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Showing page 18 of 309.
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Folks, we got some good responses, but re-upping this for anyone who didn't see the initial tweet and has thoughts! https://t.co/ID1MeXwlpN — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Folks, I'm in planning mode for my new podcast, Margins of Error, & wanna hear from you. What do you think of the “… https://t.co/r90UA…
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Some fairly simple thoughts on the CA recall. 1. Newsom is favored. 2. The race is within the margin of error. 3. Turnout will likely favor the GOP. 4. If Newsom's approval is above 50%, the recall will fail. (I bet it will.) https://t.co/ShYS4pt3qv — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Insidery tweet, but gotta love when the 1980 Census doesn't have the variable you're looking for... but the June 1980 CPS does have it and allows you to build a timeline you need to. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
My high school required 3 years of foreign language. I had done 3 years of Spanish entering 12th grade. Started taking Spanish IV. Was bad at it. Convinced the school to allow me to switch Stats a month into school. Best decision I ever made. https://t.co/NGs0pqgQk2 — PolitiTweet.org
Daniel W. Drezner @dandrezner
Statistics. https://t.co/Jy4yl1IBz9
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Vaccine mandates work https://t.co/G5gqkTrQD6 — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Many have circled in on Afghanistan for why Biden's overall approval rating is down. Fact is it's been going down for a while & is likely more closely tied to the drops in his economic & Covid approval ratings, which rank as the 2 top problems for voters https://t.co/xFBkeI9aid — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Folks, I'm in planning mode for my new podcast, Margins of Error, & wanna hear from you. What do you think of the “Divide in Half Add 7 Rule”? Would you ever date or marry someone much older or younger than you? Leave me a brief voicemail about it. Number to call: 347-433-8077 — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Some of you might have gathered this earlier, but I got a new podcast coming out in a bit under a month! & is called Margins of Error :). I'm covering some zeitgeisty topics from a stats angle including ghost belief, daylight saving time, & phone phobia https://t.co/ez1IDDCKtC — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
%s are not the same % pts... This is my TED talk. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
3 things my parents taught me. 1. Never smoke cigarettes. 2. Always wear a seatbelt in a car. 3. Don't believe in conspiracy theories. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I remember when I started dating regularly I put the collar on the outside of my suit jacket. I did it cause I saw my Father doing it. I had NO idea that my Father did it cause his sense of fashion was the 1970s. My date thought I was quirky. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Had a short segment on air about FDA full approval. Key thing is that it doesn't convince people who don't want the vaccine to take it. They're mostly lost. Full approval does make it more likely people on the fence (e.g. the maybes & likely but still haven't) actually take it — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@Phil_Mattingly My Mom "harry really never leaves his couch..." — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@DeanLacy It's a good question... In a late JUly 2021 KFF poll on whether the govt should recommend that businesses have mandates... White Dems 75%, Hispanic Dems 72%, Black Dems 65%. Large MoE. My belief based on other data is that White Dems are most likely to believe in them. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Looking solely at the polling, Black and Hispanic adults seem to be more in favor of vaccine mandates than the public at large. Certainly they're no less likely to support. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Look across a bunch of metrics... Special Elections, Generic ballot, and Biden approval... and it's pretty clear that the political environment is moving toward Republicans... https://t.co/RvYWC59zO7 — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@ForecasterEnten Also in agreement with this point @mmurraypolitics... https://t.co/BUxXzOHlG7 — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Plenty of polling this AM... Bottom line: Biden's overall net approval is near even. Approval for his handling of his Afghanistan removal is plenty below 50% on average. The action of removal itself polls fairly well. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@islivingston Snow is the only true weather — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Biden's approval rating is clearly down, but history says over the long term that Americans may ultimately not care about Biden's Afghanistan performance... https://t.co/k7FnvTkcJ5 — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
If you look at the data, White Democrats are more likely to be vaccinated than Black or Hispanics (overall and among Democrats). Both of the latter groups are more likely to be vaccinated than White Republicans. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
The pro vax crowd in the US is much larger than the anti-vax crowd. Even on boosters, ~130 million adults who are eligible for a booster intend to get one. There are only about 70 million adults who haven't received a single Covid shot. https://t.co/R7GVQqlS9M — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@islivingston Plz don't make me drool — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I've definitely been mispronouncing Henri... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@geoffreyvs I think they offered a neither of these option... I think. https://t.co/R8wEBZRP0b — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I've been wrong plenty of times, but this clip gets at why I'd be very cautious of drawing too many conclusions about how current foreign policy successes/failures can impact future elections. https://t.co/7Te8Nreo41 — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Pretty clear Biden's approval was dipping before the last week, and it does seem that the last week did nothing to stop that decline. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
The Yhonkays are who we thought they were. YAY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
New York City is the most populated city in US history. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@MatthewWells !!!! — PolitiTweet.org
