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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Just wrote an article talking about this, which will get pubbed soon enough... but look at Biden's net favorability in the most recent Fox News poll: It's +17 points among likely voters. He's not just winning by default. He's popular. https://t.co/wYGyPCatqB — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 7, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@Hoosier114 That's a reference! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 7, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Let me add this: it is absolutely the case that this race is NOT over. Trump has a non-zero shot of winning. (He is of course a clear underdog.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 7, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Again, I might be more likely to take the idea of polls/forecasts dissuading folks from voting, if the polls actually suggested voters thought Biden was winning. A plurality of folks in polls think Trump's going to win. They don't believe the polls! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 7, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I am both for noting high quality individual poll results (because polls cost $ and a poll avg is only as good as pollsters willing to poll) and putting said polls into context. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 7, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@IChotiner You have friends you guess polling data with? What a nerd. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 7, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@aedwardslevy Uh... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 7, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I'm gonna guess the President will not be tweeting out the latest Rasmussen poll. Just a guess. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 7, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I wrote a 14 page paper on whether VP debates matter... Long story short... They don't. Here's a chart showing how the post VP debate polls on who won/lost the debate don't correlate at all with movement in horserace between the presidential contenders. https://t.co/FF5QIU4OP9 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 7, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@SteveKornacki Few remember this because of what happened in the next debate, but it gave Mondale a little bit of hope. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 7, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

2 games away from Satan getting eliminated. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 7, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I don't wanna say YouTube Tv has a massive delay compared to regular tv, but the person in the other room is watching the Dodgers playoff game and they just announced that tonight's starting pitcher for the Dodgers is Carl Erskine. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 7, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Biden's closer in Alaska than Trump is in Pennsylvania. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 7, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@PollsAndVotes @MULawPoll SHIBA!!!!!!! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 6, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I simply don't get it. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 6, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Look is Joe Biden leading? Yes. Is it close at this time? No. Are there any bright spots for Trump in the polling? No. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 6, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Folks, this is some dangerous stuff. I know there's a TON going on in the news, but if you're on the Gulf Coast pay some attention here https://t.co/haVJWTK3VK — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 6, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Even at her height post-debate, Clinton NEVER got to these numbers — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Indeed, our national polling average is up to Biden +8.8 after adding the CNN poll and the USC tracker. Our popular… https://t.co/MPP75ExzTe

Posted Oct. 6, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@Nate_Cohn Seems close. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 6, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Trump knows how to play to his base extraordinarily well. That is not in question. The question is whether he knows how to actually get a majority overall. And based on the polling, Trump's actions suggest he doesn't have the slightest clue how to get a majority overall. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 5, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@johnmsides @IChotiner @mattyglesias @NateSilver538 I've cited this at least 450 times. Roughly, lol. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 5, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@galendruke This is a great tweet. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 5, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

K. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 5, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Wear a mask. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 5, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@NathanWurtzel What about 2000? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 4, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@amyewalter Piece is delayed for reasons, but Biden has a LOT of room to grow on favorables with very liberals. I wouldn't be surprised if he's picking up ground there. (I saw some evidence of it in the polling.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 4, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@NathanWurtzel What a film... and so true. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 4, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@NathanWurtzel the Howard Stern... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 4, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Strikes me as rather important... If PA is indeed the tipping point state (i.e. the state that puts a candidate over the top in the electoral college), then Biden's now 6 or 7 pt lead in the PA average is rather significant. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 4, 2020
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

That's two polls this weekend with Biden +7 in PA. OH is also interesting. — PolitiTweet.org

Kabir K. @kabir_here

Our latest polling shows Ohio a toss up and Pennsylvania still leaning Dem (fielded Wed-Fri) OH: Biden 47%, Trump… https://t.co/G2a1pyMU9x

Posted Oct. 4, 2020