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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Chance Biden wins the nomination... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Biden should be leading this a week from now... If he isn't, I'd argue it's a tremendous red flag. — PolitiTweet.org
FiveThirtyEight @FiveThirtyEight
Cory Booker is leading our 2020 presidential endorsement tracker. https://t.co/m1uDY4ZfBO https://t.co/w91W4l1nfQ
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
The numbers I don't really care about (as is the case for most, not all, internals), but Sanders is clearly trying to sell that he is electable. Interesting that he is releasing internals like this... https://t.co/ZlFzz0xHYa — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@ComedyCellarUSA I thought I was Keith's son... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Right now, I've seen HarrisX and YouGov showing basically no change in Trump's ratings. Morning Consult and Ipsos showing more of one. — PolitiTweet.org
Eli Yokley @eyokley
🚨Our first post-redacted #MuellerReport poll 🚨 @realDonaldTrump's net approval is 18 points underwater, the worst… https://t.co/F2SmgHnek7
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
So many. — PolitiTweet.org
MonmouthPoll @MonmouthPoll
COMING TOMORROW: National voter poll on the #2020 Democratic nomination for president. https://t.co/PVzZA9dTFm https://t.co/InnRd5U9VY
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@aedwardslevy Great thread! — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Currently getting dragged by my childhood Nanny for my work attire. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
RT @aedwardslevy: New HuffPost/YouGov poll conducted post-Mueller report release: Lots of polarization, little consensus. https://t.co/DtOF… — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@aedwardslevy Sure you are... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@nathanlgonzales @InsideElections She has outdone the baseline in all of her runs. IDK if that translates outside the state, but she has by far one of the best cases based off of past performances. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Today's UNH poll is certainly a better poll for Sanders than St. Anselm earlier this month... It is his best poll this year in NH (with a small sample size). It is Biden's worse (though within MoE). The clear movement is Buttigieg. A clear trend up there. https://t.co/tsNCYhgo1j — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
This is a good thread. Idk if impeachment was helpful to GOP by 2000, but I don't think it was that bad based on polling. — PolitiTweet.org
Steve Kornacki @SteveKornacki
My hot take on the political lessons of Bill Clinton’s impeachment is that they’re…not as simple as I keep reading… https://t.co/aPO9cNooP6
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
This is... not quite it I think. The early state polling generally looks like the national polling. The early state activists look a lot more like Twitter. That's valuable sign for sure, but not same as polling. — PolitiTweet.org
Ben Smith @BuzzFeedBen
Early states look.... more like twitter, less like national polls https://t.co/t4jBaJrGj5
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@micahcohen All of them are not doing great. A CMS problem perhaps... Also, will u ever respond to any of my emails? — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Latest Iowa poll, which is IVR with an online supplement, doesn't exactly look like what else has come out... but every new trend begins with one poll... https://t.co/UMdm6easoF — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
What's fascinating here is that the activists and the elected officials I think are about to have different views... or at least, I'd think Biden's about to lead the endorsement primary among elected officials once he announces. IDK what that means... — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Early-state Democratic activists have very different views of the candidates than the polls. Quite down on Sanders… https://t.co/SHfqgWC1xN
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
RT @SteveKornacki: @ForecasterEnten Personally, I’m partial to this one from the ‘88 GOP race https://t.co/68Q25OyDp1 — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
If it's 9pm on a Sunday, it's time to watch an old debate. How about a Republican prez primary debate from January 1988. https://t.co/4ZfrOtn2RS — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I'm not a lawyer. All I know is that in a national poll last month and an Iowa poll this month exactly 0 Democrats listed the Russian investigation as their most important issue (or even 2nd most important issue) for 2020 vote. https://t.co/tLQ7GAWUuJ — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@DKarol Don't disagree, which is why I don't think he'll fall like Giuliani. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
If u want a prez candidate who was polling near where Biden is, had favs like Biden does, and then went up in flames, Giuliani is a much better comparison than Jeb. Biden is doubling Jeb's primary polling & is much more popular. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@richardmskinner @pklinkne Yep. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Could be right. — PolitiTweet.org
andrew kaczynski @KFILE
.@BuzzFeedBen not feeling Biden 2020. "His campaign is stumbling toward launch with all the hallmarks of a Jeb!-l… https://t.co/tp08UjTqtP
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I tend to think ideological/process questions are overrated. Most voters he's swinging for are more moderate. Most won't care that he raises from big donors. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Biden's biggest obstacles for winning the nomination imho are... 1. Most Democrats don't say they'd feel comfortable nominating someone over 75. 2. He could be QUITE rusty campaigning. 3. Are people thinking he's merely Obama? And then will realize he's not. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Staying in my lane, podcast style... Why I'm betting against the Mueller Report changing voter opinion on Trump. (Of course, maybe we're in for a surprise...) https://t.co/OoUWzCQ531 — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Agreed. IDK how it's going to go... but it's a great poli sci experiment if nothing else. — PolitiTweet.org
David Byler @databyler
TBH this is one of the first real events of the primary -- could have gone one way or another, has a big impact https://t.co/bGDbi3T5Yt
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@databyler Gosh isn't that the best... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@amyewalter Or maybe ur just really into Libertarian candidates for president? — PolitiTweet.org
