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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I combined our April/May/June polls to get a pretty decent sample size (246) on black voters. Trump's approval rating with black voters: 6%. Disapproval: 91%. That comes with a margin of error of +/- 4 pts taking into account the proportion and design effect... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

RT @CuomoPrimeTime: Rep. Will Hurd, the only African American Republican in the House of Representatives, announced he will not seek reelec… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2019 Retweet Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

This was a really good poll question from @PollsterPatrick... Biden's crushing in very pro-Obama camp, which has given him his clear lead. (Note the poll was taken a few months ago, so Warren is a little stronger across the board.) https://t.co/jsZibXUIIX — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 2, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Joe Sestak? — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There probably shouldn't be much of a correlation between which candidates you think are most likely to win the Dem… https://t.co/dGSDfZuLlU

Posted Aug. 2, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I believe I agree with all of this. — PolitiTweet.org

Richard Skinner @richardmskinner

A few propositions: 1. Biden clear frontrunner, though not overwhelming one. 2. Most Dems like him, tho hard 2 say… https://t.co/79x9DXk3Qa

Posted Aug. 2, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Booker would have been better off not shifting considerably left in recent years. — PolitiTweet.org

Jonathan Chait @jonathanchait

Totally agree with @michelleinbklyn that Booker is a sharper and better version of what Biden voters are looking for https://t.co/XB5g1JaBXO

Posted Aug. 2, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

RT @ChrisCuomo: What's up with all the 2020 Democrats now going on the attack against former President Obama? They may be very sorry - Harr… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 2, 2019 Retweet Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Last poll on which I could run a crosstab (2017 Pew)... Obama's favorable rating among black Democratic voters: 99%. Unfavorable rating: 0%. (1% was undecided.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 1, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I'm fine if you text me. Just don't call me unless you're my birth Mom or one of the people I consider to be a Mom. But you should visit "my" websites https://t.co/79pdmcdWyc and https://t.co/yhmnzFX4DC — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 1, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Biden-Warren is going to be a big debate when it happens. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 1, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I saw one of the most memorable debate moments when Harris took down Biden last month. Biden right now is in the same polling position he was before that debate... This night has featured featured no big moment like that so far (still some time to go). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 1, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Let's see how criminal justice plays out... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 1, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

P.S. Warren is better debating health care than any of these folks. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 1, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

What made Harris' first debate attack on Biden successful was a. he wasn't prepared and b. she really didn't bring it up on the trail previously. So far everything tonight could have been scripted... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 1, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@SeanTrende Sure. I went back and watched some other clips, and it does happen sometimes. cc @jrboh — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 1, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@SeanTrende I honestly think it's his stutter, which is sometimes noticeable. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 1, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Sorry, I'm taken. https://t.co/PHdB3DaxPT — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 31, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

More voters think Donald Trump is a racist than thought George Wallace was in 1968. https://t.co/n9rcnQYoQR — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 31, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

https://t.co/D1qAUMTIeO — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 31, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I really gotta stop watch these dogs reunited with their human companion videos on YouTube. Way too early in the morning for crying. Two things make me cry: Oprah and dogs. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 31, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I thought Warren held up quite well on debate stage, but my ? is if health care is # 1 on Dems minds & electability is more impt than normal: how do you square 1st part of 1st sentence w/ fact public option beats Medicare for All w/ Dems & M4all is unpopular w/ general electorate — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 31, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Just ate a fruit by the foot... What are you eating with the debate? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 31, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Trying this thing called the Forecast Fest with @KateBolduan and @JohnAvlon... We'll be coming to you weekly. This week we talk about the very different bases of Sanders and Warren, and why electability strikes me as a perfectly fine notion. https://t.co/Sy3j87Hqmu — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 30, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

RT @richardmskinner: With backing from Grijalva, one of the most left-leaning members, Warren throwing a little shade on Bernie. https://t.… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 30, 2019 Retweet Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

This is interesting if only because I think a lot of impeachment takes rely on a very small sample size. This broadens it out somewhat. — PolitiTweet.org

Javier Corrales @jcorrales2011

Lots of talk in the US on whether to impeach or not (@MaureenDowd in the NYT). Last yr we reviewed the LatAm experi… https://t.co/nTwUhEw5qj

Posted July 30, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Here's a question I ask myself... Would the 2016 Dem primary have turned out that differently if Sanders had won Iowa instead of barely losing it. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 30, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@JohnBerman Sure. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 30, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Warren has certainly improved over the course of this primary season, but 81% of Dems could form a opinion of her in our last poll. Only 11% said they'd never heard of her. This gap (which I wrote about in May https://t.co/ShSFiYRgZk) hasn't gone away. — PolitiTweet.org

Jonathan Martin @jmartNYT

A big question: Can Warren appeal to non-college primary voters? Her folks think her challenges now only reflect l… https://t.co/4shhIfqBZQ

Posted July 29, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Q-Pac poll is prob a little strong for Biden w/ African-Americans (53% w/ no one else in double-digits), but again this is nothing like 08 season... at all. Obama ran near even with Clinton on avg w/ black voters in 07. Harris, for instance, has usually been way back this year. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 29, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Seems important... In our last CNN poll, Trump's overall approval rating = 45% among voters. His econ approval rating = 52% among voters. Who approved of him on econ but didn't overall? 39% were nonwhite. That's double % nonwhites make up of his overall approvers (19%). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 29, 2019 Hibernated