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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@zolsavicky @tvn_Red Correct. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@zolsavicky GOP gains a seat. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@sdsuaztec4 Model expects an Espy/Hyde-Smith runoff... and a Hyde-Smith win in said runoff. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
AZ: +3 Sinema, FL: Nelson +2, IN: Donnelly +3, MO: McCaskill +1, MT: Tester +6, ND: Cramer +4, NJ: Menendez: +8, NV… https://t.co/BrdeAfmcmi — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@SeanTrende Said last night to someone this exact thing... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
TBH, we'll really need to see a Tennessee poll that had Bredesen up before showing him trailing now before declarin… https://t.co/co3u4hpy0o — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Well, none of those YouGov results really moved the needle much from what I can see. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@aps5521 Uh, the MoE applies to both candidates... So basically take ur point and double it. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
HEY WE GOT SENATE POLLS. https://t.co/M6GCstKuEG — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@deadmoney_pi Maybe? — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Four years ago, there was a bonanza of Senate polls on this Sunday. Today? Not even a flicker. https://t.co/3rSXw2Z6e3 — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Soon. https://t.co/8gRDrRdZzT — PolitiTweet.org
Ian Schwartz @SchwartzTV
Snow in Prescott this morning! First snow of the season! From viewer Darci Peralta. #azwx #AZFamily https://t.co/SCICQM6DRd
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@AndreyM013 This includes a control for the fundamentals... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@Saltor6 The modal outcome here is no gain. That's different than the mean/median which are both GOP +1. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
It's probabilistic. Dems are not likely (though certainly very possible) to win all the close races where they curr… https://t.co/rQhLrM4EJl — PolitiTweet.org
Aaron Nathans @aaron_nathans
@ForecasterEnten When you say GOP +1, I don't quite understand. In this scenario they actually lose a seat and it's 50-50.
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Even I'll admit that the Yankees are a MUCH better team with Judge on it. Doesn't mean he doesn't suck though... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Yo Sox fans... Don't allow ur team to blow this. America is counting on you. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Lots of close races and a small change in the national environment leads to a wide MoE... https://t.co/gZIuNgc2tI — PolitiTweet.org
TestaDuda @TestaDuda
@ForecasterEnten @parkermquinn @bdlacree That’s a pretty wide error bar.
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
2018 House forecast update 10/6... Median: Democrats 225 - Republicans 210... Error bar from Dems getting 204 to De… https://t.co/feeXhEwgAM — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
This is gonna come up a lot... I can feel it. It is GOP +1. Reason: So many close Dem leads. A few won't occur on a… https://t.co/NvJFcY6AJi — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Arizona: Sinema +2, Florida: Nelson +2, Indiana: Donnelly +3, Missouri: McCaskill +1, Montana: Tester +6, North Dak… https://t.co/1JpEoACdyA — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Okay, two-pronged question here for Democrats... 1. Do you think someone more liberal than Manchin could win WV? (A… https://t.co/mHFUnAdxRT — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@chucksplatt Still amazing. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Oh my. https://t.co/tkY20k66au — PolitiTweet.org
Hung Nguyen @chucksplatt
@ForecasterEnten Electoral Jesus! https://t.co/CyWxssMntp
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Columbia beats Marist for the second straight year... Margin of error +/- 0 percentage points. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@Nate_Cohn Yea, but LARRY Johnson made a great 4 point play for the Knicks like 20 years ago. Model that. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@20002ist Closer to the loss of 1 now, but a wash is quite plausible. Really anything is at this point given the close races. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Jeb Bradley says "Yo, what's up?" https://t.co/Wnlnf7PS4Z — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Just heard about an R poll where a longtime House R incumbent is up just 46%-39% vs. a Dem who trailed ~50-to-1 in… https://t.co/X0k2YsgznX
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
5. This will seem counterintuitive based on the previous tweets, but I do think Heitkamp has a chance to close. She… https://t.co/jXtisOGQCJ — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
4. I looked it up. I don't really see a consistent bias against the Democrats in North Dakota polling. The polling… https://t.co/AHtwxvDlrx — PolitiTweet.org
