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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@KSoltisAnderson @EchelonInsights @ManhattanInst GREAT STUFF. THANKS! — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
When my Father was in his mid-80s, he consistently complained about not getting a good night of sleep. I thought he was nuts. Now more than 50 years younger, I'm already complaining. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
RT @merica: “I do feel like emotionally, I take on probably a little bit more.” How Mandela Barnes, a 33-year old who is both politically… — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
The Popeyes has been delivered. I repeat the Popeyes has been delivered. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I like tv theme songs... This dog came up during a news theme montage. https://t.co/UXFqeNMQLw — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
These are polls (and none of them are live interview or anything close) that were taken majority after the RNC... Notice in some cases multiple LV screens and etc... The average bounce here looks to be about 2 points to Trump in extraordinarily early data. https://t.co/F1B9yF4J7k — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
YAY!!!!!!!!!! — PolitiTweet.org
New York Metro Weather @nymetrowx
Today is the last day of meteorological summer.
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@SeanTrende Look, Worchester, Mossachusetts is a very real place. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Expecting a SLEW of polling this week... So we'll know soon enough... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I just found out Dallas BBQ is opened for another hour. I love this country. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Am i desperate enough to look at Zogby polling to understand the post-convention landscape?... I'll just say given their previous poll on the same question (i.e. the two-way) it is consistent with no significant bounce for either candidate. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Got called a "nimrod" by an emailer today. Said emailer was last seen at Woolworth's and sipping some RC Cola. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I have no idea what the betting markets see right now. I mean maybe they're right, but another conclusion is that just like the primaries they're underestimating Biden... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Biden has a larger lead of any challenger at this point against an elected incumbent since... Well ever tbh. (Note: this includes Perot questions from 92.) Part of that is an unpopular incumbent, but it's plausible Biden's a better candidate than many here give him credit for. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NateSilver538 3? That long? A new Jewish deli just moved in down the street. It's already back! — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Despite some rumblings on this platform, Americans aren't underestimating the chance Trump wins... They're overestimating it. https://t.co/mNbR4z7PPP — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
What I see right now is Ipsos favs indicating no movement for Trump, YouGov panel indicating 2.5 pt movement to Trump, MC indicating 4 pt, USC (only partially post-convention) indicating no movement. Not exactly screaming BIG BOUNCE. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I don't get this... So some folks think the polls are wrong, but think evidence the polls are wrong is that "Democrats" are calling into C-Span to declare their support for Trump? So folks would lie to pollsters, but publicly declare on C-Span their support? WUT?! — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@ElectProject Too reasonable. Sorry. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
So far I've seen the YouGov recontact survey showing a slight bump for Trump. The same from Morning Consult. The Ipsos poll shows no bump at all in Trump's favorability ratings. We'll see what else is out there. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Said on Election Night 2008 coverage by one politician... "This is the beginning of the healing in America, after a couple of divisive decades." Little did he know... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
If the initial polling we've seen post-convention is matched by others... Then for Trump to win, he will have to be the first president since Truman in 48 to come back after trailing post-convention. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Just found out a Jewish deli has opened up down the street.... In a year of the terrible, this is fantastic. Diet Black Cherry here we come! — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NathanWurtzel I'm a sour pickle guy, personally. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
My initial reactions to the MC poll are 1. Hey a little bit of movement! 2. Wait, he got a bounce and he's still clearly trailing? 3. Wait for more data. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Trump is the president of the loud minority, not silent majority. He never hit 50% in any live interview poll against Clinton in 2016 & hasn't against Biden in 2020. He hasn't hit 50% in any live interview poll for his approval rating his entire presidency https://t.co/L3nsjTsEiL — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Why Democrats are worried about Kenosha... And why maybe they shouldn't be. Biden wants to make this election about improving race relations & bringing people together. Trump wants to make it about crime. https://t.co/shyojJvHy3 — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Florida is likely going to count its votes fast on Nov 3... Models I look at suggest Biden's chance of winning the prez if he wins FL is ~95%. It drops below 50% if he loses FL. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NathanWurtzel My Nana used to have diet celray. They don't make it anymore. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Nothing quite like lying in bed on a Friday night with a box of Popeyes and your choice of a diet 2 quart bottle of soda. — PolitiTweet.org