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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I got a lot of opinions about food, but most of them revolve around the fact that KFC somehow has a lot more locations than Popeyes. That's ridiculous and disgusting. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Also of note, the latest ABC News/WaPo poll has Biden by 9 in the suburbs... The same poll 4 years ago at this point (just before the RNC) had Trump by 10 in the suburbs. That's a 19 pt move towards Biden in the suburbs. https://t.co/gCCzWciqdD — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
A look across the latest polling has Biden winning in the suburbs by north of 15 points on average. No Dem in the modern era has won the suburbs by double-digits, save maybe Johnson in 64. It would be a historic win. https://t.co/gCCzWciqdD — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@SeanTrende @GerryDales I don't care if this is fake or real. It's amazing. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@nymetrowx I preferred the tropical storm. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
All in all, the poll, to me, like every other polls shows why Biden is well ahead. Coronavirus is the top issue. Voters aren't thinking about crime. Trump's charges against Biden's mental fitness fall flat cause they actually think Trump is worse. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Race relations comes in third (10%)... Crime? Well crime is at just 1%... Also of note, more voters said Trump say Trump isn't mentally sound enough to serve as prez effectively (51%) than say the same for Biden (39%). 2/3 — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Fox News has the race trending slightly in Trump's direction... Matching the national IVR/Online polls... The poll has a bunch of nuggets I think are telling. 1. Coronavirus is nation's top problem (29%). (Rare for a non-economic issue). 1/? https://t.co/XQ8RG3fZKo — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
This is among voters btw, which is what I care about for understanding electoral trends. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Side note: I had pointed out on Saturday (https://t.co/ZE1xv1o0w2) that Biden was beating Trump on who was trusted on law & order. In new ABC/Post poll, Biden beats Trump by 7 on crime/safety. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
We've seen two live interview polls this week that have Biden +15 among registered voters. The other live interview poll had Biden +11. The downward trend for Trump in these polls can be directly tied to a declining approval of him on coronavirus. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Most big things are connected with that pandemic... Economy, schools, etc... It all comes from that... To me, it seems so obvious... Maybe I'm wrong, but so far the polling looks like you'd expect given it all... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
We got a freaking pandemic going on. The idea that this election won't be a referendum on Trump's performance during that pandemic seems... not right. If things get better, you can see Trump becoming more competitive with Biden. Without that... I'm doubtful. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
We'll see if this stuff works, but I'm quite skeptical. Trump tried a version of this to close out the 2018 campaign, and it didn't work. https://t.co/Mp7IkDVQA0 https://t.co/ZE1xv1o0w2 — PolitiTweet.org
Jim Acosta @Acosta
Trump in tele-town hall last night on Biden: “They're going to bring people, eliminate single-family zoning, they w… https://t.co/Og8WizxTem
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NathanWurtzel Oh I already have my rules... If they win, it's not real. if they lose, they couldn't even win in a not real season. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NathanWurtzel I am very happy he did. He's a good person. The team still stinks, however. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
This is an interesting thread. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@gelliottmorris @Nate_Cohn @DanRosenheck @collprof @Michael_Cobb68 I think 25:1 (96%) vs. 100:1 (99%) are pretty di… https://t.co/vWNvQeBK5Y
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Trump's trying to run on law & order. Maybe it'll work, but I think it's a bad strategy. Why? 1. It's not a top issue to voters. 2. Voters want a prez who speaks about healing the racial divide, not law & order. 3. Voters trust Biden more on law & order. https://t.co/ZE1xv1o0w2 — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
People have got to stop doing stupid things that put other people at risk. Thank you. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I mean snow in the summer doesn't sound bad. Granted, most of the rest isn't great. — PolitiTweet.org
Ajit Pai @AjitPaiFCC
The worst time to be alive? A good candidate: 536-543. Massive volcanic eruptions in 536 and 540 yielded "coldest d… https://t.co/5w6oFw5ZwL
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I failed I think it was 7 (?) consecutive grammar quizzes in 8th grade. I couldn't write an essay to save my life in high school. English was consistently my worst subject. School was hard, and I hated it. I don't get those who say they loved it. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Obviously I agree with this thread. — PolitiTweet.org
amy walter @amyewalter
To paraphrase @ForecasterEnten , sometimes understanding an election is hard, sometimes it’s not. This one is in th… https://t.co/SGPVBw5oBk
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Actually amazing how consistent the polling is on Trump's approval on Covid dropping a. into the 30s and b. into the 70s with Republicans. Given its import, this spell bad news for him heading into the election. https://t.co/pf94nZliav — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NathanWurtzel and then Javits ran in the general!... and everyone thought the Senate race was going to be the blowout and the prez race would be close. Instead, it was the other way. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Remember when Mike Bloomberg parachuted into the Dem primary? Spent like a billion dollars? Came in fourth? And that he ran cause Biden was weak?... And then Biden won anyway?... and is up like 10 now against a flailing incumbent? — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I had recalled that Bess Myerson had come in 2nd to Liz Holtzman in the 1980 Dem US Senate primary in NY. I had forgotten that John Lindsay had come in third... I apologize. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Part of me wants pizza. Part of me wants pasta. I think I might get pasta as a top on pizza. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
The average poll since late May in Arizona has Biden +4. Clearly ahead, but tighter than you might think based on polls earlier this year as well as what other state/national polling is showing. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
So this is an interesting GOP internal poll. It's PA-1 (mirrored prez national vote in 16). 1. GOP put out a poll, which is rare. 2. It has Biden by 9. 3. It's clearly put out to show Trump isn't dragging down GOP candidate (Fitzpatrick) in this district https://t.co/B6LtU9i5E7 — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Look winning campaigns always replace their campaign managers with 110 days to go. That's what they do... In all seriousness, I have said it once I'll say it again. The election comes down to the coronavirus more than anything else. — PolitiTweet.org
