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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@richardmskinner Correlation... About .96 with recent Monmouth/CNN polls on favorable ratings... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@vulture There should be a serious correction added to that piece Vulture. It's simply not true. And maybe you should consult IDK... The newsdesk before pubbing something completely false like that? — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Now if you want really scary about how far the falsehood spread. Look at this piece from @Vulture (NY Mag).. "Of course, the poll only counted responses from voters over 45 years old." Who the heck edited that piece? https://t.co/iivEH1fyIM — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
And FWIW, those look very similar to Q-Pac numbers here. Biden 25 - Sanders 16 among those under 50. Biden 48 - Sanders 6 among those 50+. (Warren gets 16 among those 50+ in Q-Pac's poll) https://t.co/fnSenmgtpj — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Yea, I actually spoke about this crosstab on here. Biden 30 - Sanders 19 among those under 50. Up 48 - 11 among those 50+. https://t.co/bynQ0O2Lvx — PolitiTweet.org
Will Jordan @williamjordann
Oh man... (CNN released a poll but didn’t show the 18-49 sub-sample because the number of interviews was small. The… https://t.co/705L1nTTtf
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@richardmskinner I think it's just another measure of favorability... which gets to ur point... but IDK how useful the question really is beyond that. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
You're not going to win a ton of GOP votes, but it's about margins. And fwiw, it's not just a good general election message. It's a good primary message too. Dems are 11 pts more likely to say working with GOP is impt than holding progressive positions. https://t.co/85nZMplTc0 — PolitiTweet.org
Josh Marshall @joshtpm
Lotsa people are saying this talk is crazy. And it is. It’s also true that not everyone lives in a world of confirm… https://t.co/69XylCb0IU
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Had dinner at 4:30... Gonna watch a Lifetime film... Then head to sleep... Good times. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@RalstonReports LOL. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Gay rights have come a long way in this country, but a lot of prejudice and especially perceived prejudice still faces a candidate like Buttigieg. https://t.co/UK2CY6Mewn — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@RalstonReports I meant why interesting :). — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
A majority of Democrats & voters at-large don't believe the U.S. is ready to elect a gay president. This is very different from 2007 when most thought the U.S. WAS ready to elect a black president & 2015 when most thought it was ready to elect a woman prez https://t.co/UK2CY6Mewn — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@RalstonReports Can you help explain why? I looked up some of these folks... and it seemed like a lot of GOPers... or at least one time GOPers... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
It's clear that some on this platform have ZERO clue the makeup of the Democratic electorate. And because of that, they're taken aback by Biden's advantage. Who knows if the lead will hold, but it makes a ton of sense. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
This is the good stuff. — PolitiTweet.org
Jose Ortiz @jose93_ortiz
Jose what you have for dinner after you win the oaks ? Me: 😂 Love Popeyes 🤷♂️ https://t.co/9uoKjuPzC1
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
This is from the midterms and current polling... You can quibble with the exact numbers (i.e. there are margins of error)... but it's all pretty clear. Dem voters are ollllllld... and they sure as heck ain't very liberal. https://t.co/1c6WpbipgV — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@kyletblaine Nope. You have taste. ;) — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Macho Man is playing in the supermarket, and I'm dancing. A 65 year old woman comes up from behind and says "you are aging yourself." — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@mattyglesias Concur. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
New Yorkers today upon hearing about de Blasio running for prez... https://t.co/P3R3P4EXWJ — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Okay... https://t.co/wxVSBNFZM0 — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
RT @dhmontgomery: Any WX experts out there: I’m trying to find a dataset with some sort of mean temperature data for each US county, so I c… — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
The polling is pretty clear on this... The way to beat Biden is by knocking him down on electability and somehow getting at the fact that he is over 75. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
The most important thing that happened in the midterms was Democrats won ~90% of those who didn't like Trump. Clinton won only 77% in 2016. In early 2020 polls, we're seeing a pattern much more like 2018. Bad sign for Trump if his approval stays below 45% https://t.co/1Rqxo4EA2q https://t.co/61TK4ts77R — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
IDK how that ultimately plays out... but when you got one guy who is offering you a way back to a time when you didn't wake up "worried".. A simpler time, perhaps... The current polls make sense. This article hits at it well https://t.co/th6NYMWueF — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
People are absolutely addicted... and within NYC (as you might expect), it comes from a place of fear and a wish to a return to what folks that I hear who wish for a return. A return to what they perceive as normalcy. (2/?) — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I'm a numbers guy and maybe this is not a number (IDK), but one thing that is VERY different now than four years ago (or really ever that I can recall) is how many people I know who talk politics in casual conversation in and around NYC... (1/?) — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@Redistrict As in, he's a bad GE candidate and good primary candidate...? Or he is seen as a good GE candidate, so it makes him a good primary candidate? — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Can you name all the folks who have declared on the Dem side for president?... No peeking allowed. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
.@kfile still stinks at Griffey Slugfest. — PolitiTweet.org