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Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
She was asked what might pull NATO into the conflict. She said that European countries would treat a chemical attack on Ukraine differently than a attack in Syria. That seems both correct and, by virtue of making the comparison, an implicit condemnation of European attitudes. — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
@juliaioffe Here's the relevant context, please judge for yourself: https://t.co/89xTqAZASw — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
If you look at the context from the transcript (https://t.co/TOAbpneIlI), it seems clear that @juliaioffe is describing racist European attitudes rather than endorsing them. This is quite unfair on Omar's part. — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
@jtlevy potentially! would be to toronto though — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
@jtlevy do you know when the effective date for the new policy is by chance — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
Obviously, things could turn around for Russia. But if the current state of the conflict holds and Russia accepts some kind of even-handed peace agreement, its ability to credibly make military threats in Eastern Europe will be undermined for a long time to come — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
Given the current state of Russia's operation in Ukraine, these threats ring more than a little hollow — PolitiTweet.org
Julian Borger @julianborger
A threat from Russian Ambo to Bosnia “If [Bosnia] decides to be a member of anything [ie Nato] that is an internal… https://t.co/yFocfrAaJO
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
The systemic corruption that defines the Russian state seems to be playing a major role in its Ukrainian military disaster. “The quality of food and housing in the Russian military is reportedly worse than in its prisons" https://t.co/GdVRJg1sls — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
@JackDetsch you deserve it friend! i was just citing that tweet of yours in a piece i'm working on and i was like "hey, jack has been really great this whole time" — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
Among national security reporters, @JackDetsch has done a particularly great job getting timely and important information out there during the Ukraine war — PolitiTweet.org
Jack Detsch @JackDetsch
NEW: Russia's invasion of Ukraine "has largely stalled on all fronts" after three weeks: UK Defense Intelligence Ag… https://t.co/OdDH2ifFs1
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
RT @UmlandAndreas: .@zackbeauchamp: #Putin’s end is more likely than it was on February 23, the day before Russia launched its offensive, b… — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
RT @alexbward: Barack Obama seemingly coming out against a no-fly zone in Ukraine, using an excellent @zackbeauchamp piece to make his point — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
RT @BarackObama: Second, a useful primer on why no-fly zones don’t offer a simple answer to stopping the bloodshed. https://t.co/q7VnpgLw9X — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
How to understand Zelenskyy's speech to Congress https://t.co/I3NO39zOHm — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
@gadyepstein this is a great example of what happens when you don't do any foreign coverage and think that america's domestic culture war is as bad as anything can get — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
Zelenskyy called on America to impose a no-fly zone over Ukraine. Here’s why it almost certainly will not. https://t.co/YMYFlozdbk — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
@BrunoTertrais by that i meant russia does not have a no first use policy — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
It is hard to overstate how divorced the policy debate in Washington is from what America's leading experts on international relations believe — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
One of the scholars who conducts the survey, @miketierneyIR, told me this via email: "Large majorities of scholars in every subfield, every demographic category, every paradigm, every regional area of expertise agreed...As you know, that never happens in IR. It just happened." — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
TRIP fields the premiere survey of academic experts on international relations scholars (full disclosure: I'm on their board). The surveyed scholars run the gamut of ideology and political orientation. And almost all of them — 93% — would not recommend a no fly zone in Ukraine. — PolitiTweet.org
Teaching, Research & International Policy Project @trip_irsurvey
New article in @ForeignPolicy! Our latest snap poll shows that #IRscholars are nearly unanimous in their opposition… https://t.co/2SkeqUe2fK
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
@DavidAstinWalsh It's not clear! I've heard proposals that range from "escalate to de-escalate by using our own TNWs" to "condemn and do nothing to avoid risks" — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
@AllThingsNatSec I genuinely don't know what should be done in that scenario, I would need to think about it a lot more — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
@youbsanctioned I intend to do some reporting on this question, I think as of right now it's ambiguous — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
The first half is totally within the realm of possibility given what we've seen in the past two days. And the second is not inconceivable given existing Russian nuclear doctrine. — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
Here's a scenario that keeps me up at night: Ukraine flips the momentum and goes on the counterattack, leading Putin to order the use of tactical nuclear weapons to stave off a humiliating battlefield defeat — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
This would actually put Ukraine in a stronger security relationship with the West than it had prior to the war, when NATO membership was functionally off the table. Tremendous own-goal if Russia ends up agreeing to this. — PolitiTweet.org
Euromaidan Press @EuromaidanPress
Ukraine could agree to what Russians call "neutral status" but according to the Ukrainian model. That means legally… https://t.co/ctIJFSTWxf
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
Ambassador McFaul is a smart man who knows better than this. The argument against a No Fly Zone isn't that we know Ukraine better than the Ukrainians, but that the benefits to Ukraine do not outweigh the existential risks of a shooting war between the US and Russia. — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
This is a very good piece by @brianklaas https://t.co/wTqKysR4b5 — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
"I'm addressing President Biden: you are the leader of your great nation. I wish you could be the leader of the world. Being the leader of the world means being the later of peace." — Zelenskyy's closing statement to Congress, delivered in English — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
@neilsinhababu no, it's a tweet designed for folks who are watching zelenskyy's address to congress live — PolitiTweet.org
