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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Some stuff on White voters without a college degree in the bottom half of the incomes. I wrote on this at the beginning of the month. There's been a MASSIVE shift in their preferences over the last 15 years towards the GOP. https://t.co/h9Aul9OQYX — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Loads of vaccine appointments available today/tmrw in the Bronx and Manhattan. A very simple sign up system. https://t.co/1DndGGduAT — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@ForecasterEnten The polls are not perfect. They have issues. But someone who bet on the polls for their overall worldview of where politics stood. Had a pretty decent grasp of the overall state of public opinion than someone who didn't. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
The polls almost always said Biden would win the primary. The polls almost always said Clinton would win the primary. The polls almost always said Trump would win the primary. The polls said Trump was in big trouble for an incumbent. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@MattGrossmann @ForecasterEnten They're shrinking as a proportion of the electorate, but the ones left are giving more and more votes to Republicans. So it's an interesting phenomenon. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@MattGrossmann There's a lot going on here, but one thing I note is that Trump did better with WWC (by their definition, not including upper income whites) in every election since 08. And my own splicing of the CCES in 2020 (not voter verified) suggests Trump did better again. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Wrote this earlier today on 2020 polls. https://t.co/2xbdqaKTek — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
There continues to be a ton of times that folks in NYC can get vaccinated. Please, please signup if you haven't. https://t.co/1DndGGduAT — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I seem to have missed a lot this morning. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@nymetrowx Uh... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@JMilesColeman We speak about the Hispanic shift a lot, but if you at the polling and some of the precinct data it's clear that on the whole that Asian voters shifted GOP too. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
The vaccines work. Get a shot if you can & haven't. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Hopefully this comes through, but if you want a shot and live in NYC... This (long) link reveals a ton of them over the next few days in the Bronx, Brooklyn and Queens. https://t.co/1DndGGduAT — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@ForecasterEnten It's really striking... About 15% or less of the supporters of the losing candidate's supporters had no confidence in integrity of the election from 2004-2016. After 2020, it was 60-65%. This is Trump stirring stuff up. https://t.co/UDUyAi4qbB — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
The push for voter restriction laws are based on a lie told to appease Trump voters. Record number of the losing candidate's supporters have no confidence in the 2020 results because Trump lies. Any convo about what's going on should probably start there. https://t.co/UDUyAi4qbB — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Every night i wonder if this will be the night when i will sleep straight through and not wake up 4 times, and every night i'm disappointed. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@allahpundit One thing I wonder about is how many teenagers will get the vaccine. If you look at the polling, the least likely age group to say they'll get it is 18-29. Of course, those under 18 may have their parents force em to get it. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@islivingston AWWWWWWWW — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@PatrickRuffini It's about race, education, politics, etc... The Plains are really white... The South, otoh, isn't. So you get a lot of Non-college White GOPers and a lot of African-Americans, both of whom have been vaccinating at a lower rate. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NateSilver538 @ForecasterEnten Positive test rate*. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NateSilver538 Per the NYS definition of a positive test, the 7 day average in Manhattan is the lowest (i believe) since early December. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I have assumed that anyone following me has or is planning to get the vaccine, but for those who aren't... Please do. I beg of you. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@allahpundit Def could be. I have an article on this for this weekend... One thing to keep in mind is that we have race and education also intersecting with politics. Tough to disentangle. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NathanWurtzel Same thought crossed my mind... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@JohnBerman Uh.... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NateSilver538 This summer... it's going to be very odd. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@islivingston AWWWWWWWWW. SAY HI. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@ForecasterEnten Here's another thought: each day i hope that tonight's sleep will be better than last night's... and every night i'm disappointed. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I find myself saying more and more "I honestly don't know who that is" when coming across a news article about something in pop culture. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@nymetrowx If u flip the 2 and the 7, lol. I'm kidding. — PolitiTweet.org