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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
The one major difference between my youth and my now old age... The preference for heat now vs. AC in my youth. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
There's still 44 days and 2 hours until the election, so we'll see what happens... but Biden remains the only challenger in the polling era to be leading a president wire to wire. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
One VERY different thing from 2016 is that the Selzer polls in Iowa were pretty good for Trump. This year the polls in Iowa haven't been too good for the Republicans... Lending credence to those Wisconsin polls, which have been weak for Trump. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Greenfield 45% to Ernst 42% in the Selzer poll https://t.co/GW5e8rVnaG — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I pre-wrote this one for the weekend. (It happens...) But right now Biden is doing better with senior citizens than any Democrat since Bill Clinton in 1996. It's a big reason he's ahead right now. https://t.co/R5jc8lbXHd — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
More on this tmrw... but the Kavanaugh argument (i.e. that it helped Republicans in states like Indiana & Missouri) seems off to me, unless Biden has to carry those states in 2020... Last I checked, he does not. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
We're going to have to see how things look when the dust clears... but Unlike 2016, polling this year suggests Democrats more motivated by Supreme Court than Republicans... I just think it's a totally different ballgame we're looking at. https://t.co/snoZyWYLY5 — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I wonder what a high quality nonpartisan poll of Georgia or Texas would say right now... Based off of NC polling, I'd have to think GA is close to tied. In TX? No real idea. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
The good news is if this New Year's celebration stinks... I'll try again in 3 and a half months... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@EsotericCD It'd be interesting... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Speaking of which, look at the new Marist poll. Age 65+ in LV... Biden by 4 points. White voters... Biden by 1 point... Biden's doing a little worse among White voters in the average, but still massive improvement from Clinton. https://t.co/dAsD2I3YAW — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Biden is getting larger chunks of coalitions that are a. bigger and b. turn out at better levels historically... It's, to put it mildly, a very good short term trade, if it holds. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Biden has this weirdo ability to create coalitions that are passé... but nonetheless seem to be working quite well if you believe the polling. Same was true in the primary. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
There seems to be this belief out there that Biden's problems with Blacks/Hispanics is somehow deadly to his campaign? Just remember that White voters will make up ~70% of voters, and Biden's doing 8-9 pts better with them than Clinton did in final pre-election polls. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Me on a phone call... "I don't like the sound of my own voice, which I know is hard to believe because I've been talking consistently for 2 straight minutes here." — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@aedwardslevy Gosh how true this is. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@JewdyGold Lol. I like Popeyes. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@kyletblaine Thanks for doing this, Kyle. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Currently having a very vigorous debate over whether Chick Fil A or Popeyes has better chicken... IDK how any of you can think the former. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NateSilver538 Always appreciate that Tails from Sonic found a second life. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
RT @yashar: 1. Last week @KFILE & @RachelEnsignWSJ shared the news that their baby girl Francesca has an extremely rare metastatic brain tu… — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
RT @kyletblaine: Many of you have heard about @KFILE and @RachelEnsignWSJ's beautiful baby girl Francesca and her diagnosis. And many of yo… — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@mWilstory U too friend :) — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@PollsAndVotes YES!... I was just talking about this with someone. Rising incomes do correlate with more GOP support, but you gotta control for other factors. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
One thing I will note... I'm struck by how decent most people are. There are bad eggs for sure, but most people do try to do the right thing. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
You'll notice btw that I don't really "call out" folks on here. I do try & elevate the positive. I speak with @natesilver538 & @nate_cohn fairly regularly. Smart (as you all know). Personally, they've been nothing but kind & decent folks. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
This is very kind & true. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
The meta-debates about election forecasting are so tiresome so let me instead say something randomly positive about… https://t.co/8B3e7sBY2J
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@SeanTrende Quite reasonable. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I really do wonder what a nonpartisan high quality poll would find statewide in TX. — PolitiTweet.org
Kirk A. Bado @kirk_bado
New in @njhotline this AM: Joint poll in #TX03 from the DCCC and Lulu Seikaly (D) conducted by GSG (Sept. 10-15; 40… https://t.co/boo1KFzlDH
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
RT @Nate_Cohn: As an aside, the MULaw and NYT/Siena polls in WI were both R+2 by party identification, and Biden still led by 4/5 points am… — PolitiTweet.org