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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@databyler I think this is generally right... Dems can't believe Trump even came close. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Bella says hi :)... Y'all have any photos of potentially furry friends for Bella? https://t.co/O0l74gh5JL — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Count me on the train of those who think neither party has a sustainable political majority, despite all the handwringing. Candidates/ideas matter, but the fundamentals have proven to work very well in a period of a lot of upheaval. https://t.co/wke7MbGBWk — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Folks, my Margins of Error episode this week (https://t.co/b8sjySHCNC) is about how cremation has overtaken traditional burial. What do you want to happen to your body after death? — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@jmestepa No. Missing nothing. Same thing in NYC often. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
McAuliffe's margin in the Fox News poll and in the polling in general in Virginia is about 4-5 points higher than Biden's net approval rating in VA. Give McAuliffe a bit of a cushion. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@JMilesColeman I remember the race incredibly well. There were major debates in my high school govt class. One person volunteered for Lieberman. Another one called him something I won't repeat on here. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@xenocryptsite u need to refresh ur page... but https://t.co/LXNR3RnPMQ — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Great chart. https://t.co/VhI8Elt7Uy — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NathanWurtzel Good football player too. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@ForecasterEnten I'll just note that we got a lot of calls from y'all on what you're planning to do with your body after life. And I cannot thank you enough for your contributions without which we wouldn't be able to take these journeys every week. https://t.co/b8sjySHCNC — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@ForecasterEnten The shift away from traditional burial in this country is a confluence of many trends that we see throughout society including increasing costs and environmentalism... https://t.co/b8sjySHCNC — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@ForecasterEnten I gotta say that while this episode is far from gloomy, it was the first time I visited my Father's burial plot in 5 years. By far the toughest thing I've ever done in my media career. I loved the guy, & he was my life. https://t.co/b8sjySHCNC — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
This week's Margins of Error podcast episode focuses on how cremation (to my shock) has steadily grown to overtake traditional burial. It's also about our fears of death & how a majority of us don't plan for what we want to happen to us after death. https://t.co/b8sjySHCNC — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I thoroughly enjoyed that football game. #gobills — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@RalstonReports Beautiful game. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@islivingston So many chips gone. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@ForecasterEnten Absolute fantasyland going on in some circles... To be clear, moderate !=winner. Being perceived as moderate = increases chances of winning, controlling for other factors. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@ForecasterEnten Trump didn't fit the beltway definition of being "moderate" (fiscally conservative/socially liberal), but he was perceived as having a mix of conservative positions (immigration) and more liberal (seen as more dovish than other GOPers). — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I just ran across a tweet that made me chuckle... Some people have this total misconception of Trump 2016. He won in part because he was seen as more towards the middle than Clinton. Over his presidency, he began to be seen as less moderate. https://t.co/W5urjwmkJI — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I looked into this using public data (CCES+Pew). The Dem voters who drop off in midterms or don't vote at all are disproportionally more likely to be mainstream/moderate than habitual voters. https://t.co/qxxSjtoLyB https://t.co/WAaZyB8JIk — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NathanWurtzel I think it's def worth another try given what can get displayed on the screen these days... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NathanWurtzel I was legit just watching a YouTube on it last night. They also did a broadcast with just an announcer and no analyst. That one was less good. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
https://t.co/9QsZpjsmDc Can't tell you how many people have reached out to me following my latest podcast episode of Margins of Error saying they're one of ~25% of Americans who sleep in separate beds from their spouse with frequency. Maybe you should try it? — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I'm going to talk about this more tmrw, but I looked it into it & at least in the datasets I have... The Democrats who drop off in midterms tend not to be on the left. They're more mainstream/moderate Democrats. 2022 may be more of the same. https://t.co/qxxSjtoLyB — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
RT @aedwardslevy: Political independents are among the most heavily scrutinized groups in American politics. They're also not much of a uniā¦ — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I'm kinda surprised how controversial it is to say a. there are swing voters. b. winning swing voters is key. c. you have a better chance of winning them by running candidates perceived as more moderate. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Independents have turned on Joe Biden. The big shift in 2020 vs. 2016 was among independents, who Biden won by 13 after Clinton lost em by 4. In last 2 months, Biden's lost 19 points on net approval with them. (h/t @henryolseneppc who 1st saw this.) https://t.co/MPBS3rhL0z — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Seems fair... https://t.co/oQ1Yzn3EIC — PolitiTweet.org
Jack Kersting @jhkersting
#NEW VIRGINIA GOVERNOR FORECAST https://t.co/PcM2qSjUYK https://t.co/vkN5MEup1F
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Folks, my new Margins of Error episode is about sleeping separately from your spouse. So let's take a poll: Is this something you wish you could do (or actually do) at least some of the time? RT for yes, fav for no. https://t.co/9QsZpjaLeC — PolitiTweet.org