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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Pelosi may be holding Ocasio-Cortez and co. at bay, but the liberal candidates (and ideas for that matter) are dominating the 2020 Dem presidential primary. https://t.co/1gtPRaXVWC — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
(People do realize Twitter polls only offer 4 options... So you can name 3 and then have a 4th incorporating all other options you think are less likely to happen individually. Eh, who am I kidding. It's Twitter!) — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Sean is reading my darn mind... An email I wrote yesterday "I'm coming up short of 100% and far short when accumulating chances to win the nomination." So either I'm miscalibrating or someone I'm not thinking of may emerge. https://t.co/Jx7CdclCWU — PolitiTweet.org
Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende
@ForecasterEnten I think it's also important to note that for all the talk about the emerging Top 4, they combine f… https://t.co/PtLoWAMRS3
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I think is extremely important and am happy that @CNN @CNNPolitics is moving in this direction. And not that I need to say this (it is obvious), but @jennagiesta did a great job with this https://t.co/LtGPuLztdh — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
There is a lot of noise out there with post-debate polling, but I feel this covers it fairly well. Basically Biden is down but still a little ahead. There is 3 way tie (or so) for second. https://t.co/6sy2JBHpV8 https://t.co/IV0e5Qffsr — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@billscher @politico @MorningConsult Education may also be playing a role here. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@Redistrict I see no contradictions here... lol. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I think we all know David is going for Marianne Williamson. — PolitiTweet.org
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
But you know what *is* winnable for Dems in 2020 w/ the right kind of candidate - especially a woman w/ an appealin… https://t.co/sP7a8myHaK
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I think these are some useful stats... No Dem has won a Senate race in KY since 1992. GOP won the cumulative House vote in KY by about 20 points in 2018. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@EsotericCD You're a better person than I thought you were. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@EsotericCD Yes but why are you friends with Jeff Blehar? — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NathanWurtzel My friend and I were just commenting on this — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Where do you stand on who you think is the candidate most likely to be the Dem nominee? — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Off to his new adventure. https://t.co/XPWvwAPAOj — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@nymetrowx Cancel. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
In this way, the second dimension again seems to be picking up on the insider/outsider just like it did when it came to the Freedom Caucus... In fact, it's ridiculously clear in the measurement. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
That the 2nd dimension captures insider/outsider or compromise with +1 being insider and -1 being outsider. Guess which 4 Dems have by far the most negative scores? It's Ocasio-Cortez, Pressley, Omar and Tlaib. (3/?) — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
But what has not gotten spoken about at all, for some reason (maybe cause it isn't directly listed on the site), is that the second dimension of DW-nominate has actually captured them pretty much perfectly. It has been argued by a number of folks... (2/?) — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I'm hoping to get to this in article form (in much less nerdy of a fashion), but I've watched with interest the fact that DW-Nominate 1st dimension has really struggled with Ocasio-Cortez, Tlaib, Pressley and Omar... Part of this is small size (1/?) — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Will want to make sure none was transferred, of course. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
A HUGE number and to put it mildly very impressive. — PolitiTweet.org
Garrett Haake @GarrettHaake
Big Money: @ewarren campaign announces they raised $19.1 million in the 2nd quarter. Good for third among Dems, and… https://t.co/ZMfjER6Hp5
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I remember https://t.co/0Iucy01fjD — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Impressive for Julian Castro. https://t.co/Z11iMsC90R — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
RT @pollsterguy: Another telling transformation over a generation in America: almost 9 out of 10 adults now say politics important in thei… — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@allahpundit He's not gonna make it. Bullock will take his spot I'd think. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@micahcohen I sent you an email. Thank you. Also, I'd think it'd be best in August after the latest debates? See where things stack up end of summer. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
RT @RebeccaBuck: A fundraising email from Cory Booker’s campaign says they’re “just about 15,000 donors shy of the 130,000 benchmark” for t… — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
https://t.co/0Erp0rduzO #chriskobach — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
RT @drhonor: From now on it’s just called “Soccer” and “Men’s Soccer,” right? — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@daveweigel I'm not seeing much of anything on here... https://t.co/CCnl8F1k4x — PolitiTweet.org
