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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@mattseaton @nytopinion Save the prez. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@islivingston Yeesh. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Again, this is all preliminary stuff, and I want some live interview stuff... but the idea that this first debate ended Biden's campaign (as I feel like some suggested) seems... Well it seems not right. Harris has definitely gained, however. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Some more post-debate data. This from HarrisX/Scott Rasmussen: Biden 28 (was 29), Sanders 14 (17), Harris 11 (6), Warren 8 (9). Of note, some signs Biden & Harris both improved during the course of poll. Will love first live interview poll when released! https://t.co/sfKQJnzMZl https://t.co/JNI4zlfldN — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Here's the problem with the idea that Williamson will make the third debate thanks to GOPers donating: she also needs to hit 2% in four qualifying polls over next 2 months. This entire year she hasn't hit 2% from any pollster that will count as qualifying. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@richardmskinner A Harris fan I know "Secretly I think she's a neo-lib, which I like. She's doing what she needs to." Of course, that's a four letter word (or sentence) to some, but the fan meant it complimentarily. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NathanWurtzel I figure it balances out with the Bills where every season in the last 55 or so has ended in a loss. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NathanWurtzel I'm already planning for October like pretty much every season. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@richardmskinner LOL. Same exact thought. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Per Morning Consult (not a re-interview poll), Biden 33 (was 38), Sanders 19 (19), Harris 12 (6), Warren 12 (13), Buttigieg 6 (7)... MC doesn't really have undecideds, but this looks "right". If translated to average poll, probably Biden 25%-30% followed by a slew of mid-teens. https://t.co/mrsbvKb4gW — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@KSoltisAnderson SAY HI FROM ME!!!!!!! — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Someone to me just now... "I've never had Popeyes." https://t.co/JGBvGnCLeL — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
The 1998 Yankees wouldn't blow a 6 run lead in the first inning. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@Redistrict Rainbows and Sunshine 2020. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Now obviously, this stuff may fade... and I want to see polling (beyond MC and my two-person "focus group"...) but seems like Thurs night did something nothing before had. We'll see... Plenty of numbers to come and plenty of time to go. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Spoke with two 60+ year-old women (one white moderate with 2 post-grad degrees and one somewhat liberal non-college educated African-American) who had previously not cared about Biden controversies. Both were quite impressed with Harris. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Whoa. — PolitiTweet.org
Ian Sams @IanSams
🚨BREAKING: @KamalaHarris raised $2M online in 24 hours after the #DemDebate from 63,277 people. 58% were first-tim… https://t.co/Jq1RZUSXlb
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@GerryDales de Blasio's too busy dealing with Che Guevara. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
In NYC this is definitely true... and candidates, I would think, will be asked what they think about it... and if they have any plans. — PolitiTweet.org
Steadman™ @AsteadWesley
yall get that schools are still really racially segregated right. like right now
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Like Harris had actually done her homework. And that's what the problem was for Biden. It wasn't busing per se. It was that he didn't have an answer and looked like Trump would crush him. Harris looked like the type of candidate who would beat Trump. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
If Biden had prepared at all, an answer on busing could have been "While I'm sorry you had that experience, I consulted with many African-Americans who opposed mandatory busing." Instead he launches into states rights? What in the world. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I see a lot of similarity between the Democracy Corps. and Morning Consult/538 data post-debate. Both show Harris gained on favorability. Both show Biden's favorables fine. Both show fewer Dems say they will/willing to vote for him. https://t.co/I0JDWtIoYv https://t.co/8zZ0PO7ao8 — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Any fun plans for this weekend? Hope you had a good week! — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
USA soccer is really good, which we obviously knew. The men's team stinks. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I'd like to see what occurs without the attrition (and in other polling), but I think this is interesting... Not a lot of loss in favorability for Biden, but Harris very much gained and it's reflected in the horserace. https://t.co/8zZ0PO7ao8 https://t.co/kN2BaIAnmq — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@micahcohen @MorningConsult Racial/age/gender/ideological changes pre/post debate. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@micahcohen @MorningConsult Hurry the heck up. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@richardmskinner THIS IS IT. ANd he couldn't say it. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO https://t.co/enzBSuzjcK — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
If you watch that debate clip btw (https://t.co/1GI72swjjd), you 3 times Biden literally has the room rolling in laughter. It seems so far away from last night. But then again, it was. It was 12 years ago. — PolitiTweet.org