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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I should point out that Biden's numbers look like a Monmouth poll from the spring. So that was before the Obama pile on last debate... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Those two groups make up an equal portion of the Dem electorate (48 vs. 47)... but Biden's got one of those lanes pretty much to himself... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
This says a lot for a Fox News poll that has Biden 31, Warren 20, Sanders 10, Harris 8... The vote is REALLY split along want to build on Obama or not. Biden up by 26 in the build group and down 5 in the new approach group. https://t.co/HYZjsnIo8H — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Change Research could be right. Could be. But last month they had Buttigieg leading and at 25% in Iowa. I think skepticism is warranted. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@SeanTrende He's right you know. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
WINNOWING — PolitiTweet.org
Dan Merica @merica
John Hickenlooper plans to end his bid for the Democratic presidential nomination on Thursday, three Democrats fami… https://t.co/whm52LxGJT
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
The intro here is just so epic. The election, itself, was probably the last "boring" national US election I can recall. https://t.co/FX74izddQn — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@pescami It's a good piece if u read it :). — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
This is an interesting thread right here — PolitiTweet.org
Boris Shor @bshor
Here's a rescaled look at early state endorsements. This time I've used proportions of the total number of in-offic… https://t.co/OekipJc5Yb
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
YouGov nationally has consistently been good for Warren (vs. the mean) and bad for Biden (vs. the mean). IDK what to make of it, but it's an interesting phenomenon. For now, average... (and obligatory no national primary etc.) — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Trump rarely gets above a -9 pt net approval rating (overall 44-45% approval) with voters, and this is, in voters' minds, a strong economy. If they start to view it as weak, I'm not sure where the floor is. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@JohnBerman lol. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@richardmskinner A few might be Greatest! — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@SeanTrende WUT?! — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@ScottJenningsKY @kyletblaine I like Chicago, but if I'm flying to NYC... I don't wanna land in Chicago. LOL. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@kyletblaine Ugh. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Trump won zero debates in the minds of voters in 2015/2016. That's at least according to live interview polling available in the Roper archive. — PolitiTweet.org
Richard Skinner @richardmskinner
Why are people so obsessed with Dem candidates’ debating skills? Trump’s a terrible debater! Dems probably should… https://t.co/3KlQyUis2E
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@JohnBerman @TimRyan OMG. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NathanWurtzel OOOOOO — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NathanWurtzel I really want to say ABC miscalled MD in 1980 as well!... but I don't wanna bet on it. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Dick Swett... Called the winner by a number of networks in the 1996 NH Senate race. He actually lost to Bob Smith. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@nymetrowx Gonna need that yellow to be 12 to 24 inches in December. Thanks. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
My Mom's away messages are always right on the ball... https://t.co/PbXbVLD2IV — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@DanielStrauss4 What is this straw "poll" vs. the kernel "poll"? — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@SeanTrende These are good! — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@SeanTrende what about indicates? — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Tmrw is a proud day in American history. Spicy chicken nuggets are back at Wendy's. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
From our last poll... Fav/Unfav among potential Dem primary voters and then all other voters (non-leaning indies and those lean GOP) for top 4- Biden: 72/21, 24/66. Harris: 62/12, 10/56. Sanders: 71/22, 19/76. Warren: 67/14, 11/66. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Both Kerry and Gore ended up losing by 2 points or less (a lot less in Gore's case) in the states that proved to be pivotal. I don't think their performances were below par. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Furthermore, the economy was fairly decent by most metrics (e.g. most fundamental models had Bush winning). Bush was well liked on terrorism. And Iraq, while would later be deemed a disaster, was really a 50/50 issue in 04. — PolitiTweet.org
