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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
No, you are the one eating out of the Ben & Jerry's carton in bed. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Bingo. https://t.co/rZDKP1sZ1U Education is a known demographic that is correlated with political preferences. It's impt to make sure polls reflect the electorate. — PolitiTweet.org
Patrick Ruffini @PatrickRuffini
People here are assuming this was re-weighted explicitly to “unskew” and give Trump a better result. That’s not it.… https://t.co/Ps2liePhlh
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NilesGApol @DecisionDeskHQ @ajc @markniesse WAY TO GO!! — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@nymetrowx :( — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
The piece notes that we still have a very wide range of scenarios still on the board... but while strikes me that we talk about one tail (Biden losing), we don't talk about the other (a Biden blowout) nearly as much... and that right now is very possible. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Biden right now is ahead or down by a point in states containing over 400 electoral votes. He's also up 10 pts in national polls. If that was the result (& the piece points out why it may not be), it would be the largest win for a Dem since LBJ in 64. https://t.co/1Xjs0LxULN https://t.co/eQWYaKodC6 — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Email from someone: "I notice that person is really mean to you on Twitter." Me: "I muted that person over a year ago." How sweet it is :). — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Trump's net approval is -11 in the Fox poll. His net fav is -13. He is down 12 to Biden. This makes a TON OF SENSE. Yes, Trump is underperforming his approval (38 vs 44), but Biden's underperforming Trump's disapproval (50 vs 55). — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@ThePlumLineGS Sample size on that is small. It's basically indies not leaning. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Twitter: where people argue whether Trump is currently down 8, 9 or 10. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Agree with those who say that Q-Pac poll was Trump's best in weeks... and yet he's down 8... Says a lot, I think. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NilesGApol I KNEW IT. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Polls over the last few weeks have shown 1. Record low happiness for Americans. 2. Record low pride in being an American. 3. 80% say things are out of control in USA. 4. 20 pt rise in 3 months (!) & highest number in years saying we're on the wrong track https://t.co/iJPp5W0pzv — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I had a dream where I got fried chicken... Then, for some reason, I walked over to another restaurant and got... fried chicken. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
RT @perrybaconjr: The poll suggests the answer to the question of which candidate is electable might be neither. https://t.co/EDBWzNKnlk — PolitiTweet.org
Joe Sonka 😐 @joesonka
@Civiqs @DataProgress The poll also has McConnell winning big over both McGrath and Booker, but beating McGrath by… https://t.co/cHspo4DcOm
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NateSilver538 I did the same thing re: tweeting and Supreme Court, lol. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Polls over the last few weeks have shown 1. Record low happiness for Americans. 2. Record low pride in being an American. 3. 80% say things are out of control in USA. 4. 20 pt rise in 3 months (!) & highest number in years saying we're on the wrong track. https://t.co/iJPp5W0pzv — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
We're lacking recent live interview polls in the northern battlegrounds... but those that have come out in the past 3 weeks have shown Biden with a double-digit lead in MI, a 9 pt edge in WI, and a 2 pt lead in Ohio. All big league swings from 16. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@LoganDobson Honestly ur worst opinion and u have many. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
And no pollster name, field dates, etc. — PolitiTweet.org
Shane Goldmacher @ShaneGoldmacher
So the Engel camp internals show it a single-digit race.... https://t.co/okYhbvynHs
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
It was about a year ago when Harris attacked Biden in that first debate. Feels like 9,650 years ago. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
There are a lot of polls out there this week showing Biden's lead reaching a higher level than it has all year. Quite clear at this point that the protests + coronavirus + Trump's response to both has caused a real shift in the race. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@Nate_Cohn lol. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Here's a good piece from @GregJKrieg on the race... https://t.co/AST6y5Dn8Y — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
This is the 1 way the Engel-Bowman race ain't like Crowley-Ocasio Cortez... If Bowman wins, it won't surprise. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Weigel @daveweigel
Here are the crosstabs, which didn't attach before. https://t.co/cXp82FseR1
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
28 years ago at this point, Clinton wasn't just losing... He was in third... Gallup had Ross Perot in first (!) https://t.co/TbQEbAr3xs — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@islivingston Marshmallow that. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Trump won in 2016 in part cause he was seen as moderate (especially compared to Clinton). Running a campaign of appeasing the base is disregarding what was successful for him. https://t.co/W5urjwmkJI — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Small exercise.... I took every congressional district poll (all partisan) taken in last 2 months that released a prez ballot. Six in total. Adjusted for historical partisan bias (4 pts for party of candidate/group)... On average Biden's doing 9 pts better than Clinton. https://t.co/PcH7K9Xcpk — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@SeanTrende Sent me down a rabbit hole. Had no idea about this race. (Martin was oldest former member prior to Wolff) https://t.co/Py97VJ6U41 — PolitiTweet.org
