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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Do you have a dog, cat, pig or goat? If so, let's see a photo of said animal in this thread! :) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 9, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I'll never not get a kick out of politicians having to campaign... The people can give great power, and they can take it away too... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 9, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Corrected: Name id is highly correlated with polling right now, but I think it's noteworthy a. Biden/Sanders have same name id, but Biden is 10 pts up. b. Warren has *higher* name id than Harris/O'Rourke & yet is behind them. c. Booker/Gillibrand meh. d. Buttigieg over-performing https://t.co/GO0zIzwDzd — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 9, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Warren has greater name id!... not lower. Stupid me. Chart is right! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 9, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Name id is highly correlated with polling right now, but I think it's noteworthy that a. Biden/Sanders have same name id, but Biden is 10 pts up. b. Warren has lower name id than Harris/O'Rourke & yet is behind them. c. Booker/Gillibrand meh. d. Buttigieg over-performing. https://t.co/VCGnP09yhs — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 9, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@aedwardslevy I wonder how much of this is hearing what you want to hear? And how much of this is bad Biden news dominating social media and less television/newspapers? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 9, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

In the "you are pitching the wrong crowd, today" category, comes this kind email... https://t.co/BDM6H1osfb — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 9, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@amyewalter That... I don't know. It's a million buck question. But I will say he is ahead right now and running better than you'd expect off of straight name id. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 9, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

And here's the nutter butter thing to me, this is a Dem field that, at times, seems to be falling over each to run left and cater to young voters. This leaves a wide open older/more moderate voters. And right now, Biden is leading them in spades. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 9, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Democrats without a college degree made up nearly 20 points more of Democrats with a college degree in 2018. And something that surprised me, even among just whites, a slight majority of Dems had no college degree. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 9, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

It's true more Democrats consider themselves very liberal than they used to, but moderate/conservatives still make up about 2 times+ as many Dems than very liberal Democrats. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 9, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Those 50+ years-old made up 20 points more of Dem voters than those under (i.e. Millennials + Gen Z) in 2018. Those 65 and older made up twice as many Democratic voters as those under 30. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 9, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

IDK if he'll win (probably not), but Biden's seeming inclination to run a campaign geared towards older, more moderate & working class Democrats demonstrates to me he has a much better grasp of who Democratic voters are than many I know. https://t.co/71GWYwdqdg — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 9, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Yep. "The Democratic Electorate on Twitter Is Not the Democratic Electorate in Real Life." https://t.co/5q8jUYyEQT https://t.co/pCV90szttW — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 9, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Another poll... Another similar story: "Poll: Biden still tops Democratic field after rough week"... This per Morning Consult. It should be noted his favs did drop a little, but still has highest favs in the field. Leads Sanders 32%-23% overall. https://t.co/3ueFSq4M6c — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 9, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

TBH, I thought the college basketball season ended last Sunday when Duke lost... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 9, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@LoganDobson https://t.co/THc5N2GK7S — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 9, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@nymetrowx PHEW. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 8, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I remember when Tom Kean Jr. ran for the Senate... I hadn't graduated high school. I may be young by some standards, but I ain't that young. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 8, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Another datapoint suggesting Biden's support is holding steady... Among Dems, Harris/Hill has Biden 36%, Sanders 19%, Harris 9%, etc. Harris/Harvard on Mar 25 had Biden 35%, Sanders 17%. (See attached for note on Indies.) https://t.co/8pfgtLwXX0 https://t.co/CzsUq6K4Ua https://t.co/azSpYvXJvK — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 8, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

The Joe Biden news cycle looks to be coming to an end... for now per Google Trends. https://t.co/wKJ6xw4gwX https://t.co/hYP1LCIExV — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 8, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@databyler I thought it was clear as day... It's actually what i'm talking about on air tmrw. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 8, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@databyler HOLY HECK YES. Was just thinking this. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 8, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I have and continue to love this from @yghitza https://t.co/KJ95JFNgV5 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 8, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@kyletblaine BREAKING — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 8, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

"De Blasio could enter and knock everybody's socks off. Stranger things have happened. But let's be real: de Blasio would come into the race with some of the worst numbers I've ever seen for a potential presidential candidate before entering the race." https://t.co/0Xp3IpzyUq — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 8, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

When you offer KFC instead of Popeyes... cc @VinDanton https://t.co/4Qhtng3Ped — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 8, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Per Change Research, SC looks like this... Biden 32, Sanders 14, Harris 10, Booker 9, O'Rourke 9, Abrams (?) 7, Buttigieg 7, Warren 6... I included a shift column from Feb, but they added Abrams/Buttigieg so unsure how useful. https://t.co/DFWrgBsUX7 https://t.co/3ggCreDL8V — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 8, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@EmersonPolling Wow a double negative from me... I meant *hasn't*. Biden's standing hasn't declined. Yeesh... (Don'… https://t.co/qGn3JLocOK — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 7, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@EmersonPolling Here's the article... Also fwiw, Biden continues to run strongest in general election polling, though it's so very, very, very early. https://t.co/VwEQAXK01S — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 7, 2019 Hibernated