able to achieve a "split decision" like Trump and the GOP did in 2018. https://t.co/9eBFj1jWCW https://t.co/BTJ5nXvCPv — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

Makes that video of him at the dentist look like a masterpiece. https://t.co/N465KV1mTa — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

Cygnal (R) tracking in Michigan Gov race: Whitmer (D)* +4, minus 2 from yesterday. https://t.co/KZlJ5fxKs6 — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

New KOCO-TV poll in Oklahoma Gov race: Stitt (R) +1 Last poll, taken Oct 13-15, was Hofmesiter +1 https://t.co/SGfqxkryLJ — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

New Siena poll in Wisconsin: Senate Johnson (R)* +2 https://t.co/JeiKIANnjs Governor Evers (D)* +2 https://t.co/M9EgHGoDTd — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

RT @craigrwall: Scott Lennox, 21 from Chicago charged with leaving a death threat on Darren Bailey’s office phone threatening to “mutilate… — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

RT @SaysSimonson: Love this kind of synergy and message discipline across organizations so close to Election Day. Serious and professional… — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

New Emerson poll in Michigan Gov race: Whitmer (D)* +5 https://t.co/KZlJ5fg9Ay — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

And not exactly in 2006, either. One poll showed Talent winning barely, but the rest had her ahead. The final RCP Average pegged her lead at 2.5% and she finished at 3.0%. https://t.co/6cvE5E5Fpu — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

Not exactly. There was 1 poll showing her winning in 2018, but the rest showed a tie or Hawley ahead. https://t.co/PjnUFdJQex — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

Here's @clairecmc telling MSNBC viewers not to believe in the polls: I have been on both sides of this, a week before big elections where the polls are going to win, and I lost, and the polls said I was going to lose and I won. /1 https://t.co/I0GeP13EDT — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

New Emerson poll in Pennsylvania: Senate: Oz (R) +1 Last poll taken Sept 23-26 was Fetterman +2 RCP Average now Fetterman (D) +0.2 https://t.co/TquZdVwxYk Governor: Shapiro (D) +10 Last poll taken Sept 23-26 was Shapiro +10 https://t.co/inzZuD4soL — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

New Trafalgar (R) poll in New Hampshire Senate: Bolduc (R) +1. RCP Average now Hassan (D)* +0.5 https://t.co/LNdQSbDrFl — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

This piece makes complete sense if you believe, as I do, that shortly after the midterms Biden will announce he's not running for reelection. https://t.co/Wzhgd06auj — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

RT @greta: Tom Bevan: Inflation Is The Top Issue In 2022, "Next Year" Isn't Good Enough For Democrats https://t.co/xtgpX2Z3Ng @RealClearNe… — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

Who is helping more? — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

Well, that's ironic. https://t.co/nYrNP7JuR0 — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

Apropos Biden's speech last night, a guy called IL GOP Gov candidate Darren Bailey's office, threatened to skin him alive & feed his family to him. After police showed up to interrogate him, he bragged to his friends that he was a "political terrorist." https://t.co/xXjVJq9ndn https://t.co/3cMmdTKPiT — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

Womp, womp. https://t.co/VZWI98m9br — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

RT @natalie_allison: Don Bolduc’s campaign says he was the victim of an attempted assault tonight while walking into the debate. Someone tr… — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

RT @Tattytats: People breathless about fascism on the reg openly promoting stripping @elonmusk of US citizenship because he disagrees with… — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

Six days out, this is where the four most vulnerable incumbent Dems are: Nevada Cortez-Masto 45.1% Biden approval 38% Georgia Warnock 45.8% Biden approval 39% Arizona Kelly 47.1% Biden approval 36% New Hampshire Hassan 47.7% Biden approval 40% https://t.co/IiqbcJr7r3 — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

Two new polls in Pennsylvania Senate race: USA Today/Suffolk: Fetterman (D) +2 Susquehanna: Oz (R) +1 RCP Average now Fetterman (D) +0.6 https://t.co/TquZdVO8PS — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

To sum: Of the 7 generic ballot polls released in last 24 hours, 6 showed movement to GOP, 1 showed no change: Quinnipiac: 8 pts -> R CNN: 7 pts -> R NPR/Marist: 6 pts -> R WSJ: 5 pts -> R Economist/YouGov: 4 pts -> R Newsnation: 3 pts -> R Politico/Morning Consult: No Change — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

Emerson poll in N. Carolina Senate: Budd (R) +5 https://t.co/xM1hZx9fou — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

Insider Advantage poll in Florida Senate: Rubio (R)* +6 https://t.co/1VcNCBYDZx — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

RT @Jordanfabian: *FED RAISES BENCHMARK RATE 75 BPS TO 3.75%-4% TARGET RANGE — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

New Marquette Law School poll in Wisconsin: Senate: Johnson (R)* +2 Last poll was Johnson +6 taken Oct 3-9 https://t.co/JeiKIB4YI2 Governor: TIE Last poll was Evers (D)* +1 taken Oct 3-9 https://t.co/M9EgHGGfhN — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

Two more new generic ballot polls: Economist/YouGov: TIE Last poll was D+4 taken Oct 22-25 Politico/Morning Consult: D+5 Last poll was D+5 taken Oct 21-23 RCP Average ticks up to GOP +3.0 https://t.co/hGaWL9ilXP — PolitiTweet.org