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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NathanWurtzel Amazing that's the one you got "wrong". Getting the FL, GA, NC terrain was tough. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Tough call on Sunday, but I think I'm going to stick with the Bills... I might have to record Cagney & Lacey though... I wonder what @SteveKornacki would do... https://t.co/sc6aVseUnX — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
This is the thing about Pennsylvania... The GOP did well outside the prez race. In the U.S. House races, the GOP ca… https://t.co/qG1gmqf2nb — PolitiTweet.org
Nathan Wurtzel (((Slight Return))) @NathanWurtzel
Republicans won the Auditor General and Treasurer races in PA and gave Josh Shapiro a good scare. https://t.co/GimFBVTz2G
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@JohnBerman @Redistrict https://t.co/8uZiwoJXcP — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
The idea that 99% of folks are done with polling is ridiculous. The question isn't to poll or not to poll. The question is how to make polling a. accurate as possible. b. make sure the consumer understands the uncertainty surrounding polling. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NathanWurtzel Got that right. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I just saw a tweet where someone said they were done with polling... and proved their point by using an exit poll to say a pre-election poll was bad... LOL. They're both polls! — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Just did a segment with my main man @JohnBerman (who along with @AlisynCamerota) has only been the kindest and most awesome. We covered the fact that Biden's win was decisive and well outside any realistic shot a recount can shift things. https://t.co/Jb8x5K4j8f — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@Redistrict Be interested in the prez race in this district when we have it... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@jmestepa Look this is about Barry. He needs our help! — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Is it legal to drink diet orange soda in the shower?... I'm asking for a friend named Barry Menten. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@SeanTrende We're in deep xxxx — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NateSilver538 You needed polling errors to tell you this? I complain when they run out of A&W root beer and I have to have Mug. (Mug is fine... I guess.) — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
This is bad. — PolitiTweet.org
Andrew Cuomo @NYGovCuomo
Today's update on the numbers: Of the 128,036 tests reported yesterday, 3,965 were positive (3.09% of total). Tot… https://t.co/XddavNalrr
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Unless I'm doing my math wrong (possible!), Biden's going to get a larger share of the popular vote than any challenger since FDR in 32. (Yes, yes, I know about third parties.) — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
It's pretty funny to see people talk about the presidential polling as a miss... When the House races... My goodness. We're talking a 1/15 to 1/100 event per the models. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Biden won this election. That's the tweet. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
This is my own thought process... Back in 2018, we did some forecasting. (It was fine.) But what I was really interested in was developing ways to get across uncertainty. That's where a lot of my attention over the next few months (year?) will be. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Feels like a Dominos day. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Maybe I'm somewhat surprised to the extent (though plenty of votes to be counted), but the pre-election polling was absolutely clear that Trump was going to gain ground with nonwhite voters. The bigger surprise is Biden didn't counter with as large of gains among whites. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@SeanTrende @thomasjwood Yep! :) — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@SeanTrende @thomasjwood Repost in higher rez plz :) — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@GerryDales Yes. You either have a coaching structure or you don't. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Truman defeated Dewey in 48 by a very similar margin in the key battlegrounds and nationally that Biden defeated Trump by. Dewey acknowledged what was a shocking defeat given the pre-election polls and conceded with grace. Just fyi. https://t.co/UTrO5CK8af https://t.co/aewswT2jCK — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NathanWurtzel A friend texts "I'm fearful they may win." — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@nymetrowx NOOOOOOOOOO... (Eh, we'll be lucky to get 5 inches.) — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I'll def concur with others who say Biden's likely going to win a solid popular vote victory once the votes get counted in CA, IL and NY... There are plenty of votes to be counted in those states. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Not the exit poll, but the AP/Fox voter analysis had this which I think backs up my thinking... Fav/unfav: Biden - 50/48, Trump - 46/53, Dem Party - 47/51, Rep Party - 46/52... Biden ran ahead of the Dem baseline here. Trump didn't. https://t.co/dNSa5N2Asb — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
This was the whole thing during the campaign at least per the public polling... There was a chunk of voters who just didn't believe it... And anecdotally, I can't tell you how many people on this very platform said they didn't believe it! — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
If u look at the polling, folks were not expecting a Biden win. It was pretty much split at the end... So this idea of anticipatory balancing strikes me as unfounded... Unless folks were just lying to public pollsters... https://t.co/isK7SFi5oZ — PolitiTweet.org
