(((Harry Enten)))

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Uncle Neil turned 80 today. Still has a very good voice... and certainly far better than my nasal attempts. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

YouGov's latest poll: Dems lead the generic prez ballot by 49% to 40% over Trump, but none of the candidates (save… https://t.co/ndafFskRxo — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

This is perhaps one of the more interesting dynamics I've seen. Often small sample sizes are used to show a relationship. With early primary polling, it's the opposite. It's being used to show it isn't predictive of the results when a longer time trend says it may very well be. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

2 pieces on why early primary polling may be predictive. Unlike many of those who dismiss early polling, these at a long time frame. (BTW, You'll notice both use first half of year before primary avg.. We're only through 1st fifth.) https://t.co/ad0kiLqXj0 https://t.co/sxY9hDoJvD — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@jpodhoretz That's already been made. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

(Side note: I tend to think some of the unknowns are probably even less known than the poll indicates... though this stuff doesn't look absolutely crazy.) — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

These fav/unfav ratings w/ all registered voters are from HarrisX (looks mostly like YouGov, which hasn't tested Bi… https://t.co/d87ZPhk184 — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

LOL. Giants. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Without asking for it, I'm somehow now on the email lists for... Andrew Yang, Marianne Williamson, Howard Schultz, and Bill de Blasio... — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@JewdyGold @itsjpangs lol — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@aedwardslevy that one is not bad. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Per HarrisX, Generation (aka age) is THE divide in the Dem primary right now. This is an average of the last few days... Bernie Sanders has got the young and Joe Biden has got the old. (Note other polls confirm this.) https://t.co/6cBX3qz1hk — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@galendruke @guardian Sup Galen? — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

"Trump says Jews are leaving the Democratic Party. It's not true." I wrote this article quickly because a. I have h… https://t.co/cdpzIZbB2E — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I was just asked to write about a subject I care deeply about. And no, it wasn't Popeyes. (It was Jewish Americans.) — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Just got the email from Andrew Yang's team... They say they have crossed the fundraising threshold to qualify for the first debate. https://t.co/DYNEj74lWX — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

WUT?! — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

When McCain lost in 08, I thought that ended the possibility of a Silent Generation born president. 12 years later,… https://t.co/GxX8fMenMu — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@PatrickRuffini Never knew u were a communist in favor of state sponsored time. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@aedwardslevy I guess my pt is that I use polling for one and two. I still find meaning in one now, but really two is always helpful. It adds something to coverage that I suspect many would be doing anyway (but in a less good way) without polling. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@aedwardslevy Excuse my HORRIBLE skills here... But this is generally how I think about things... https://t.co/FzjKPdLlqc — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@aedwardslevy Gonna make a tree diagram... — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@NateSilver538 Nice. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@NateSilver538 It shouldn't be that hard for people not to go passed the fenced area of a jaguar enclosure to take a photo, but here we are... — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Yes, the Bills now have the three oldest running backs under contract... But to be fair, their combined ages still don't come anywhere close to Brady's age. ;) — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@NateSilver538 (How did I know this...) Would you say your take is... It's fine to look at the polls. They aren't meaningless (even for forecasting), but people still gotta realize we're 11 months out... Things can change. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Other points are in there... I'll make one... A lot of folks look at 2016 & say polls at this point didn't predict, but a surprising number of times Iowa polls actually get winner since 1980. Polls are worth following if you understand they are gonna up and down. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Got some points I wanna make about our Iowa poll. 1 thing that was true in 2016 GOP & seems true in 2020 Dem: Very… https://t.co/A7riCzTE1f — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

https://t.co/RMhzrHGQRm https://t.co/Mgxp9N9o2o — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Two polls of Dem primary voters out from Selzer (Iowa) and Monmouth (national)... In both polls, de Blasio has a negative net favorable rating... among Democrats. — PolitiTweet.org