(((Harry Enten)))

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@NickRiccardi I have this math! :) — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I got a piece coming 1st thing tmrw, but is PLENTY of room for those impeachment numbers among the American public to rise. Lot of Dems had previously been unsupportive. Lots of "easy" growth there, and some should come (?) given what we're seeing in Congress. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

This was part of the reason why I think many underestimated Trump in 2016 GOP primary. His total favorable rating was meh. His very favorable rating was among the strongest, however. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Correlation between total favorable rating and horserace % in our Iowa poll? +0.76. Correlation between VERY favorable rating and horserace % in our Iowa poll? +0.90. The very favorable rating is a far more telling stat in a caucus/primary where many are liked. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Go Yankees. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

YAY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! #buffalobills #billsmafia — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@nymetrowx Don't want. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

A key bloc in Iowa poll: Like 'Medicare for All', but fear its general election appeal https://t.co/kcR3WXF0Sz — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@islivingston MORE — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

As I've stressed many times before, there is no clear favorite to win Iowa... https://t.co/wxEUsig4eI https://t.co/Qt0P5WlcEv — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@richardmskinner RIP. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Another big reason Warren has surged in Iowa? "Elizabeth Warren bridges the Clinton-Sanders divide". She's doing well among caucusgoers who voted for Clinton as well as those who voted Sanders in 2016. Not the case for either Sanders or Biden. https://t.co/zrDGxXe6Cl https://t.co/Vk16VB7HGF — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Blogging up the results on our latest Iowa poll... Latest post of many to follow: "Elizabeth Warren does well with issues and electability caucusgoers". In a year of electability, Warren more than holding her own with those who prize it. https://t.co/oOA2D643fo https://t.co/uZPfFg7cGt — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I miss something while I was at dinner? — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Iowa poll in less than 2 hours... For those who will be out tonight, I'll be blogging about some really interesting crosstabs tomorrow morning. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Ed Podolak had 350 all-purpose yards in a 1971 playoff game. That still stands as a playoff record. His team lost. Sometimes giving your best effort is not enough. Good sports lesson. Better life lesson. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

The folks who are somewhat older remember when Columbia football was famously awful in the 80s. Earlier this decade they had another 20+ game losing streak... Those days seem very distant, and it's very odd. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Dang Columbia's return man Mike Roussos is really good. Retuned a punt and kickoff for a touchdown in last year's finale. Just returned a punt for a touchdown in today's opener. Columbia crushing Saint Francis, PA 31-14 currently. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

A lot of Democratic presidential candidates are trailing in their home state primaries. That's bad. Since 1980, eventual nominees were almost leading in their home state primaries at this point. All were polling above 20% in their home states. https://t.co/HN5lfg4iEF https://t.co/wLWH3xFNL9 — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@DanielStrauss4 I'm not kidding you. I will NOT do tv when Buffalo is on. It's a running joke with the Sunday booker. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

So pre-Selzer, what we have is Biden/Warren 1 and 2 or 2 and 1, then Sanders/Buttigieg in back of them... — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Here are the simple averages pre-Selzer in IA: post-debate polls - Warren 24%, Biden 21%, Sanders/Buttigieg 13%. Polls over last month - Biden 23, Warren 21, Sanders 17, Buttigieg 11. Polls since Aug 1 - Biden 23, Warren 22, Sanders 15, Buttigieg 11 (1/2) — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Looks like a strike to me. Then again, I'd call it a strike if it was in the Blue Jay dugout. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@aedwardslevy Summer sucks :) — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

And Biden's taken a lot guff from a lot of folks. This ain't about him having some sort of "i'm not in politics anymore" glow... He's polling 8-10 pts better than Clinton was against Trump at this point in the cycle. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I don't think Biden will be the nominee (the field on the Dem side clearly has a better shot), but I'm not sure folks appreciate how unusual Biden holding a 10+ pt lead on Trump is at this point. No incumbent since at least WWII was down by anything close to that at this point. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@NateSilver538 @micahcohen 0.25, 0.21, 0.16, 0.11, 0.07. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@NateSilver538 @micahcohen I'm drinking a DIet A&W Cream Soda... I'll guess that Biden and Warren are both between 20% and 25%... I really wonder about Buttigieg. Could be a surprise. Unsure if he is 3rd or 4th. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Reminder: there have been 70+ Biden vs. Trump national polls taken. Trump has led Biden in ZERO of them. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Usually when you're dead last and at 0% in your home state, it's time to pack it up. https://t.co/B5VZBHA1bg — PolitiTweet.org