(((Harry Enten)))

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

This has been clear in the polling for a while. A good Sanders play here. Primary is not just about ideology. The downside might be that many of these voters are more moderate at heart & may have used Sanders as placeholder in 2016. https://t.co/Bujm4PBrtP — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Both good and bad news for Elizabeth Warren... The good news is that it's pretty clear she's seen a steady climb in the polls since March. Gaining 1-3 points per month... Bad news is she very much struggling with black voters. https://t.co/9buhmpdLJL — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I present this without comment... https://t.co/MY8V7dEF2l — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

That SC Fox poll is weak sauce for Harris. She's in third among black voters to Sanders! (Biden of course well ahead.) https://t.co/VDYrjIB11N — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Best poll for Warren outside of YouGov I believe... Among live interview polls post-debate, I believe the average is Biden 25%, Harris 16%, Sanders & Warren at 15%. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@PatrickRuffini Scary hour there! — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@JohnBerman This is good. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Was taking advantage of a delayed red light on a walk yesterday, when a guy honks and begins to yell... Was not what I was expecting... "I love the numbers"... and am now thinking I should hold up a sign on that corner "Honk if you love 'the numbers'". — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Most political science says this is a bad idea. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@micahcohen IIRC, no on average. But of course, those final polls were of likely voters. I don't recall rv vs. lv split. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Count another one for a top three of Biden, Harris and Warren... and then everybody else at this point. https://t.co/V53v7psYDH — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

IDK if the gap between RV and LV is this large, but it's probably the right direction. Warren/Harris have a lot of college educated whites in their coalitions. Sanders has young/non-college educated whites. Biden is mostly a wash cause non-college edu whites + older. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Go live to Mitch McConnell HQ. https://t.co/njsI8EU8Pk — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

One of the interesting things about 08 GOP polling is that folks remember Giuliani leading nationally right now. In IA and NH, Romney was well ahead. In the end, it was, of course, McCain who won the nomination. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@LPDonovan @PollsAndVotes A place where Trump REALLY did better than Romney... — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@aedwardslevy So am I... — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@LoganDobson @ThisAmerLife @zchace @daveweigel This surprises... no one. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@ComedyCellarUSA July 22nd :). Not June. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@POLITICO_Steve Nerd. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Back in 2018, I wrote the attached on Phil Bredesen. Liberal groups have released numbers on McConnell that have him leading a generic Dem by low single digits. Taking into the tilt of KY, I'd think the race wouldn't be close. We'll see. https://t.co/aA34KvRVQ1 https://t.co/GEwBXNvyWd — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

This is what I spoke about today https://t.co/1gtPRaXVWC though using a slightly different metric to get at it... The Dems who got Pelosi her gavel aren't anything like Ocasio-Cortez and company when it comes ideology/willingness to compromise. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@NateSilver538 I can't post the clip I want to post :(. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

First off, Democrats say they don't want an outsider. Second off, Harris and Warren combined have been in the Senate for less than 10 years. It's Biden/Sanders who have been in DC for a long time. https://t.co/j8sQPC3ZsI https://t.co/p5JtutxPPm — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@NateSilver538 Airports have rooftops. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I mean look folks. Steyer is gonna throw gobs of money at this thing. He could influence the race, change things etc... But right now, no one is screaming "Steyer" from the rooftops. https://t.co/p5JtutxPPm — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

3. What is Steyer offering? Another liberal in a field dominated by liberals? Besides Warren is already running as an activist style/grassroots campaign and wants to impeach Trump. She's also a woman a year after Dems showed they want to nominate women. https://t.co/p5JtutxPPm — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

2. Democrats say in polling they don't want an outsider. They say they don't want a businessman. This does NOT look like 2016 GOP and Trump. https://t.co/p5JtutxPPm — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

For better or worse, I'm VERY skeptical of Steyer 2020. Here's why: 1. His primary polling stinks. He was at 0% in Iowa/nationally in the last polling (in December). His net favorability rating were second worst among 2020ers. https://t.co/p5JtutxPPm — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

*Nerdy side note: I continue to believe the second dimension of DW-Nominate does not get used enough. It really does seem to be capturing something with concern to Ocasio-Cortez, Pressley, Tlaib and Omar. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@JohnBerman This is why I'm against exercise. — PolitiTweet.org