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Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
RT @jbouie: my florida take is that if rubio and desantis are running comparably it is not clear to me that we’re looking at anything you c… — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
Scott Walker's hometown — PolitiTweet.org
Patrick Marley @patrickdmarley
A Wisconsin elections commissioner says Milwaukee suburb Wauwatosa may not have its results complete until 5 a.m. (… https://t.co/5Bhb73Gawq
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
RT @RalstonReports: SO: I just confirmed that whatever mail has been dropped off today will not be tabulated tonight in Clark. May actually… — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
as it was in '20, by far — PolitiTweet.org
Jonathan Tamari @JonathanTamari
If Florida is truly off the map as a competitive state - say it with me - Pennsylvania is the most valuable swing state in 2024.
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
RT @sheeraf: Tucker Carlson just went on Fox and claimed that 30% of voting machines in Maricopa, Arizona, didn't work (not accurate, it wa… — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
RT @brianros1: If Shapiro is only 4 points ahead of Fetterman, one of two things is true: either Shapiro is in for a far tighter race than… — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
RT @rpyers: Still early, but I have a nagging suspicion that this may not have been the best use of $15 million of Democratic donor money.… — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
RT @stphnfwlr: If you want a quick cheat sheet for how many early votes each county has/has remaining, a reminder I've got a little dashboa… — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
As we await tonight's results, here's my list of my favorite swing-state reporters: https://t.co/tCpGBiAfPY And follow my wonderful colleagues covering tonight: @ElizLanders @alexisjreports @thegregwalters @daithaigilbert @misstessowen @carter_sherman @pblest @toddzwillich. — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
Hey all! Heading on this now to talk about the midterms and what tonight's results mean for democracy, tune in! https://t.co/nzJZoNAYVy — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
This is very true! And Trump intentionally created this divide by attacking mail voting (which actually leaned GOP as recently as 2018) before the 2020 election. — PolitiTweet.org
Sarah Isgur @whignewtons
This is one of the problems w the partisan divide around early and absentee voting. In previous years, lawsuits wer… https://t.co/rYUsVGf8m2
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
RT @chrislhayes: Also just a reminder to take exit polls with a grain of salt until matched against voter files. We really don’t have 20/20… — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
RT @DashaBurns: Big Election Day mess in Luzerne County, PA. Dozens of polling places ran out of printer paper for ballots. Voters had to b… — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
RT @Redistrict: One thing to remember tonight: even though redistricting made lots of GOP-leaning House seats (@CookPolitical PVI Even to R… — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
RT @baseballot: Important to note here that ballot tabulators are NOT voting machines. In AZ, you fill out a paper ballot and then stick it… — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
So what Senate race do folks think will be the last to be called—AZ, NV or PA? (not including GA because of recount potential). And when will we know 2/3 of these by? Friday? — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
RT @bethreinhard: “Expect the steal,” says one pro-Trump web site. That is no longer a fringe view. It is political doctrine for whole swat… — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
RT @Nate_Cohn: The Dem early vote hopium has important consequences for 'blue mirage' or 'red mirage' tonight. In many states, the early vo… — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
I'll leave you with what one national Democratic strategist texted me a week when I asked how it was looking in key races: https://t.co/2bHhI6286T — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
And I'm not an election handicapper! Haven't been for a few cycles. This is mostly future self-shame to keep me honest. — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
Secretaries of State in swing states: Dems hang on in MN, MI, NV and AZ, though NV and AZ could well flip. GOP wins GA. I'm not gonna do House race-by-race as I haven't seen enough polling but my best guess is Republicans net 24+ House seats, with 30 a real possibility. — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
I really think PA is the purest Senate tossup, with NV close behind... and I hate to bet against @RalstonReports. And I wouldn't be shocked if GA winds up in a runoff—or if Masters beats Kelly. And I think Dems could well lose KS & MI too... and Evers could well hang on in WI — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
So here are my guesses! (races from most to least confident) SENATE: Flips to GOP (52-48) Dems win NH, CO, AZ GOP wins FL, OH, NC, WI, GA, NV, PA GOV: Dems win MA, MD, CO, PA, NM, MN, ME, OR, NY, MI, KS GOP wins NH, SD, TX, FL, OH, IA, OK, GA, AZ, NV, WI — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
A TON of the polls are REALLY close this year (both public and internal polls from D's & R's), and even different polls for the same party have found markedly different numbers. Wisconsin Senate and Gov polls have been especially all over the place. — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
But I've talked to a lot of folks who are seeing internal polls, which are much better than the public polls. Most smart Dem & GOP strategists agree that the fundamentals of a midterm with unpopular president and a weakening economic climate are mattering more. — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
First, it's been an unusually unstable political (and polling) environment. One veteran GOP pollster told me "This is the most unstable polling environment I’ve ever been involved in, by a mile. And it's all been post-Dobbs." — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
Hey all, keeping up my biennial tradition of tweeting out my educated guesses on what'll happen tonight. TL;DR is it feels like a wave but not tsunami night for the GOP. But first, a few notes! — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
RT @VICENews: We're LIVE on Twitch now! Come spend your election day with us and join us in chat https://t.co/jJ6EZIxWw2 — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
RT @pbump: I think about @baseballot's pinned tweet a lot — written when it became clear that Trump had no path to victory in 2020. It's a… — PolitiTweet.org
Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph
RT @steve_vladeck: One more time: Many key states—thanks to laws enacted by Republican-controlled legislatures—aren’t even allowed to *star… — PolitiTweet.org
