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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@Tonyhkchow This is a disgusting tweet. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Getting so many emails from Marianne WIlliamson these days... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NathanWurtzel what article is this? — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Hey friends, How ya doin? I think I'm gonna get a sandwich. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@databyler Agreed. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
My Mom just emailed asking about "529". (She meant @fivethirtyeight.) — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Talked some Bernie, Kamala, and Beto in terms of great launches on a mini-pod this week. Also spoke about the role of the media in elevating candidates. Finally, spoke about Mayor Pete a little... https://t.co/3VtFqgj15e — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@davidshor Good choice. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Nate wrote the piece that I've been tweeting about this week... Small state bias has really nothing to do with the EC bias. Clinton lost the EC cause she lose most of the heavily populated states. https://t.co/wRM67AIsej — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
6. Perhaps Trump would benefit from actually focusing on the economy... but weeks like this show that's probably not gonna happen. He's more interested in going after McCain and George Conway. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
5. I think a lot of people see Trump's econ net approval higher & say "well it's the economy, stupid". Turns out for incumbent presidents, overall approval ratings are far more telling of fates. E.g. Net approvals for GWB/Obama were +, net econ's were -. Both won re-election. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
4. Trump has benefitted from a strong economy so far & his approval during his presidency have avg'd just 42%. The economy isn't expected to get better (may get worse). Prez's who saw late rises benefitted from economies that were better in final years than earlier in presidency. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Why the economy may not help Trump 1. Econ models that show him winning have wide margins of error. 2. Voters r already giving Trump for economy, & his approval ain't good. 3. Changes in Trump's overall approval have not been strongly correlated w/ changes in his econ approval. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
"Why Trump shouldn't count on the economy to lift him in 2020". I have bunch of reasons that follow... (BTW, this is the a companion piece of sorts to a piece I wrote on December on why the economy could lift Trump.) https://t.co/90CXG0I2Cx https://t.co/X5nklXt0I1 — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I'd be interested in a poll, but I have asked everyone I know about Biden naming a veep out of the gate... Not a single one thought it was a good idea. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I received this email... and I'm not even sure what it means???? https://t.co/UCCCyM54X1 — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@GerryDales @EsotericCD Good stuff — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@ryanhanrahan So I wish... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I'll have more on this soon. We obviously shouldn't dismiss the ability of the economy to turn things around for Tr… https://t.co/Ylh6DOZg3w — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NateSilver538 @NickRiccardi OOOOO I linked to this piece in my piece, which will be posting I think today? — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@jbouie @richardmskinner Gotta be head to heads against mostly unknown candidates... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
We still got a bit to go with O'Rourke (just 2 polls in his after launch average), but in an average of the polls done completely before and completely after a campaign launched... Harris, Sanders, and O'Rourke had the biggest upswing in their numbers after launching... https://t.co/e0U8vNwzOE — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
de Blasio's sorta campaign bid does seem to be moving his numbers... Down in NYC. His favorable rating at only 36% to a 48% unfavorable rating. He was at a 50% favorable, 40% unfavorable in January. https://t.co/P4TjdASvBp https://t.co/7UP60eixhN — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Pete Buttigieg is someone who young people REALLY into politics like. Most Democrats have no idea who he is yet. Be interesting to see if his poll numbers move once he becomes better known... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
From what I can tell Gravel 2020 has more support than de Blasio 2020... I mean de Blasio is polling at 0%, so Gravel can't do any worse. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@aedwardslevy Sorta? (I also like snow, haha.) — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@aedwardslevy This will make entirely no sense, but when there is more darkness I feel the days are longer. Reason is that I assume it's late when it is dark, but when it is early I'm shocked & pleased to find more hours are left in the day. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
We're halfway through with the days getting longer. Soon enough, they'll be getting shorter again. YAY!!!!!! — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Nerdy little tweet here, but i'm really gonna try and use stats with voters instead of all adults going forward. 95% of my columns/write-ups are about elections. No reason to look at all adults if I can help it. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Polling shows @realdonaldtrump's economic approval rating much higher than his overall approval rating. So what's he do? Talk about the economy, right? Nah... He goes and attacks a dead man. — PolitiTweet.org