(((Harry Enten)))

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I'm sure there's some universe out there where Trump wins with these numbers, but it is far, far, far, far, far away... Some of the worst numbers I've seen from a quality weekly poll. https://t.co/NXDUm23Pm5 — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I can't recall less news attention on a prez race since my bar mitzvah... It's totally overwhelmed by the pandemic. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Like the polling just makes a ton of sense... There is still time to go, but the formula is printing out a result that you'd think it would... And it's gotten so repetitively bad for Trump that the fact he is losing by 10 isn't even a top news story right now. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

This pandemic started at the tail end of winter. We're entering the heart of summer, and we're by many metrics in worse shape... If you presented me a hypothetical of a worsening pandemic in an election year, you'd think the prez would be way down. And that's where we are. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Ah of course cause what we were missing in 2020 was a tropical storm. Man alive... — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

We got a pandemic on our hands. I just think it's nuts to think that won't be the overriding issue that will determine who is president come next January. https://t.co/eXpWj6ft2P — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

The polls are pretty clear here... Trump's handling of coronavirus is the only election issue that matters. We have a pandemic going on & cases have been rising... If Biden is more trusted on coronavirus come E-Day (as he is now), Trump is a one term prez. https://t.co/eXpWj6x4rp — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I mean what's there really more to say about this race at this point? You got a president who has a net approval rating of -15 pts. A president who is down 10 to his opponent. A pandemic that seems to be getting worse. Seems pretty clear what's happening... — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@Hoosier114 It's shocking to all. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I just did an interview, which touched upon my Judaism. One thing I passed along... My Father, who was born in 27 (had me in his 60s), would go up to random Britons in restaurants and thank them for helping to win WWII. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Rasmussen Reports. Yes, that Rasmussen has Biden up by 10 pts. https://t.co/Y330SgCsjH — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I spoke about this a little over a month ago... "Warren as Biden's running mate makes no electoral sense." https://t.co/mGPWQ7MhO1 — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Monte Irvin. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@nymetrowx PLEASE — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

This is fun stuff https://t.co/DT6BmzpVR1 Also gives you an idea of the strength of Trump's deficit at this point. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I just located a photo of me when I was 12? 13? with a saxophone and braces... I believe it was also the last photo of me wearing a tie... — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Got an official Mario update on the weather in NYC... https://t.co/ycXSZJIIzj — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I started this convo with shalom. Bottom line is polls are unanimous that Biden's ahead. GOP is releasing few internal polls to counteract the public polls (historically a bad sign). In July polls, Trump's polling more like past losing than winning prez's https://t.co/MfmaOPE0SP — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@aedwardslevy Just remember, the days are getting shorter. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

This is what it's currently like to walk outside in NYC. https://t.co/ywELGuZPP8 — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@ElectProject Could be! — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Trump's strategy (in so far as there is one) is polarize, polarize. That could cause the polls to shift back to their long term average. But as I said it a few weekends ago (https://t.co/cyl8L9Adym), where does that get us? Trump losing by like 7 instead of 10 or 11? — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

This is what I've been seeing in a lot of polls... Trump's base first strategy has caused pretty much every single Democrat to abandon him... So yes, he wins the vast majority of GOPers, but gets swallowed up by the near unanimous opposition of Dems. https://t.co/3DrA5oIHVv https://t.co/zGKjxJKSmd — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Just called my Mom old on tv... OOPS. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

This is a very different situation than Trump faced in March. There were a few somewhat positive historical examples for him then (e.g. Reagan in 80). Those are mostly gone now. Being down 6 in March is 1 thing. Being down 10 in July is another. https://t.co/quDsMj3VOf — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

BTW, polls are far from a perfect predictor at this point cause we're still 4 months out, but based on history since 1940 Trump is at historic disadvantage. He's down 10 & his opponent is at 50%+. Trump can win, but, if history holds, it's a long shot. https://t.co/quDsMj3VOf — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

What's that smell? Is that the smell of some ballot deadlines passing? Is that the smell of many more coming up? Maybe it's the smell of a current blowout race that some feel needs some drama? — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

With today's report tweeted by Cuomo, this is what we've seen over last month in NY. Basically a rate of transmission of 1. You'd like it below 1, but being @ 1 is def better than being above 1. Here is last 3 weekly average - cases: 656, 658, 659 and % positive 1.1%, 1.1% & 1.0% https://t.co/EQLlW9WA9T — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I have zero issue with folks citing 88 as an example of why polls can change, but it really should be acknowledged that race didn't feature an incumbent running... and the incumbent was far more popular than Trump. The dynamics were totally different. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@NateSilver538 Looks Rt around 1ish... beyond that? Idk. Maybe slightly up? — PolitiTweet.org