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Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
needless to say, there are pretty good numbers for biden... — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
New quality polls out in the last few minutes: GEORGIA: Biden up 50%-46% in @MonmouthPoll high-turnout model (48%-46% in low turnout but that looks unlikely) MICHIGAN: Biden up 49%-41% from @nytimes & @SienaResearch WISCONSIN: Biden up 48%-43% from @MULawPoll — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
@EsotericCD Like a bull eat with butterflied sides — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
@TexasTribAbby Really more of an metroplexurb — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
RT @CaroRCummings: Inbox: Theresa Greenfield is temporarily suspending her RV campaign stops, including today’s events, after some members… — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
Talked to a dozen strategists in both parties. Almost all said Dems had the edge for Senate control — and Trump's drag on the GOP was the driving reason. — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
When this cycle began, Dems thought they'd need to be able to out-run their presidential candidate in some key red-… https://t.co/9gJmL5Bzvn
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
@JustinReid_02 The day between trump's COVID diagnosis after the debate and the Cal sexting scandal, I woulda said Dems could realistically get to 55 seats. Now I'm not ruling it out but NC looks closer (if still tilt Dem) and the reach states look harder except for maybe TX. — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
@IllinNoize @VICENews @JoeBiden @chrislhayes Yup. The formula in '18 was run unobjectionable moderates who could woo indies, assuming base turnout would take care of itself b/c of Trump. It worked. Dems were hoping Biden would do that (and mostly found Senate candidates in the same mold). RN, not looking like a bad play. — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
I remember being on a panel for @The_Almanac with @CharlieCookDC, @JessicaTaylor & @DaviSusan in early '19 where we talked about how Dems would need to win red-leaning states for the Senate. The key states of IA & NC haven't changed, but the "red-leaning" part might have... — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
When this cycle began, Dems thought they'd need to be able to out-run their presidential candidate in some key red-… https://t.co/9gJmL5Bzvn
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
@JamesDOlson1 whoops! in the chain now. — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
And in GA (which Biden and Trump both just visited), strategists think both Senate races are likely headed to runoffs — though Dems think there's an outside chance of @ossoff beating @Perduesenate on 11/3. Runoffs will look v different if Dems already have Senate than if not. — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
not sure @svdate was expecting that answer, but... — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
Overall consensus (w some disagreement): Dems are likely to lose AL, likely to win CO & MI, favored to win AZ, have the slight edge in ME & NC. That'd be 50 seats and control. Then IA & MT are jump balls, IA looks better than MT for Dems. SC, KS, TX, AK all lean increasingly R. — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
I talked to more than a dozen Dem & GOP strategists for this. The consensus was Dems are the slight favorite for Senate control, and Biden's margins will likely determine who wins. — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
Biden campaigning in Georgia yesterday — which is a DEAD HEAT — reinforced this. But Iowa and North Carolina are very close, and are the likeliest tipping-point states for the Senate fight. And Biden is clearly playing not just for a win but a governing coalition. — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
When this cycle began, Dems thought they'd need to be able to out-run their presidential candidate in some key red-leaning states to retake the Senate. Now, @JoeBiden is in a dead heat in those states — with possible coattails. https://t.co/5cVms20ZaS — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
@JoshSchwerin i just hope @guycecil is okay ;-) — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
.@guycecil asked why @realDonaldTrump is still holding crowded rallies if polling is showing it's hurting him. "He is a reckless asshole who has no self control... I don’t fucking know why Donald trump does anything. Because he’s a terrible human being." — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
.@prioritiesUSA surveys of swing state voters show that in all states, significant majorities know that the country's now experiencing another major wave of COVID cases. Highest number in Wisconsin, which is being pummeled by the virus. https://t.co/42ALQXW0EQ — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
.@guycecil says almost half of lean-Biden voters have already voted. — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
RT @CookPolitical: 🚨 Electoral College rating change: Texas moves from Lean R to Toss Up Read @amyewalter's latest analysis: https://t.co… — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
.@prioritiesUSA's final model has @JoeBiden at 258 likely electoral college votes with 76 EC votes leaning his way PA/AZ/NC/FL/NE-2). Says he wants to see Biden at 52% in national popular vote to feel comfortable on election night. https://t.co/teoAk4LQY1 — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
RT @Redistrict: New: Travis Co., TX (Austin) just hit 470,535 votes cast, surpassing its 2016 total of 468,720 a full week before Election… — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
RT @TimAlberta: I will not rest until every pundit who cites Trump’s connection with the white working-class acknowledges that he won fewer… — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
RT @toddzwillich: Ancient dilemma - How do you "balance" election night when one side is a demonstrated voting disinformation platform? — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
Better headline from @ABC but the story doesn't even mention the possibility their Wisconsin numbers could be an outlier or put them in context of other polls. Yeesh. https://t.co/NvyATY6zyP — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
A) the @washingtonpost headline on this story is misleading. Biden up 51-44 in Michigan isn't a "narrow" lead it's outside the MOE. B) And Biden up 57-40 in Wisconsin is probably an outlier yet that possibility isn't discussed 'til graf 7. Smh. https://t.co/GWmkKj4xv1 — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
RT @ShaneGoldmacher: If the Dodgers hadn't won, would they have been able to play a game 7?? — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
Not sure whether Mookie made the Red Sox owners or Rays manager look worse tonight — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
@annkpowers @Sinnenbergian @TexasTribAbby @LauraJaneGrace @thebrianfallon Good call, Ann. Also feeling like @RonBrownstein & @EsotericCD might have some thoughts. — PolitiTweet.org
