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Showing page 167 of 537.
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
@mattyglesias BoJo after wave 2! https://t.co/zlWSWdgAt2 — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
ARTEF: Always Remember The Ecological Fallacy (when interpreting county-level electoral data) — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
RT @notstevenwhite: Punditry: The polls were horribly wrong, except for the all the subgroup numbers in the exit polls, which were extremel… — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
There is only so long that a majority of voters can be denied political power through minoritarian institutions before something breaks — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
Also, things look grim for Democrats in state legislatures. That is a very big deal in a redistricting year, makes… https://t.co/ORqxldlmq0 — PolitiTweet.org
Stephen Wolf @PoliticsWolf
Have any legislative chambers flipped or supermajorities been gained or broken? I'm surveying the national landscap… https://t.co/A1nWP0cbt0
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
@SeanTrende @rafi_dot_net I think that's correct and also telling. People really want decisive repudiations and clo… https://t.co/Qn2iuuo0V2 — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
Also! The climate is on fire and it's unclear how much a Biden administration could do with Joe Manchin as the deci… https://t.co/Cuh8UHh6Ei — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
Now for some justified pessimism: a narrow Biden victory, even with a 50/50 Democratic Senate, strikes me as unlike… https://t.co/NiR3SrG85d — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
@dannagal @l_eckhouse @julia_azari @ezraklein @LilyMasonPhD Well it *seemed* like a Democratic blowout thanks to a… https://t.co/9vREIOJhpY — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
@l_eckhouse @julia_azari @dannagal @ezraklein @LilyMasonPhD i love polisci twitter, this conversation is 10x better… https://t.co/0HDgOwuuhj — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
@MattBruenig I don't agree with this. 2016 showed how powerful partisanship was, in that Republican voters lined up… https://t.co/JnLwUIgMUv — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
@ezraklein @LilyMasonPhD I kept tricking myself into the same thing. Pretty much everything I've written for the pa… https://t.co/Di4Ssc83nl — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
@MattBruenig I mean, this works either way right? If the pandemic should have helped Trump, and he still loses (as… https://t.co/JAkCDtRd8x — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
@CharlesFLehman Dude I'm not even ready to start thinking about the epistemic crisis quant-inclined journalists lik… https://t.co/k3txbgeS4H — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
@MattBruenig No, not at all. It's that Trump should have been doing a lot better before the pandemic and a lot wors… https://t.co/KufPqgzbKx — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
@AvishayBSG @ezraklein @LilyMasonPhD @NoamGidron Oh wow I feel like this book was written specifically for me — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
@MattBruenig at the margins yes, and that certainly could end up mattering a lot. but i'm thinking in a more macro-… https://t.co/qICAHZ0J5M — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
Everyone's trying to sell their book right now but I honestly think @ezraklein's book and work on affective polariz… https://t.co/6GcMAJkKiO — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
There's this argument that Trump would have won handily if it weren't for the pandemic. But his approval rating bar… https://t.co/naTSgVdlem — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
I think the only master narrative that makes any sense at this point, given how much of the vote count and even res… https://t.co/f9XkxCIOzo — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
Worth noting, per @CharlesFLehman, that the original tweet could be overstated. There's a lot of opacity surroundin… https://t.co/jWUhy9rOs0 — PolitiTweet.org
Charles Fain Lehman @CharlesFLehman
@zackbeauchamp If you click through, it appears that that's only about 3,000 undelivered https://t.co/j0QBsx3qSV
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
Uh, so if this is true — big if — it's likely Biden actually did way better with Floridian Latino voters than all o… https://t.co/mJcIV3toMf — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
@KevinWGlass Trende says it is! https://t.co/EqDnmMazmI — PolitiTweet.org
Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende
So the battle for the Senate is probably more interesting at this point than the presidency. Trump can still win,… https://t.co/2mrRGlRAio
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
@JonPKay It's unlikely, but imo more likely than Trump winning the White House. See this from a very smart right-le… https://t.co/vaFuULq5Fq — PolitiTweet.org
Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende
So the battle for the Senate is probably more interesting at this point than the presidency. Trump can still win,… https://t.co/2mrRGlRAio
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
@rafi_dot_net https://t.co/EqDnmMazmI — PolitiTweet.org
Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende
So the battle for the Senate is probably more interesting at this point than the presidency. Trump can still win,… https://t.co/2mrRGlRAio
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
Meanwhile, my Twitter feed is acting like it's 2016 all over again — as if the notable thing that year was the poll… https://t.co/gWeTVQysMg — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
The recriminations among liberals this morning are very strange. Trump is extremely likely to lose! The Senate is still in play! — PolitiTweet.org
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
I was subtweeting a lot of bad analysis earlier but Chris' thread here is really good https://t.co/EKsSYmtEB1 — PolitiTweet.org
Chris Hayes @chrislhayes
We focus *a lot* on marginal swings, because that's where the action is: 4 out of 100 people changing their minds m… https://t.co/MuGPsMKooa
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
Meanwhile https://t.co/mgHgQ9qyTb — PolitiTweet.org
Jacqueline Alemany @JaxAlemany
12:38am text from Trump campaign staffer: "Momentum has clearly shifted to Biden... Georgia is..... oof."
Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp
This Biden speech — "we're on track to win this election" — is not the one you give if your internal numbers are looking grim — PolitiTweet.org
