(((Harry Enten)))

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

The type of advantage Democrats are having in released internal polling over the past 3 months looks a heck of a lot like 2018... which turned out to be a rout. https://t.co/Wo6BBV0E0o — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

What's fascinating is that before the coronavirus hit, the GOP was putting out more polling... So the timing lines up very well with the public numbers of when Trump's approval started a mostly unabated decline over the last 3 months. https://t.co/Wo6BBV0E0o — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

"GOP internal polling signals a Democratic rout." The GOP has released 0 district polls conducted since April. Dems have released 17. Historically, the difference between # of polls put out by each party is HIGHLY correlated with November's result. https://t.co/Wo6BBV0E0o — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@JMilesColeman If you haven't already, https://t.co/Fi7HWB9F3g — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@JMilesColeman IIRC, he then vastly underperformed the polling in 1991... — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

CNN's last poll had Biden winning 96% to 2% overall among those who trusted Biden over Trump on the coronavirus. Probably the only realistic way (imho) for Trump to win is get more trusted on the issue. If he doesn't, this campaign is over. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

This from https://t.co/QaLNCmPHBg is bad... Above 1 basically means each person with COVID-19 is infecting more than 1 other person on average. Below 1 means each is infecting less than one. Most states are above 1 now... Compare that to two months ago when most were below 1... https://t.co/VcaujcU2s3 — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

These numbers have been creeping up slightly the past few days... — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

The 2016 version of the econ model had Trump winning the by 1. He lost by 2. In other words, quite predictive. Given pandemic & Trump's lousy ratings on it, I'm not sure there's a good reason he'll beat the econ fundamentals now. https://t.co/A9UEPhnHXO https://t.co/9dMUuBsBo7 — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I recall being in a room with Sanders a few years ago, and she was the only other person to know the date of the federal (not state) Georgia runoff if one was required by law. https://t.co/sWZyU1ywKM — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@nymetrowx WE hate u :( — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@NateSilver538 LOL — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

The last time an incumbent was this far behind in early July was Jimmy Carter in 1980. Didn't end well for him. https://t.co/8xFORfms72 — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@kyletblaine Good Bye Sweet Prince. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

5 months ago this week, Biden was finishing well behind the leaders in Iowa... He followed that up by doing even worse in New Hampshire... Today, he holds a 10 point lead and just outraised the incumbent... — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@NilesGApol I like it, haha. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@IChotiner @nytfood Find the recipe and send baked goods to me at 123 Fake Street. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Americans Want More, Not Less, Immigration for First Time per Gallup https://t.co/DEyhltwQ3X https://t.co/neH0oi0rZU — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

This would also help to explain Trump trying "Corrupt Joe"... One notable nugget... Perceived honesty numbers in June 2016 held to the election, so Biden is a much better position at this point than Clinton was at this point in 2016. https://t.co/TFimqq8dp3 — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

In yesterday's Pew poll 48% of voters said Biden is honest. Just 36% said Trump is. Trump's numbers are the same as 4 years ago, but Biden is doing 10 pts better than Clinton. In 2016, few attributes predicted the race as well as perceived honesty. https://t.co/Oq21oVACPZ — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

The clear rule for this MLB season... If the Yankees win, this season is a fraud. If they lose, this season counts for 2 seasons. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Being that I no longer wished to be praying that my connection would hold during my "inside Harry's apartment" tv hits, I've taken the initiative to upgrade my internet. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Kentucky is another example of "E-Day votes may differ from absentees, so let's all be patient come November." — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

The lack of respect a few on this platform have for the hard working every day folks counting ballots is astounding to me. There are no grand conspiracies. There are just people trying to get an accurate count in a trying time. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Before Trump hit his Covid/protests swoon, look at the polling by Marquette in Wisconsin... It was competitive no doubt, but Biden still led... Over the course of 7 polls from 2019 and 2020, he was up 4 pts on average among likely voters. https://t.co/8s0e9hLSky — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@JMilesColeman Folks just don't get it... — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I just found Popeyes in my bedsheets. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@geoffreyvs Truth. It rarely is. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Honest question... Is there anyone saying Trump can't win?... I haven't heard that from anyone... — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

The Times basically did everything prescribed to be good here and found some of the worst polling for Trump this entire campaign. https://t.co/7bHNomGHwZ — PolitiTweet.org