(((Harry Enten)))

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@BrendanNyhan Worked in the general too... Voters like the rhetoric. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Two ways to think about it... 1. Clinton was 100% right in her Obama critique. He was't going to bridge the divide. 2. Obama did win, and working together still sells to voters. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@aedwardslevy I went with the fact that someone born on the day of the Seinfeld finale could now drink... and upon relaying that fact I had a drink. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@aedwardslevy I *nearly* went with this fact on air today... but we don't count Gravel. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Biden's perhaps slightly weaker in IA, weaker in NH, & stronger in SC than nationally. He's led/leads in all 3. Avg of 3 matches national avg. National frontrunners who go on to lose tend to trail in at least one at this point (e.g. Clinton/Giuliani 08). https://t.co/DTh2dJwIH5 — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Instead, the race has really unfolded rather traditionally in media/polling. A former two-term vice-president has mostly dominated both. It's basically what you'd expect if you didn't know Trump 2016... Now whether that holds(??)... 64k question... — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Part of it that many of them share similar profiles... A few term House members... A term or two Senate members... Yes, each is unique in some way... but few really stand out... Like most people think Seth Moulton and Tim Ryan are probably the same guy. (3/?) — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

One of the key ingredients in Trump's rise was a TON of media attention... He had built a media profile prior to running... and picked it up as soon as he announced... So far the lesser known Dems really haven't generated a lot of coverage... 2/? — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Mini-thread (or not who knows)... Part of the reason I assume many unknown Dems are running this year is that they think the old rulebook is out the window because "hey Trump pulled it off!"... So far (with perhaps the exception of Buttigieg), it's not paying off... Why? (1/?) — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Ain't a chance in heck this happens... but the idea of working with Republicans polls well among Democrats. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I really want fried chicken. I think I may get some. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

No Iowa caucuses polling from 1972 that I'm aware of... but interesting to see how McGovern rose in NH long before he did nationally. So far not seeing that dynamic of a candidate doing significantly better in IA/NH than nationally. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@KSoltisAnderson So am I, according to this quiz. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Same-sex marriage support has risen tremendously over the past 20 years, but has stalled in the last few years, according to Pew. Fairly similar to what Gallup found about voting for a gay prez candidate. https://t.co/PxJ8a97pJs https://t.co/Zw4nlSeI4a — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@PatrickRuffini I could feel the glee in your face before hitting send on that tweet. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

RT @CNN: There are now 22 Democrats running for president. @ForecasterEnten breaks down Montana Gov. Steve Bullock’s chances — and Beto O’… — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@stevesingiser Good ole Emerson... — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Fairly sure today's high temperature in NYC was 48 degrees. And if so, I believe that breaks an all time record for the day. Previously the lowest max temp for the date was 49 in 1914. So yes, today was really cold. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@NathanWurtzel I answered you I thought! I knew that and knew that he roads were clear to the hospital because many were inside watching Seinfeld. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Biden got up to about ~40% after announcing on average... Question is where does that settle... 30%? 35%? 40%?... Knowing nothing else 35% is about a 50% chance of winning the nom... — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Lou Harris died a few years ago, but his name is more prominent than in a long time... Wut is the difference between Harvard-Harris, HarrisX/Hill TV, Scott Rasmussen/HarrisX... and so on. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@NathanWurtzel This is an all time trivia question, which I do know. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Just realized that tomorrow is the 21st anniversary of the Seinfeld finale. Yeesh. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Just got this email about Twitter analysis of the Dem field... Many thoughts not the least of which is that polling reports what real people are thinking. And unlike Twitter, it's actually close to a random sample. https://t.co/5wogeVrgnc — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@POLITICO_Steve @JakeSherman OMG. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@PatrickRuffini Haven't we've already been going through those with Anita Hill, Flores, etc.? I'm sure he'll say something eventually that is deemed another gaffe, however. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

RT @MonmouthPoll: NEW HAMPSHIRE GOP PRIMARY POLL: Likely Republican primary voters do not actually want to see @realDonaldTrump primaried.… — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@SteveKornacki I smell a theme. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@KSoltisAnderson shhhhhh he's sleeping :). — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Looking at old Iowa polls and have the closing theme to Full House playing... It just feels right. Very nostalgic. — PolitiTweet.org