Cameron Joseph

Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph

@Fritschner Very hard for me to see Biden winning ME-2 and losing WI. ME-2 voters are basically the harder part of WI for Biden. It's a very unlikely scenario, but if Biden wins NE-2, MI & PA but Trump wins WI, AZ and all the other states he won, it's a 269 tie. — PolitiTweet.org

Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph

Dem poll from @HouseMajPAC has Biden up 51%-45% in NE-2, tied House race. Reminder that NE districts each get an Electoral College vote. https://t.co/WJXi8gOHMa — PolitiTweet.org

Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph

RT @jason_koebler: i believe we have found the worst company: https://t.co/IyGhMrTxzN — PolitiTweet.org

Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph

RT @srl: .@alv9n maps how changes implemented by Louis DeJoy led to less on time delivery of first class mail throughout the US this summer… — PolitiTweet.org

Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph

Think the safe bet is this is bad for candidates trying to overcome their state's partisan lean. Bad for Collins, good for Daines. — PolitiTweet.org

Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph

Anyways, I haven't been sleeping well the last week or so. — PolitiTweet.org

Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph

And RBG's death could matter - if fighting over ballot counts or (lord forbid) competing slates of electors winds up in the Supreme Court, either a hobbled 8-member court or one with a brand-new justice rammed through by the GOP would be arbitrating the election. — PolitiTweet.org

Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph

The fact that MI, PA & WI all have Dem govs and GOP legislatures raises chances for them to certify two different slates of electors if the final count. Congress is supposed to resolve it if that happens, but laws governing what happens at that point are murky at best. — PolitiTweet.org

Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph

We're already seeing isolated violence in the streets from protests. If Trump claims he's been robbed — or if the left thinks the GOP is stealing the election — that could escalate, esp. if Trump seeks to escalate it, as he did during the BLM protests. — PolitiTweet.org

Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph

PA, for instance, took 3 weeks to count ballots after their primary. There's only about a month before states legally have to certify their results for the electoral college. Doesn't leave much time for potential litigation... — PolitiTweet.org

Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph

On top of that, mail ballots are a lot more likely to be rejected for technical reasons (missing signatures/envelopes/witness signatures/etc)— and a lot more likely to face litigation over whether they should count post-election. — PolitiTweet.org

Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph

The key tipping-point Electoral College states (AZ/MI/PA/WI) all will use heavy vote by mail this election and all but AZ can't start counting ballots 'til election day means long counts expected - and Trump could lead big on election day even in states where he'll lose. — PolitiTweet.org

Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph

.@realDonaldTrump has signaled strongly that he won't concede if he loses this election. I gamed out what could happen next. There are some really alarming scenarios. https://t.co/FM9Cmu7vVA — PolitiTweet.org

Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph

@Woodyman502 @DougHeye @CHueyBurns The characters started out flat sitcom parodies and ended up with a lot of depth. Think it's partly Daniel Levy growing fast running his first show and partly the great improv actors building out their characters — PolitiTweet.org

Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph

@DougHeye @CHueyBurns Thought the end got a bit saccharine too but the middle seasons are very sweet and good. Not usually into anything that wholesome/cheesy but it's great — PolitiTweet.org

Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph

@caitleg Fishing for compliments? — PolitiTweet.org

Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph

@DougHeye @CHueyBurns The first few episodes of the first season are borderline unwatchable and by season two it's one of the best sitcoms in the last few decades — PolitiTweet.org

Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph

RT @mattyglesias: Like everything else it just passes by without much comment but yesterday the president went to Minnesota where he comple… — PolitiTweet.org

Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph

*worth. Man, I'm typo ridden this week. — PolitiTweet.org

Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph

Work pointing out she doesn't address the real question here: whether she'd vote for a Trump appointee during the lame duck if he loses. — PolitiTweet.org

Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph

@grant_325 That is a good question. — PolitiTweet.org

Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph

Question, though, is who else. Even if Murkowski and Romney join her it's still 50-50 with Pence as the tiebreaker. Would Alexander cross his good friend McConnell on this as he heads out to retirement? Who else is ever reasonably likely to break ranks? — PolitiTweet.org

Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph

This is big. Assuming she sticks to her word and doesn't flip flop in a lame duck session... — PolitiTweet.org

Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph

RT @seungminkim: NEW -- Trump told McConnell in a conversation last night that he liked Amy Coney Barrett (7th Cir) and Barbara Lagoa (11th… — PolitiTweet.org

Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph

RT @karavoght: House Judiciary chair @RepJerryNadler just tweeted his support of court expansion if McConnell holds a confirmation vote on… — PolitiTweet.org

Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph

RT @JamesArkin: "Nothing is off the table" has been the position on the filibuster for months. — PolitiTweet.org

Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph

RT @jeneps: NEW: ActBlue has taken in $56 million and counting for Democratic candidates and causes since Ginsburg’s death was announced la… — PolitiTweet.org

Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph

RT @karavoght: Ditto their take on @RepJerryNadler and @EdMarkey’s threats of court packing! — PolitiTweet.org

Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph

SCOTUS health law experts think that Kavanaugh and even possibly Gorsuch and Alito could vote to save it, and a 4-4 decision wouldn't mean the law's immediate end. But that's a lot less certain outcome than if Ginsburg was still there ensuring 5 likely votes to protect ACA. — PolitiTweet.org

Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph

With RBG gone from the Supreme Court, Obamacare's survival suddenly doesn't lool like a sure thing. https://t.co/KSetzEb920 — PolitiTweet.org