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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I will be hammering home the fact that it could take a while to get a truly accurate count. Better to be accurate than fast. — PolitiTweet.org
Shane Goldmacher @ShaneGoldmacher
NEW: The lack of full results in the NY and KY races this week is a bracing preview of the chaos that could come th… https://t.co/yagq1G8aOA
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@islivingston Tell him he's a good pooch! — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@islivingston :( — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Indeed, Fox was in Ohio too (as they were in WI)... and had Biden up within MoE like Q-Pac. Very consistent picture, so far. Biden gaining like 10 across the board from Clinton in 16 in the Midwest battlegrounds. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
2 high quality Wisconsin state polls since the protests started. Biden by 9 in both of them. NYT-Siena tmrw. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
The state polling is entirely consistent with a 10 pt lead for Biden nationally... I think for many folks... Their guts don't comprehend what a 10 pt lead really means til they see it in the state polling. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Covid positive test rate in NY State: 1.1%. Yesterday it was 1.2%. In NYC, it is 1.2%. Yesterday, it was 1.4%. Folks, wear masks!!!! It works!!! — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Some might say he is closing? (I'm kidding this poll is brutal for Trump, and there have now been a # of top quality polls showing himself in deep stuff nationally.) — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
Perhaps one small bit of consolation for the president is that his deficit is only 13 points using the unrounded margins (49.7 to 36.3)
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Still no votes in from Westchester... (The district is Bronx/Westchester.) Plus what is likely to be a boatload of absentees... So we can all head to Leibman's Deli, as we wait a loooooong time for the absentees to get counted. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
BTW, I'd view this is as quite ominous for Engel... with all the caveats you should have... He should be winning here. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Seeing Engel trailing in Jeff Dinowitz's AD-81 (even if by just a little and plenty of votes to go) is something else... (FWIW, I sorta know the place given I lived years 0-18 there...) — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@richardmskinner Nothing. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
With the understanding of course that there will be a load of votes not counted tonite. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
FYI, the NYC (https://t.co/MUt064kceJ) and NYS board of elections (https://t.co/eNJ3oWOJvi) report results fast. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I'm already planning on Election Night to turn into Election Week in November. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
This episode of Growing Pains is something else... Also, lots of high quality polling over the next two days. Good stuff. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
RT @A_agadjanian: These null results hold when using different methods too (e.g. asking VP question again later in the survey and using wit… — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
RT @A_agadjanian: New @MisOfFact piece by @b_schaffner and I: could Biden's choice of VP have electoral impact? In survey experiment of 5k… — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Winter is coming — PolitiTweet.org
New York Metro Weather @nymetrowx
NYC has lost 8 seconds of daylight since the summer solstice last weekend. By this time next month, we’ll have lost a full 30 minutes.
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@IChotiner @Nate_Cohn UH OH — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
The designated hitter is trash. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@Taniel Nothing quite like election week. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
When you find out White Castle delivers.... https://t.co/ijG2bqA0dQ — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
For me, personally, I think the President is in deep trouble because he's down 10, Biden's at 50%+, and Biden is more trusted than Trump on both race relations and the coronavirus... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Worth noting that a. the vast majority of GOPers are still with Trump. b. they aren't enough to win Trump the election. c. Even more Dems are with Biden than GOPers are with Trump. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I once went on a date with the collar over the lapel. The person I was on the date with thought I was "quirky" and "retro". I had no intention of being such. I only wore it that way cause I saw my Dad wear it that way... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
"There's no sign of 'hidden' Trump voters"... I hear often that Trump supporters are afraid to admit that they are backing Trump. Problem is Trump's was down 10 points this week in polls NOT involving a live interviewer. https://t.co/8eJCa50zsJ — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Notably, the front-runner in the markets usually doesn't become the veep nominee. Tim Kaine in 2016 was the only one who did... but Kaine was also the one who was doing the best in the betting markets at this point. https://t.co/cWxTktENy8 — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Kamala Harris has been trading right around 50% in the betting markets to be Biden's veep. That's the strongest position of any potential veep in the betting markets at this point since at least 2008. Usually, leaders are at around 20-25%. https://t.co/cWxTktENy8 — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I've now seen two pieces that have friendly narratives to Trump try to use primary turnout as an argument in his favor... Only to see the examples picked (PA and now GA) fall apart once more mail (absentee) votes were actually counted... — PolitiTweet.org
