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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NateSilver538 So YoU AgReE wItH pReDiCtIt? — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Of course, here's another way to look at it... Beto has gotten a ton of media, a ton of Google searches, a ton of money raised, and then more media reporting his fundraising haul. If he can't get a bump out of that, I'd think that is worrisome. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@POLITICO_Steve Katy is right... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I do doubt that Biden is able to sustain this... He's well over 20 points more popular than his fellow Democratic candidates right now with the general electorate... This is based off an average of recent national polls. https://t.co/F1QLczC9dq — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
So I def think Biden's general election #s are inflated, but re: Clinton/Biden comparisons I'm seeing... It's worth pointing out (I think) that Clinton's net fav was already nosediving before she got in. Was at maybe +1 points at this point on average. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Better chance than not that Beto sees a polling boost following his announcement. The only candidates (Harris/Sande… https://t.co/D2Fy5tlqoi — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NateSilver538 Ooooooof — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
National or state or even city polling means very little to Ocasio-Cortez's reelection hopes. They do though indicate the strength of her ideas in the public mindset and her ability to relay those ideas to a larger audience in a way that makes them popular. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@PatrickRuffini OMG. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
YES! — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@micahcohen @FiveThirtyEight Remember it well... We were talking about Chris Christie 2016. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
This is NYS (though Schumer is also much more popular in NYC per the poll). It's another example of Twitter not being real life. — PolitiTweet.org
Allahpundit @allahpundit
Shouldn’t be surprised to see AOC 20 points behind Schumer in favorability in this NY poll but I am https://t.co/lQpsQLMEhF
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@PatrickRuffini @NateSilver538 Check out what I just tweeted :). Also gonna email you. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Basically by the metric (topics) Google normally uses... Harris beat out Sanders & O'Rourke. Then others clearly lo… https://t.co/WuuDmSxFpc — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Spoke some w/ Google. (Still waiting on more) Feel most comfortable w/ tiers. Harris,Sanders,Beto in top tier for G… https://t.co/HQ9BbbbWFh — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@EsotericCD WOOF. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
It's not. For one thing, I'm not a dog. — PolitiTweet.org
Ben Smith @BuzzFeedBen
2020 campaign to definitely resolve whether Twitter is real life https://t.co/q33joRk5S1
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Fundraising and polls will tell the story... (From an endorsements angle, the first 72 hours haven't been awesome, but not bad either.) https://t.co/DDZeaalF8n — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Duke has about a good of a shot of winning the tournament as Bernie Sanders has of winning the Dem nomination. Interpret as you wish. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Been some very meh results on the top-line for Harris over the last week. Good stuff for Biden/Sanders... Still months to go. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
NCAA robs Columbia Lions again. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@RalstonReports @TheNVIndy I thought u were a corporate stooge? — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I keep my microwave clock on standard time as a silent protest. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@amyewalter I've got one of these an avenue away... To quote O'Rourke, "I choose not to." — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Emerson from Wisconsin... Sanders 39%, Biden 24%, Warren 14%, O'Rourke 6%, Harris 5%, Klobuchar 4%... Sanders easily won here in 16. Klobuchar is from next door. Poll taken after O'Rourke entered. https://t.co/oblMOaZjX9 — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NateSilver538 @PatrickRuffini Quick update on this... I'm asking Google what they suggest using. I think gap between "topic" trends (which usually capture everything) surrounding Beto & search trends of just "Beto" are wide enough to warrant further investigation. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@PatrickRuffini I'm asking them :). — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Topic trends r what my friend @natesilver538 suggested using last week for Beto (https://t.co/spiSZczwE0) Possible Google Trends isnt fully capturing "Beto-mania"? Yes. @patrickruffini has got good stuff (https://t.co/zYxOwPSIwB). But wut I said last night is what we usually use — PolitiTweet.org
Patrick Ruffini @PatrickRuffini
@ForecasterEnten It's frustrating but it's probably not a high priority for them to precisely calibrate this in eve… https://t.co/8p53gGhHiJ
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
So just so I'm very clear on what I did... I used Google Topics for this https://t.co/792PvbWOlH This is what ProPu… https://t.co/gCUGrajhw3 — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@PatrickRuffini That's interesting! Spurred on by you, I went back and looked at what Google did for Cruz vs. O'Rou… https://t.co/dskSV93RYF — PolitiTweet.org