(((Harry Enten)))

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

So where are we heading into tonight: 1. We have co-frontrunners in Biden/Warren. 2. Sanders stalled in the mid 10s. 3. Buttigieg hoping for a breakthrough in Iowa. 4. A slew of candidates on the stage tonight who may not make the Nov. debate. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@NateSilver538 @aedwardslevy I'm all for moving the clock back. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@NateSilver538 @aedwardslevy I woke at 2 in NH in college. Got maybe 2 hrs of sunlight. It's fine. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@NateSilver538 @aedwardslevy It's already dark at midnight. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@aedwardslevy When you wake up for a 640 hit, and it's dark... That is the lowest of the low. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@aedwardslevy Why are you like this? — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I feel like 10% of my time is spent seeing a new poll that is a. good for Biden and finding out it is some version of Harris or HarrisX or b. bad for Biden and finding it is some version of YouGov or Change. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@RalstonReports HMMMMM — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@SlackerInc @ClareMalone @NateSilver538 I think Clare's a great fit... But what do I know? — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I don't care who wins... but Nationals look much more likely to beat the Yankees should the Astros falter. Also, Yankees stink. Thank you and have a pleasant night. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@NickRiccardi @RalstonReports You know one day we will all meet for cream soda. It will be a nice day. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Drinking a diet soda right now. Thank you. https://t.co/f3yOtfTPHN — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I've been wondering the same, so very glad this was written. https://t.co/WYTLJG1854 But as the piece points out, few are really getting endorsements. Points to more uncertainty than anything else. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I go where the polls go... If you take the national polls right now, Biden + Warren combined probably have a 75% chance of taking the nom. Sanders adds 10%... The question is will another rise? Still have time to go. https://t.co/y7OvkggJBY — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

See to me, the horserace numbers from YouGov/CBS (which are more mixed than anything else) tell far less of a story than the questions and movements on those... which are good for the senator from MA. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I personally thought Edwards would end up closer to 50% (if not over), so this isn't what I'd call a good results for Edwards. On the excellent, pretty good, only fair or poor scale, it's an "only fair". — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I think it's already been said by many: Edwards got about what he was polling (47%). The question was undecideds & how they'd split... Did Trump perhaps help there? Sure it's possible. But it moved things a few points, if it did help... IDK where Trump got that number he tweeted. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@skoczela Omg — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Per Pew Research: 75% of Dem/Dem leaners favor same-sex marriage, though "only" 64% of moderate/conservative Dems do. 51% of African-Americans (a group 9:1 Dem and pivotal in a Dem primary) do. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@NateSilver538 thought the same thing... — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@D_Summerville Please keep quiet. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Currently wearing sweatpants, a sport coat and a Buffalo Bills parka. How's ur weekend going? — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@richardmskinner One thing going through my head... What about older black voters who are big league with Biden right now. I doubt this impacts, but it was the one group I thought about. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

2 things I think are true: 1. Support for impeach/remove Trump could go up w/ GOP. It did during Nixon. 2. Group most opposed to impeach/remove Trump/Nixon (very conservative GOPers) has grown considerably since 74, making comparison potentially less apt. https://t.co/0FQQOMjJCk — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@Nate_Cohn Agree... — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

It's impt context about the Louisiana governor's race. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Okay, America still has a shot. We know the Stros are the team that can beat the Satans. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@POLITICO_Steve I don't like these names and no one can ever make me like them. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

My own view of this is that they've more or less been even for 2 weeks. Who is ahead or behind by a point or two doesn't really matter. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I get that a lot of Trump dislikers/haters enjoy seeing a Fox News poll (which is high quality) showing impeach/remove at a majority, but we had two high quality polls yesterday showing it as a minority... The avg. on that question is basically a split. — PolitiTweet.org