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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I combined our April/May/June polls to get a pretty decent sample size (246) on black voters. Trump's approval rating with black voters: 6%. Disapproval: 91%. That comes with a margin of error of +/- 4 pts taking into account the proportion and design effect... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
RT @CuomoPrimeTime: Rep. Will Hurd, the only African American Republican in the House of Representatives, announced he will not seek reelec… — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
This was a really good poll question from @PollsterPatrick... Biden's crushing in very pro-Obama camp, which has given him his clear lead. (Note the poll was taken a few months ago, so Warren is a little stronger across the board.) https://t.co/jsZibXUIIX — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Joe Sestak? — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
There probably shouldn't be much of a correlation between which candidates you think are most likely to win the Dem… https://t.co/dGSDfZuLlU
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I believe I agree with all of this. — PolitiTweet.org
Richard Skinner @richardmskinner
A few propositions: 1. Biden clear frontrunner, though not overwhelming one. 2. Most Dems like him, tho hard 2 say… https://t.co/79x9DXk3Qa
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Booker would have been better off not shifting considerably left in recent years. — PolitiTweet.org
Jonathan Chait @jonathanchait
Totally agree with @michelleinbklyn that Booker is a sharper and better version of what Biden voters are looking for https://t.co/XB5g1JaBXO
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
RT @ChrisCuomo: What's up with all the 2020 Democrats now going on the attack against former President Obama? They may be very sorry - Harr… — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Last poll on which I could run a crosstab (2017 Pew)... Obama's favorable rating among black Democratic voters: 99%. Unfavorable rating: 0%. (1% was undecided.) — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I'm fine if you text me. Just don't call me unless you're my birth Mom or one of the people I consider to be a Mom. But you should visit "my" websites https://t.co/79pdmcdWyc and https://t.co/yhmnzFX4DC — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Biden-Warren is going to be a big debate when it happens. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I saw one of the most memorable debate moments when Harris took down Biden last month. Biden right now is in the same polling position he was before that debate... This night has featured featured no big moment like that so far (still some time to go). — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Let's see how criminal justice plays out... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
P.S. Warren is better debating health care than any of these folks. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
What made Harris' first debate attack on Biden successful was a. he wasn't prepared and b. she really didn't bring it up on the trail previously. So far everything tonight could have been scripted... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@SeanTrende Sure. I went back and watched some other clips, and it does happen sometimes. cc @jrboh — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@SeanTrende I honestly think it's his stutter, which is sometimes noticeable. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Sorry, I'm taken. https://t.co/PHdB3DaxPT — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
More voters think Donald Trump is a racist than thought George Wallace was in 1968. https://t.co/n9rcnQYoQR — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
https://t.co/D1qAUMTIeO — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I really gotta stop watch these dogs reunited with their human companion videos on YouTube. Way too early in the morning for crying. Two things make me cry: Oprah and dogs. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I thought Warren held up quite well on debate stage, but my ? is if health care is # 1 on Dems minds & electability is more impt than normal: how do you square 1st part of 1st sentence w/ fact public option beats Medicare for All w/ Dems & M4all is unpopular w/ general electorate — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Just ate a fruit by the foot... What are you eating with the debate? — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Trying this thing called the Forecast Fest with @KateBolduan and @JohnAvlon... We'll be coming to you weekly. This week we talk about the very different bases of Sanders and Warren, and why electability strikes me as a perfectly fine notion. https://t.co/Sy3j87Hqmu — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
RT @richardmskinner: With backing from Grijalva, one of the most left-leaning members, Warren throwing a little shade on Bernie. https://t.… — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
This is interesting if only because I think a lot of impeachment takes rely on a very small sample size. This broadens it out somewhat. — PolitiTweet.org
Javier Corrales @jcorrales2011
Lots of talk in the US on whether to impeach or not (@MaureenDowd in the NYT). Last yr we reviewed the LatAm experi… https://t.co/nTwUhEw5qj
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Here's a question I ask myself... Would the 2016 Dem primary have turned out that differently if Sanders had won Iowa instead of barely losing it. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@JohnBerman Sure. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Warren has certainly improved over the course of this primary season, but 81% of Dems could form a opinion of her in our last poll. Only 11% said they'd never heard of her. This gap (which I wrote about in May https://t.co/ShSFiYRgZk) hasn't gone away. — PolitiTweet.org
Jonathan Martin @jmartNYT
A big question: Can Warren appeal to non-college primary voters? Her folks think her challenges now only reflect l… https://t.co/4shhIfqBZQ
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Q-Pac poll is prob a little strong for Biden w/ African-Americans (53% w/ no one else in double-digits), but again this is nothing like 08 season... at all. Obama ran near even with Clinton on avg w/ black voters in 07. Harris, for instance, has usually been way back this year. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Seems important... In our last CNN poll, Trump's overall approval rating = 45% among voters. His econ approval rating = 52% among voters. Who approved of him on econ but didn't overall? 39% were nonwhite. That's double % nonwhites make up of his overall approvers (19%). — PolitiTweet.org