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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
The live interview national polls show Biden +10. They also show him doing disproportionately well with white voters and worse than with Hispanics than Clinton. If true, the shift from 16 should be bigger in Midwest and smaller in sunbelt on average. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@nymetrowx it just keeps getting worse. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Seeing these latest Iowa + national numbers, I am somewhat reminded of watching all those specials in 2017. Whenever we start getting a real dose of nonpartisan high quality stuff from the closest battlegrounds, it's likely to be very ugly for Trump. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Also notable that this is poll is consistent with a high single to low double-digit national lead for Biden... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
In agreement here... Also it's a lot more that Trump is down than Biden up. It's not a good poll for Trump, but could have been worse. (Granted, the fact that counts as potentially decent news for Trump is an indication of where we are these days.) — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
Trump by 1 in the DMR/Selzer poll of Iowa. That's a 9 point worse for Trump than their last poll, but better than I… https://t.co/a48RrlqlGR
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@nymetrowx H8 u. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NathanWurtzel HMMMM... then again, the last thing i remember is them losing. lol. What a weird world. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NathanWurtzel Also winless. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
The bad news is there may not be an MLB season. The good news is that Yankees would not win a world series under that circumstance. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
RT @jhkersting: #NEW Presidential Forecast Update Improved state pages, more mobile friendly, and better looking on the computer as well.… — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@mWilstory In my apt building, same general rule... but folks are actually following it. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
When Nixon said he had a silent majority, his approval rating was around 60%. Today, Trump claims to have a silent majority, but his approval rating is in the low 40s. The situations are very different. https://t.co/03t0NZIdax — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Notably, when I did this a month ago, the swing was only about half what it is now from the 2016 baseline... More evidence that there's been a clear swing towards the Democrats over the last month. https://t.co/3AYQAbcJPv — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Democratic nominees for Senate/president have been outperforming Clinton's margin by an average of 10 pts in (mostly swing) state phone polls since protests began. This implies a double-digit Biden national lead & a Dem lead in race for Senate control. https://t.co/3AYQAbcJPv — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@richardmskinner @Nate_Cohn Reagan bounced... But generally around 10 pts better on net fav than Biden is at this point. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Trump's approval rating is in the low 40s. The average prez since 1940 has seen his approval rating shift just 3 points from now until Election Day. You do the math. It's not good for Trump. https://t.co/8idPAbUJwG — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
What in the fresh heck is this? https://t.co/sVmrV9CAv3 — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NilesGApol @cspan Way to go! — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@islivingston When I was a kid, Flag Day was often the only holiday besides Pa's Day to get a mention on the June calendar. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I wish I was being vetted for VP of a club where the job was to tell dogs that they were good and to pet the dogs. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@islivingston LOL! — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Carrying this an extra step... Biden reaches 270 with room to spare if he merely takes the states Clinton won + the states Trump won with less than 50% of the vote. — PolitiTweet.org
amy walter @amyewalter
When you look at Trump vote share instead of his margin, his wins in OH and IA look much less impressive. He won bo… https://t.co/qOZYIyLDSO
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
WOAH https://t.co/joQE3DS0fY — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Biden is winning women voters by a historic margin. He's ahead by 25 pts in latest average of live interview polls, more than prez nominee has won them by since at least 1952. The gender gap at 31 pts (Biden trails with men by 6) would also be largest ever https://t.co/X1CT63ss4E — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
BAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAAHAHAHAH https://t.co/2VPeysHSsY — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@nymetrowx BLESS IT!!!!! — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@RalstonReports @NathanWurtzel This is a nice thread :). — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Last month, Fox News had Biden 57% to Trump's 29% among suburban women... so a consistent ~30 pt or so edge for Biden among them. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
CNN's last poll found that among suburban women Joe Biden had 63% to Donald Trump's 34%. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Some HUGE jumps on some of these questions on what people say they are willing to do... Eat a restaurant went from 41% to 59% from May to June among those who had typically ate at one pre coronavirus https://t.co/BBSc0GkNMe — PolitiTweet.org
