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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

The one major difference between my youth and my now old age... The preference for heat now vs. AC in my youth. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 20, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

There's still 44 days and 2 hours until the election, so we'll see what happens... but Biden remains the only challenger in the polling era to be leading a president wire to wire. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 20, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

One VERY different thing from 2016 is that the Selzer polls in Iowa were pretty good for Trump. This year the polls in Iowa haven't been too good for the Republicans... Lending credence to those Wisconsin polls, which have been weak for Trump. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 19, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Greenfield 45% to Ernst 42% in the Selzer poll https://t.co/GW5e8rVnaG — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 19, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I pre-wrote this one for the weekend. (It happens...) But right now Biden is doing better with senior citizens than any Democrat since Bill Clinton in 1996. It's a big reason he's ahead right now. https://t.co/R5jc8lbXHd — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 19, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

More on this tmrw... but the Kavanaugh argument (i.e. that it helped Republicans in states like Indiana & Missouri) seems off to me, unless Biden has to carry those states in 2020... Last I checked, he does not. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 19, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

We're going to have to see how things look when the dust clears... but Unlike 2016, polling this year suggests Democrats more motivated by Supreme Court than Republicans... I just think it's a totally different ballgame we're looking at. https://t.co/snoZyWYLY5 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 19, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I wonder what a high quality nonpartisan poll of Georgia or Texas would say right now... Based off of NC polling, I'd have to think GA is close to tied. In TX? No real idea. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

The good news is if this New Year's celebration stinks... I'll try again in 3 and a half months... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@EsotericCD It'd be interesting... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Speaking of which, look at the new Marist poll. Age 65+ in LV... Biden by 4 points. White voters... Biden by 1 point... Biden's doing a little worse among White voters in the average, but still massive improvement from Clinton. https://t.co/dAsD2I3YAW — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Biden is getting larger chunks of coalitions that are a. bigger and b. turn out at better levels historically... It's, to put it mildly, a very good short term trade, if it holds. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Biden has this weirdo ability to create coalitions that are passé... but nonetheless seem to be working quite well if you believe the polling. Same was true in the primary. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

There seems to be this belief out there that Biden's problems with Blacks/Hispanics is somehow deadly to his campaign? Just remember that White voters will make up ~70% of voters, and Biden's doing 8-9 pts better with them than Clinton did in final pre-election polls. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Me on a phone call... "I don't like the sound of my own voice, which I know is hard to believe because I've been talking consistently for 2 straight minutes here." — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@aedwardslevy Gosh how true this is. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@JewdyGold Lol. I like Popeyes. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@kyletblaine Thanks for doing this, Kyle. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Currently having a very vigorous debate over whether Chick Fil A or Popeyes has better chicken... IDK how any of you can think the former. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@NateSilver538 Always appreciate that Tails from Sonic found a second life. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 17, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

RT @yashar: 1. Last week @KFILE & @RachelEnsignWSJ shared the news that their baby girl Francesca has an extremely rare metastatic brain tu… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 17, 2020 Retweet
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

RT @kyletblaine: Many of you have heard about @KFILE and @RachelEnsignWSJ's beautiful baby girl Francesca and her diagnosis. And many of yo… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 17, 2020 Retweet
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@mWilstory U too friend :) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 17, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@PollsAndVotes YES!... I was just talking about this with someone. Rising incomes do correlate with more GOP support, but you gotta control for other factors. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 17, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

One thing I will note... I'm struck by how decent most people are. There are bad eggs for sure, but most people do try to do the right thing. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 17, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

You'll notice btw that I don't really "call out" folks on here. I do try & elevate the positive. I speak with @natesilver538 & @nate_cohn fairly regularly. Smart (as you all know). Personally, they've been nothing but kind & decent folks. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 17, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

This is very kind & true. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The meta-debates about election forecasting are so tiresome so let me instead say something randomly positive about… https://t.co/8B3e7sBY2J

Posted Sept. 17, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@SeanTrende Quite reasonable. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 17, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I really do wonder what a nonpartisan high quality poll would find statewide in TX. — PolitiTweet.org

Kirk A. Bado @kirk_bado

New in @njhotline this AM: Joint poll in #TX03 from the DCCC and Lulu Seikaly (D) conducted by GSG (Sept. 10-15; 40… https://t.co/boo1KFzlDH

Posted Sept. 17, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

RT @Nate_Cohn: As an aside, the MULaw and NYT/Siena polls in WI were both R+2 by party identification, and Biden still led by 4/5 points am… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 17, 2020 Retweet